Realized P&L (7d)
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
83.4%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
11
2,071 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$226
$126.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$282
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 11-11 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Politics
57% 59% -$2,414
Other
27% 60% +$1,470
Crypto
15% 68% -$2,587
Sports
0% 40% +$58
Tech
0% 62% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? No +89 $45 56¢ $50 +$5 11-02 20:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +135 $30 27¢ $37 +$7 11-10 17:39
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30? No +66 $9 50¢ $33 +$24 11-01 18:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +217 $15 14¢ $30 +$15 11-10 17:39
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +97 $30 30¢ $30 $0 11-11 16:40
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? No +42 $20 66¢ $28 +$8 10-31 15:52
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? No +100 $30 26¢ $26 -$4 11-06 17:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $20 10¢ $14 -$5 10-16 16:21
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $10 40¢ $12 +$2 10-26 16:03
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 -$3 26¢ $11 +$14 11-10 18:55
Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $15 5¢ $6 -$10 11-04 23:34
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +169 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 10-07 15:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +95 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-18 13:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +247 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-23 01:24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +272 $14 0¢ $1 -$13 09-24 21:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-13 10:09