Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.1%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-03

last 10-22 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

62% 5% -$789

Politics

28% 0% -$468

Crypto

11% 24% -$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	5	$424	398	398	+0	Yes	+$77	10-19 17:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$375	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	09-21 13:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$218	729	729	+0	open	—	10-21 15:40
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	6	$218	757	0	+757	Yes	-$218	10-13 14:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	3	$162	1,620	858	+761	Yes	-$112	09-29 19:09
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	3	$149	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	10-12 20:45
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	2	$141	901	0	+901	No	-$141	09-28 06:37
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	3	$133	2,610	0	+2,610	Yes	-$133	08-03 06:30
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	3	$114	2,731	0	+2,731	Yes	-$114	09-22 15:36
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?	2	$106	161	161	+0	Yes	-$5	08-03 15:07
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$100	463	463	+0	open	—	10-08 17:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	6	$94	1,078	125	+953	Yes	-$81	10-22 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$75	235	235	+0	open	—	10-19 13:51
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	3	$69	741	0	+741	Yes	-$69	10-13 13:51
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	1	$65	338	0	+338	Yes	-$65	10-13 05:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$55	308	308	+0	Yes	-$25	10-08 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$55	1,474	0	+1,474	Down	-$55	10-01 12:17
Paris curfew by October 19?	2	$54	455	0	+455	Yes	-$54	10-19 17:28
Trump renames AI by September 30?	3	$48	1,319	0	+1,319	Yes	-$48	09-29 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:15 UTC	6	$47	126	0	+126	Down	-$47	08-03 15:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$43	271	0	+271	No	-$43	09-14 17:21
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	4	$40	367	0	+367	No	-$40	10-22 15:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	1	$30	859	0	+859	No	-$30	09-28 17:55
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$29	405	0	+405	No	-$29	10-21 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$27	269	0	+269	Down	-$27	10-01 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$27	87	0	+87	Down	+$60	10-01 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$25	161	0	+161	Up	-$25	10-01 12:13
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	1	$25	1,632	0	+1,632	Yes	-$25	10-01 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$14	10-22 15:25
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	2	$24	209	209	+0	open	—	09-22 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:50:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	1,488	1¢	$17	0xa89fd4…
10-22 17:49:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x87de23…
10-22 15:26:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	5¢	$5	0x7ea18c…
10-22 15:26:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	260	6¢	$15	0x1720d1…
10-22 15:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7d8e92…
10-22 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc33fc9…
10-22 15:12:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xdcc23f…
10-22 15:10:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0x0ed91c…
10-21 15:40:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	122	14¢	$17	0x33248c…
10-21 15:40:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	132	13¢	$17	0xc6d258…
10-21 10:27:23	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0x1c5d32…
10-21 10:27:00	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	283	4¢	$12	0xed8c09…
10-21 10:26:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xdc290b…
10-21 01:01:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	13¢	$22	0x62cd86…
10-21 01:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	161	13¢	$21	0x6b9dbb…
10-19 19:55:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	475	16¢	$76	0xe9945d…
10-19 19:51:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	224	9¢	$20	0x574aff…
10-19 18:25:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	309	14¢	$43	0x4f3c96…
10-19 17:28:45	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	372	1¢	$5	0xd3c533…
10-19 17:28:21	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	98¢	$148	0xc4c974…
10-19 17:06:29	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0x6ae568…
10-19 15:56:18	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x89bb34…
10-19 15:45:27	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	247	42¢	$103	0xf3bb3e…
10-19 13:52:03	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	83	59¢	$49	0x795ae0…
10-19 13:51:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	107	14¢	$15	0xd20874…
10-19 13:51:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	235	15¢	$35	0xa6f8af…
10-19 13:49:42	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	247	30¢	$74	0xe69be3…
10-18 20:50:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x08eb2d…
10-18 20:49:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xe54997…
10-18 20:49:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x5e5e85…
10-18 20:44:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	13¢	$13	0xa49aff…
10-13 14:38:56	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	118	8¢	$9	0xe6269c…
10-13 13:51:31	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	67	8¢	$5	0x852a16…
10-13 13:41:10	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$7	0x1800ca…
10-13 13:40:49	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0xee1792…
10-13 13:38:53	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	361	8¢	$29	0x23c769…
10-13 09:16:52	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	313	11¢	$34	0x750bcc…
10-13 07:04:07	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	224	21¢	$47	0x307e0f…
10-13 05:46:43	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	338	19¢	$65	0x19fb8c…
10-12 21:15:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	148	30¢	$44	0xc3d872…
10-12 20:46:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	108	38¢	$41	0x63dee2…
10-12 20:45:47	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	709	6¢	$43	0x350ba6…
10-12 20:37:44	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x1c6e5a…
10-12 20:37:20	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	434	6¢	$26	0x54555a…
10-12 19:48:03	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x18a043…
10-12 19:41:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x0d996b…
10-12 19:41:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x1f31fc…
10-12 19:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0x8415b0…
10-12 19:35:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	20¢	$29	0xaeb322…
10-12 19:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb8ee4e…
10-12 19:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x45bb85…
10-12 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xe24a77…
10-12 11:23:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	123	5¢	$6	0xd9c773…
10-12 11:21:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xe72d60…
10-12 07:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x5a409d…
10-12 07:48:52	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	1,143	7¢	$80	0x0e6ab7…
10-08 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	98	22¢	$22	0x692bec…
10-08 17:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7f70ad…
10-08 17:06:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	308	5¢	$15	0xffdcc2…
10-08 17:06:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	165	11¢	$18	0x7753f7…
10-06 22:14:17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0xbc3c73…
10-06 22:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	1,435	0¢	$3	0xa0ecfc…
10-06 22:06:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x3b56ae…
10-06 22:05:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$3	0x15426a…
10-06 22:04:29	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	167	5¢	$8	0xfd6395…
10-01 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x934609…
10-01 12:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x7dc2e4…
10-01 12:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xe35a04…
10-01 12:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x8ab213…
10-01 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	161	16¢	$25	0x792d36…
10-01 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdbcb77…
10-01 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe04f5c…
10-01 11:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1cd00f…
10-01 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x30c7db…
10-01 11:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0ecae1…
10-01 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x83856e…
10-01 11:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xff688b…
10-01 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf2569a…
10-01 11:38:56	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,632	2¢	$25	0xe3f298…
09-29 21:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe47b46…
09-29 21:12:39	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	229	4¢	$10	0xcce2f1…
09-29 21:00:15	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	281	5¢	$14	0x7ee342…
09-29 19:09:48	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	809	3¢	$24	0x3f5e8e…
09-29 19:09:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	858	3¢	$25	0x82bee3…
09-28 17:55:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	Yes	BUY	859	3¢	$30	0x5a43e8…
09-28 17:52:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	298	10¢	$30	0xba289a…
09-28 06:43:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	298	11¢	$33	0x624ac2…
09-28 06:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf1944d…
09-28 06:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xb02390…
09-28 06:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x0c8012…
09-28 06:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x0a259d…
09-28 06:37:41	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0xb6942a…
09-28 06:36:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xaa93c0…
09-24 19:43:30	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	242	3¢	$7	0xe258f1…
09-24 19:43:06	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	538	1¢	$7	0xa19c48…
09-24 19:40:36	Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x46dc3d…
09-24 19:39:50	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0xd588a8…
09-22 20:56:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,120	10¢	$112	0xd006b9…
09-22 20:37:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	325	3¢	$9	0x271cd2…
09-22 20:36:32	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	209	5¢	$9	0xb6642f…