Alarming-Hiking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

867

Trades

1,708

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-22 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

100% 90% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 6?	2	$110	62	62	+0	Yes	+$12	06-06 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 7?	2	$108	62	62	+0	Yes	+$14	06-07 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 6?	2	$102	56	56	+0	Yes	+$10	06-06 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5?	2	$99	53	53	+0	Yes	+$7	06-05 18:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?	2	$97	55	55	+0	Yes	+$12	06-06 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	2	$88	45	45	+0	Yes	+$2	06-05 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?	5	$86	50	50	+0	Yes	-$9	05-09 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?	2	$56	31	31	+0	Yes	+$5	05-31 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 1?	2	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$7	06-01 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31?	3	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$7	06-01 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 4?	4	$54	30	30	+0	Yes	+$6	06-04 19:09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	3	$53	52	21	+31	Yes	-$5	05-01 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?	2	$51	31	31	+0	Yes	+$10	06-04 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 31?	2	$50	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	05-31 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3?	2	$50	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	06-03 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?	2	$50	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?	2	$49	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	05-11 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	1	$49	62	0	+62	No	-$49	06-07 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 2?	2	$49	27	27	+0	Yes	+$5	06-02 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?	2	$49	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	06-02 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?	2	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	05-08 22:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	2	$48	27	27	+0	Yes	+$5	05-12 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 5?	3	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?	3	$48	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 00:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?	2	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 3?	2	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 19:14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?	3	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	05-09 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 10?	2	$46	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	05-10 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	2	$46	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	05-08 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?	2	$46	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 14:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x2a9895…
10-22 14:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf94718…
10-22 11:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8f7ac3…
10-22 06:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x9a426c…
10-22 01:47:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf5c804…
10-21 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x72abf1…
10-21 11:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x209e86…
10-21 06:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x070f0d…
10-20 18:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4cf0bd…
10-20 17:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xc83ed5…
10-20 14:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xc5334c…
10-20 12:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xac2bb9…
10-20 12:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x49f5d6…
10-20 11:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x8a2ca4…
10-20 04:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x536e9b…
10-19 22:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7de1d3…
10-19 20:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf0e083…
10-19 16:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcb2b49…
10-19 16:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x5cae42…
10-19 15:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x982efb…
10-19 12:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x0d0fe6…
10-19 11:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x183ac7…
10-19 08:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3ecb91…
10-19 01:51:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc1ba04…
10-18 20:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x6bea68…
10-18 19:14:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2a85a0…
10-18 14:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x797f7f…
10-18 03:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd0c9a…
10-17 22:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x10a243…
10-17 21:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x1048e6…
10-17 21:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcd8b6b…
10-17 18:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xadd057…
10-17 13:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x47153d…
10-17 13:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xad4d2f…
10-16 23:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xc6ffc3…
10-16 23:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x86abea…
10-16 21:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e115e…
10-16 18:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb3407b…
10-16 14:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x972fe4…
10-16 12:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe12637…
10-15 21:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x34b732…
10-15 20:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4bae45…
10-15 15:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x17c833…
10-15 14:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xffd7e4…
10-15 11:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc867c2…
10-15 07:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x62fe31…
10-14 20:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb79413…
10-14 14:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x5978cf…
10-14 14:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9e5446…
10-14 14:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x781dc2…
10-14 11:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1f64e6…
10-14 11:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0baa00…
10-14 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf86546…
10-14 06:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x129a4e…
10-13 02:01:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x119545…
10-12 20:08:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xbd24d5…
10-12 18:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3c99a9…
10-12 13:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x3b543d…
10-12 12:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcd71e3…
10-12 12:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x53b25f…
10-12 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x255e84…
10-12 05:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaf15e8…
10-11 23:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4fae46…
10-11 21:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7a1df4…
10-11 14:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x1553fb…
10-10 18:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x890945…
10-10 12:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf62873…
10-10 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe09dd3…
10-10 11:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb712e3…
10-10 07:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x419e96…
10-10 05:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xbd157c…
10-10 05:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x3191b7…
10-10 04:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x645a12…
10-09 21:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8ee7ee…
10-09 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xdc63f1…
10-09 15:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x7391a0…
10-09 14:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc0b6d0…
10-08 18:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd40161…
10-08 12:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x0e4952…
10-08 07:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x45ea42…
10-08 07:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x18fe4f…
10-08 07:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0c048c…
10-08 06:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xba522a…
10-08 05:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9822ba…
10-07 21:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x9f134b…
10-07 19:54:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x660619…
10-07 19:35:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8e84df…
10-07 19:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x369feb…
10-07 14:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x552f10…
10-07 14:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x35fd27…
10-06 08:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x997c01…
10-06 07:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xa0a83c…
10-06 04:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc92936…
10-05 22:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x2c4d71…
10-05 15:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb7d5fa…
10-05 06:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x78773c…
10-05 06:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x362aee…
10-05 05:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5986fa…
10-04 23:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb62244…
10-04 23:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xae754f…