Worthy-Storytelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,247

lifetime

Volume

$118.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$47

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-07 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-32

Other

26% 50% $-4

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	No		+38	$19	81¢	$31	+$12	05-29 13:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No		+20	$15	80¢	$16	+$1	06-05 22:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	15	$9.6K	5,056	5,106	-50	open	—	02-28 06:39
will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	32	$5.8K	3,129	3,129	+0	open	—	02-25 06:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	17	$5.5K	6,080	6,080	+0	open	—	02-28 06:17
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$4.2K	3,062	1,429	+1,633	open	—	02-26 08:15
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$4.0K	2,035	2,035	+0	open	—	02-23 00:06
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	17	$3.9K	2,020	2,000	+20	open	—	02-21 21:43
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	5	$3.8K	2,574	2,574	+0	open	—	02-19 19:32
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	6	$2.1K	1,865	1,011	+854	open	—	02-24 03:55
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$2.1K	2,090	0	+2,090	open	—	02-24 21:42
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	02-20 08:44
will russia strike kyiv on february 20 2026	13	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	02-21 06:15
will russia strike kyiv on february 19 2026	10	$2.0K	962	1,022	-60	open	—	02-19 21:53
will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	4	$1.8K	923	923	+0	open	—	03-28 17:39
will russia strike kyiv on february 25 2026	11	$1.7K	882	882	+0	open	—	02-26 16:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	8	$1.6K	937	821	+116	open	—	02-13 23:49
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	open	—	02-19 07:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	10	$1.5K	1,551	1,551	+0	open	—	03-01 14:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$1.5K	2,025	2,025	+0	open	—	03-03 06:33
will russia strike kyiv on february 21 2026	3	$1.3K	242	1,113	-870	open	—	02-22 04:21
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	3	$1.2K	623	623	+0	open	—	02-25 02:48
btc updown 5m 1771541100	2	$1.2K	1,241	0	+1,241	open	—	02-19 22:49
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$1.2K	1,218	0	+1,218	open	—	02-22 16:40
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	6	$1.2K	1,177	0	+1,177	open	—	02-18 09:52
will russia strike kyiv on february 23 2026	5	$1.1K	574	574	+0	open	—	02-24 04:08
will russia strike kyiv on february 18 2026	8	$1.1K	549	549	+0	open	—	02-19 07:32
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$1.1K	1,660	1,660	+0	open	—	01-20 18:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$1.1K	641	641	+0	open	—	03-01 08:55
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.0K	555	555	+0	open	—	04-22 10:58
Prince Andrew released by February 20?	4	$1.0K	607	607	+0	open	—	02-19 19:43
btc updown 5m 1771806900	1	$1000	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	02-23 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:43:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x897c20…
06-07 19:40:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcf3296…
06-05 22:43:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc60469…
06-05 17:21:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x753233…
06-03 10:11:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x118539…
06-02 22:24:56	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x54605b…
06-02 22:20:21	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb8d10b…
06-02 18:50:51	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	SELL	39	84¢	$33	0x984084…
06-02 15:17:09	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x2607fd…
06-02 11:55:19	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1a8d0c…
06-02 11:25:32	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xab53de…
06-02 11:25:30	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa9a13e…
06-02 11:25:30	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1842c1…
06-02 11:25:28	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xab6ee8…
06-02 11:25:28	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x44ef4a…
06-02 11:25:27	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9489e2…
06-02 11:25:27	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x284944…
06-02 11:25:25	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb8c026…
06-02 11:25:25	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb5be87…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe485e1…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe102de…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xab7290…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa57434…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa2f094…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3e435b…
06-02 11:25:23	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0a4084…
06-02 11:25:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xde3233…
06-02 11:25:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc808a3…
06-02 11:25:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc65383…
06-02 11:25:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4f5567…
06-02 11:25:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1321b4…
06-02 11:25:20	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0143f2…
05-31 20:33:38	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xfdf63d…
05-30 17:13:19	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x849bed…
05-30 01:36:59	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x81e906…
05-29 17:34:59	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x450e70…
05-29 15:03:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd01066…
05-29 13:56:14	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x0488f5…
05-28 16:24:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$33	0x77220c…
05-28 13:37:27	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xe02c68…
05-28 13:11:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$9	0x69a660…
05-28 13:06:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xb70e09…
05-28 12:57:46	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb07c16…
05-28 09:20:11	Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x97a53e…
05-27 14:00:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x3abd4e…
05-26 15:05:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x26e7bb…
05-24 16:32:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0xc871b2…
05-24 13:51:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x27b2ee…
05-23 20:18:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xc047b4…
05-23 18:12:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaaa394…
05-23 16:01:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x0cf15d…
05-22 20:18:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd66dbf…
05-22 13:51:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	174	12¢	$20	0xcbacb4…
05-22 13:26:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x3effa1…
05-21 19:27:13	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xeddb3e…
05-21 17:21:39	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$36	0xaee615…
05-18 09:33:55	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x804ae8…
05-16 21:29:50	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x52d42c…
05-16 12:43:31	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xddeb1f…
05-16 11:32:16	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xd80fe7…
05-16 11:27:20	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa13bfc…
05-15 15:14:18	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x84fc65…
05-15 09:28:30	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xb20ac5…
05-15 08:58:39	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xfc977c…
05-15 07:56:55	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x89ff8a…
05-14 21:07:01	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0xdeea47…
05-14 20:40:09	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbea112…
05-14 17:00:48	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3d14f7…
05-14 14:20:54	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xd5f0bb…
05-14 12:25:35	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x215798…
05-14 12:24:16	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xbbc3fa…
05-14 12:01:29	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa131c2…
05-14 10:58:08	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x78ff58…
05-14 08:34:22	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	23	71¢	$17	0xc8cbfc…
05-14 08:10:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x48d194…
05-14 06:10:49	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x051b04…
05-14 06:06:54	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x365ec9…
05-13 11:11:55	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0xb66f04…
05-13 10:48:24	Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xa5682a…
05-13 10:48:09	Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x870c3a…
05-13 10:43:50	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x79eb32…
05-13 10:40:09	Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xff1b1f…
05-13 10:39:15	Will King Charles say "Defense" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x79d8ad…
05-13 10:38:56	Will King Charles say "Defense" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8ec4f5…
05-13 10:17:10	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x6f2eb2…
05-13 10:17:05	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x619b13…
05-13 10:16:51	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0xce6b3f…
05-13 10:13:37	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x703d3d…
05-13 10:13:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x8f84ba…
05-13 07:58:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa5434c…
05-13 07:21:53	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x049f74…
05-12 12:17:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x0eb318…
05-12 10:39:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	11¢	$22	0xdb9cdc…
05-12 10:27:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0x3611e3…
05-12 09:52:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xd8e745…
05-12 09:01:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xd05462…
05-11 20:08:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x083a3d…
05-11 17:50:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x39ad9a…
05-11 17:49:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x68a4c5…
05-11 17:21:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xcc6088…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	229	$38.6M	56,370	06-10 03:59
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	218	$718.1K	56,573	06-01 01:54
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	209	$113.3K	11,330	06-08 18:08
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	187	$1.60M	27,715	06-10 02:33
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	178	$32.1K	6,210	06-09 23:40
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	176	$75.4K	15,610	05-06 16:26
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	175	$291.7K	26,653	03-28 16:34
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	172	$56.3K	11,189	04-25 22:51