Unselfish-Stab — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$323

Unrealized P&L

+$348

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

107

2,070 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20.1K

$447.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

$1.99K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Politics

71% 75% +$2,103

Other

14% 51% +$94

Crypto

11% 71% -$320

Sports

4% 46% -$1,005

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,100	$1,663	95¢	$2.0K	+$331	07-25 23:27
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+0	-$17	84¢	$0	+$17	10-07 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	60	$59.3K	30,896	30,896	+0	No	+$401	03-16 00:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	15	$29.6K	20,019	10,019	+10,000	No	+$378	04-22 05:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	13	$20.0K	20,509	0	+20,509	No	+$54	04-24 18:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	35	$17.4K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	07-13 19:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	26	$15.4K	11,220	11,220	+0	Yes	+$22	05-24 04:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$15.0K	15,005	0	+15,005	No	+$35	05-28 02:09
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	40	$14.9K	9,500	9,500	+0	Yes	-$125	03-04 02:18
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	14	$14.5K	14,654	0	+14,654	No	+$119	04-30 19:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	49	$13.5K	7,591	7,591	+0	No	-$594	04-30 02:31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	10	$11.2K	11,000	500	+10,500	No	+$208	05-26 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	6	$10.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$175	05-22 21:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 3 569 213	18	$9.7K	9,896	0	+9,896	No	+$153	06-04 00:23
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	6	$9.2K	9,026	9,026	+0	Howard Bison	$0	03-17 22:20
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	13	$9.2K	5,800	3,800	+2,000	No	+$246	02-28 02:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$9.2K	4,855	4,855	+0	Yes	+$325	10-28 18:04
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	3	$7.6K	7,568	0	+7,568	No	+$15	05-04 02:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$7.0K	3,621	3,621	+0	No	+$14	02-21 03:43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	8	$7.0K	7,026	0	+7,026	No	+$72	05-29 05:37
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$6.2K	4,215	2,010	+2,205	No	+$10	02-22 04:10
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	3	$6.2K	4,165	2,030	+2,135	No	+$31	02-20 03:52
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	5	$6.2K	4,161	2,024	+2,137	No	+$24	02-19 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$6.1K	3,638	3,638	+0	No	-$204	05-23 15:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	26	$5.6K	5,027	5,027	+0	No	-$675	08-28 14:47
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	24	$5.5K	4,100	2,000	+2,100	open	—	07-25 23:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	13	$5.2K	2,743	2,743	+0	No	+$34	05-14 16:29
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	4	$5.1K	2,591	2,591	+0	No	+$29	01-26 05:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	15	$4.8K	4,026	826	+3,200	No	+$65	05-04 02:20
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	3	$4.2K	2,111	2,111	+0	No	+$2	02-18 01:36
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	4	$4.2K	4,327	0	+4,327	Yes	+$116	05-25 00:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4.1K	2,174	2,174	+0	Yes	+$115	02-26 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:58:36	Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x46240b…
10-29 02:34:08	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3a089d…
10-29 02:26:44	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x136ad3…
10-29 01:46:41	Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdd1571…
10-29 01:37:10	LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x0bd1af…
10-29 01:36:38	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x647238…
10-29 01:35:38	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x152a12…
10-29 01:28:49	Will Águilas FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x2014fe…
10-28 22:53:26	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x87973c…
10-28 21:14:22	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc452d7…
10-28 21:12:52	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x5fba1a…
10-28 21:10:37	LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6e4835…
10-28 21:10:02	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x91920e…
10-28 18:04:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,255	100¢	$4,251	0x15062a…
10-28 12:31:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x224dc4…
10-28 12:31:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,101	95¢	$2,937	0x114306…
10-28 12:24:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,055	95¢	$1,000	0x0df13f…
10-28 04:59:14	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x539fa9…
10-28 01:32:05	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xbbc53e…
10-27 22:36:23	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xd9e6dd…
10-27 01:53:39	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xd4e639…
10-27 00:18:02	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfd4b10…
10-25 21:02:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x1b75b6…
10-25 00:27:06	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1928c2…
10-20 19:58:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x73e251…
10-20 17:58:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xee192e…
10-20 17:58:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x4b4715…
10-19 01:06:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x57f918…
10-17 16:00:54	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3fce3b…
10-17 15:40:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x629c22…
10-17 13:51:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xa94e01…
10-14 18:33:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf6bd26…
10-14 15:00:34	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4d32b2…
10-14 12:01:26	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1ef343…
10-13 19:33:25	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xde7bde…
10-12 15:17:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x392f94…
10-12 15:16:50	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x470f21…
10-10 14:41:24	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x20aa63…
10-10 13:51:42	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8181fa…
10-07 10:26:26	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	524	83¢	$435	0x35222b…
10-07 08:59:26	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	71	83¢	$59	0x68ccab…
10-07 08:52:53	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbd17a4…
10-06 21:43:02	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4dae61…
10-06 19:03:08	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x727a25…
10-06 16:39:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xe7bb60…
10-06 16:39:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xb61d97…
10-06 16:39:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4a8c93…
10-06 16:39:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	396	80¢	$317	0x1cbe0c…
10-06 16:39:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x0c6f40…
10-06 16:39:29	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xfc21c9…
10-06 16:39:29	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xd4c844…
10-03 02:59:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	82¢	$492	0x5b599b…
10-01 14:00:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xd96b57…
10-01 08:42:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x8c64a5…
09-27 17:08:17	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x626f79…
09-26 18:43:54	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x62f10f…
09-20 04:05:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x83607d…
09-19 20:00:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8d4161…
09-19 19:06:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0xbf6e4c…
09-19 15:16:18	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x7326a8…
09-16 21:44:18	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xcde543…
09-16 18:46:01	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0xa92d4f…
09-16 18:03:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,163	100¢	$1,162	0x181247…
09-16 17:44:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0xf29544…
09-15 19:38:57	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x964fe6…
09-15 18:03:13	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x80a59a…
09-13 19:26:25	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xf9b517…
09-13 14:54:58	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$58	0xfd8476…
09-13 12:41:57	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x69bc24…
09-12 18:44:40	Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xdd5758…
09-12 14:45:49	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x028ab3…
09-12 14:31:31	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x1bfd7c…
09-12 14:04:15	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x2cbd52…
09-11 18:03:54	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd479ed…
09-08 17:37:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa87ade…
09-03 13:54:43	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-03?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdaf6ca…
08-30 19:32:42	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0084e7…
08-30 19:25:30	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb7876a…
08-30 17:35:31	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xcaaa12…
08-29 15:27:04	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xffb315…
08-28 19:14:27	Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0xc70900…
08-28 14:47:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,500	53¢	$1,855	0xa78973…
08-26 18:28:10	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd75a9c…
08-25 19:08:19	Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3e9fa…
08-23 20:06:00	Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf86f72…
08-23 15:09:54	lal mad vil 2026 08 23 btts	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe3d316…
08-22 21:36:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb5bf49…
08-21 13:13:03	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x4e7e1a…
08-20 18:58:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xae8869…
08-20 14:27:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x00b0db…
08-20 09:50:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	72¢	$20	0xeaf64c…
08-17 18:21:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0xcd1228…
08-17 18:15:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	285	73¢	$208	0xe94131…
08-17 18:15:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8fe545…
08-17 18:15:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	73¢	$92	0x4a1cc7…
08-17 18:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x15d29e…
08-17 18:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x095166…
08-17 14:48:07	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x04573a…
08-13 13:58:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xbb9e62…
08-13 13:56:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,286	72¢	$926	0xfd41b9…