Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

-$180

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

293

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$485

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

39% 58% +$20

Crypto

23% 73% -$169

Tech

20% 83% +$57

Politics

9% 57% -$23

Sports

7% 72% +$192

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,477	$399	3¢	$175	-$224	09-08 18:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+207	$60	53¢	$110	+$50	10-13 15:19
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+203	$48	48¢	$98	+$50	09-05 12:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+154	$11	16¢	$24	+$14	10-04 09:42
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+25	$13	66¢	$17	+$3	11-02 17:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	+20	$16	80¢	$16	+$0	11-02 15:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+25	$16	53¢	$13	-$3	09-18 15:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	76¢	$8	+$0	11-02 16:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+150	$26	5¢	$7	-$19	05-03 09:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+10	$6	59¢	$6	$0	07-06 19:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Yes	+170	$19	2¢	$3	-$16	05-03 08:29
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	+50	$18	6¢	$3	-$15	05-05 21:09
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+40	$3	5¢	$2	-$1	10-29 12:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+60	$7	3¢	$2	-$5	08-31 16:38
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+590	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	08-28 16:34
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+120	$13	0¢	$0	-$12	07-28 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	6	$721	380	380	+0	Yes	+$13	01-20 19:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	10	$496	280	280	+0	Yes	+$19	06-14 15:26
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$405	298	298	+0	No	-$147	03-05 14:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$401	220	220	+0	Yes	+$32	07-31 15:38
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	15	$399	5,477	0	+5,477	open	—	09-08 18:22
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	4	$374	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 02:06
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$350	185	185	+0	No	-$2	01-13 15:11
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$278	216	216	-0	Yes	-$11	03-06 17:46
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$270	142	142	+0	No	+$12	03-17 16:22
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$234	126	126	+0	Yes	+$1	01-02 15:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$213	223	0	+223	Yes	+$9	04-02 15:13
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$188	109	109	+0	No	+$25	03-17 16:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	6	$188	317	110	+207	open	—	10-13 15:19
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	2	$183	100	100	+0	No	-$5	07-29 16:12
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$142	199	199	+0	No	-$74	03-20 16:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$134	141	0	+141	Yes	+$7	03-06 17:46
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	2	$133	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 16:06
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$123	140	0	+140	No	+$17	03-20 16:44
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	6	$120	67	67	+0	Yes	-$3	05-13 21:00
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$116	0	117	-117	Yes	$0	01-01 14:56
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$109	60	60	+0	No	+$9	06-22 15:16
will india strike pakistan by march 31	1	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	03-17 17:01
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$3	07-07 17:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	3	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$6	08-30 14:24
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$92	60	60	+0	Yes	+$11	06-18 03:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$91	0	1,139	-1,139	No	+$91	01-29 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$85	110	0	+110	No	+$25	05-18 14:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$83	100	0	+100	No	+$17	04-01 17:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	08-20 15:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	07-01 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:29:46	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x92f32d…
11-02 17:12:10	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x0a0809…
11-02 16:55:58	Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xff7b6e…
11-02 16:50:31	Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)	Mavericks	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x66aed9…
11-02 16:44:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7b685b…
11-02 16:18:27	Suns vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x2aea10…
11-02 16:09:27	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x864c73…
11-02 15:43:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x7d29ba…
11-02 15:38:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xecc267…
11-02 15:38:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3a8d8a…
10-30 17:07:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x17c249…
10-30 17:03:58	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Tulane	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x7117f7…
10-30 17:02:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x573c40…
10-29 12:05:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x82d646…
10-29 12:00:44	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x494a06…
10-29 11:33:14	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x5fa80b…
10-28 17:38:34	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7b33ff…
10-28 17:13:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0xd8ee7b…
10-28 17:08:14	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb4434e…
10-28 17:07:41	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x852156…
10-28 17:07:22	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xaf36f5…
10-28 17:05:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x503f93…
10-28 17:05:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x064c05…
10-27 16:18:00	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x56fab3…
10-26 16:11:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf2f50c…
10-26 15:58:36	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x11aa9c…
10-26 15:53:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1c5ff4…
10-25 13:15:42	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xd85a08…
10-24 12:46:35	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x785a24…
10-24 12:45:32	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x14ba8e…
10-24 12:45:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x489ed5…
10-24 12:38:41	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9347b2…
10-24 02:50:11	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x4fdcfa…
10-24 02:49:33	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa8d658…
10-22 20:35:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xde8816…
10-22 15:03:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x593b86…
10-21 15:25:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x84b1d5…
10-20 15:00:54	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x52ab23…
10-18 21:11:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf64aa1…
10-18 13:48:06	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xced66f…
10-18 13:42:20	Texas Senate favorite on November 2?	Talarico	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x17dfc6…
10-17 17:14:14	Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xb302a7…
10-17 10:11:14	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xb4188e…
10-17 10:06:47	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x992bad…
10-16 15:28:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	416	1¢	$5	0xea2df1…
10-16 15:16:49	Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x78b032…
10-16 15:12:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x281209…
10-16 15:03:42	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x37dc95…
10-16 15:02:58	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x87edc1…
10-16 14:57:33	texas senate favorite on november 2	Talarico	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x11ca54…
10-16 14:53:19	Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe50bc3…
10-16 14:53:12	Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x907dfe…
10-16 14:52:43	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x5f9777…
10-15 16:14:38	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x05e586…
10-15 16:13:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe6e963…
10-15 16:13:19	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	SELL	24	93¢	$23	0x10f136…
10-15 16:11:50	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3378cb…
10-14 15:40:22	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe5af49…
10-14 15:18:57	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xaf2ff1…
10-14 15:04:01	val flyr aeb 2026 10 14	Akave Esports Black	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x5d668c…
10-13 15:29:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x763380…
10-13 15:19:49	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	41¢	$74	0xaa7d38…
10-13 08:10:02	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x29d34f…
10-12 16:49:17	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xe866d5…
10-12 16:24:32	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x8330e2…
10-12 16:17:24	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1d6bca…
10-12 16:16:38	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8537b5…
10-12 16:04:29	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x16990b…
10-12 16:00:54	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in October?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0e848f…
10-12 15:54:21	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x5271ce…
10-11 14:40:10	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe3d16a…
10-11 11:04:18	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe66f8e…
10-10 15:23:39	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x509809…
10-10 13:33:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfc4ef7…
10-10 12:20:36	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xa17b43…
10-10 12:20:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc6dddf…
10-10 10:42:55	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x09f58d…
10-10 10:42:42	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x8f018a…
10-10 10:33:48	Will SI.gov launch by October 31?	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf3aff7…
10-10 10:23:06	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe890a6…
10-09 16:57:26	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	354	2¢	$6	0x2efc93…
10-09 16:52:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x90b04e…
10-09 16:52:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x56a6f9…
10-09 16:50:46	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x5b005f…
10-08 15:45:21	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x042439…
10-08 15:33:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x0d4b11…
10-08 15:32:45	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb2c451…
10-08 15:29:14	Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3cf6ab…
10-08 13:44:38	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x113a21…
10-07 19:00:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6b63ef…
10-07 17:31:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xec6a8d…
10-07 16:17:25	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x344e6e…
10-07 16:09:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa40f51…
10-07 15:37:10	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xaa2895…
10-07 15:35:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfe450a…
10-06 16:35:06	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x4c1ab8…
10-06 16:16:51	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xaa3f8f…
10-06 15:56:00	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xc8eb28…
10-06 15:48:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x7f8094…
10-06 15:47:42	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6b9e8f…