Devoted-Cashew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

126

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-12 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 27% $-23

Other

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 prv ts7 2026 03 21	11	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	03-21 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 11:28
cs2 mglz vit 2026 03 21	6	$11	37	37	+0	open	—	03-21 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$9	05-07 02:29
cs2 uno ge3 2026 03 21	4	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$7	10	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-07 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$6	23	0	+23	Up	+$18	05-07 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 06:55
btc updown 15m 1773907200	5	$5	6	5	+2	open	—	03-19 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$5	11	5	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 14:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	113	113	+0	open	—	04-11 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-07 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 08:56
btc updown 15m 1773860400	4	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$4	12	6	+6	Up	$-1	05-10 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-10 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-10 01:41
btc updown 15m 1773861300	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	03-18 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$3	12	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 15:29
btc updown 5m 1773475500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6f3f63…
05-12 03:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x25a83e…
05-12 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09310a…
05-11 23:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5f947a…
05-11 20:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x938977…
05-11 20:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce8fec…
05-11 18:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x965aa8…
05-11 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1c62bf…
05-11 17:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x678b37…
05-11 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7cd04b…
05-11 17:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x58482c…
05-11 17:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x97b958…
05-11 17:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x00ba4b…
05-11 17:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x30257c…
05-11 17:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x80bd39…
05-11 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb1f32d…
05-11 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde30dd…
05-11 16:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x320619…
05-11 16:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x638c1e…
05-11 16:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9294a0…
05-11 16:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3d9f7b…
05-11 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8ace6e…
05-11 16:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1eb946…
05-11 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x532a2e…
05-11 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1a078…
05-11 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd04ec6…
05-11 15:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9c53fe…
05-11 15:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0c544a…
05-11 15:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x509c55…
05-11 15:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99ffd2…
05-11 15:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf93f9d…
05-11 15:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x075e6a…
05-11 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc9b54…
05-11 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c7445…
05-11 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe0571e…
05-11 14:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2fc5d0…
05-11 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x651e38…
05-11 14:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8687fb…
05-11 12:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7190c9…
05-11 12:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd7f69e…
05-11 11:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x628f52…
05-11 11:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e8564…
05-11 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x3cd1ba…
05-11 11:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd917cd…
05-11 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xbe7c7d…
05-11 11:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5437a6…
05-10 16:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb8ee8b…
05-10 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde5d4d…
05-10 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8854ac…
05-10 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7f2523…
05-10 16:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68b641…
05-10 15:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x3c7cf6…
05-10 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x7304fa…
05-10 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6834fa…
05-10 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x35a0f9…
05-10 14:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x918809…
05-10 14:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x36bd64…
05-10 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb700e1…
05-10 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x72c4a0…
05-10 13:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe2405b…
05-10 13:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf9d66…
05-10 11:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xd8466f…
05-10 11:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x1bf224…
05-10 07:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xee837f…
05-10 07:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaca116…
05-10 06:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xc444b9…
05-10 06:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb57e8f…
05-10 05:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6ac421…
05-10 05:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4366f4…
05-10 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc2d0c0…
05-10 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe19518…
05-10 02:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbb8a12…
05-10 02:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcb73c7…
05-10 02:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa619dc…
05-10 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd544eb…
05-10 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb7f857…
05-10 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xaa2513…
05-10 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x340b83…
05-09 23:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xbc87d5…
05-09 22:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe565af…
05-09 22:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x838971…
05-09 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcc9549…
05-09 21:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1fe407…
05-09 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xef99f7…
05-09 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x93e4f7…
05-09 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x86a692…
05-09 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x823172…
05-09 20:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xd180a3…
05-09 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x649d9e…
05-09 19:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x15c292…
05-09 18:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe65be7…
05-09 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7dfb56…
05-09 18:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x091676…
05-09 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x79a1ea…
05-09 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2c6d85…
05-09 09:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x817843…
05-09 09:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x40ec71…
05-09 09:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x2c202d…
05-09 09:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbab571…
05-09 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x42f067…