Dirty-Candle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$268

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

196 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$446

$25.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-04 05:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

62% 44% +$73

Politics

26% 57% +$606

Crypto

7% 47% +$368

Sports

5% 17% +$1,520

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+3,700	$78	1¢	$35	-$43	11-04 05:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	2	$4.6K	2,576	2,576	+0	No	+$69	06-26 03:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$3.6K	2,800	2,800	+0	Yes	+$1,186	01-30 01:40
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	3	$3.1K	3,241	769	+2,472	Yes	+$126	06-24 23:45
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	3	$1.2K	1,100	694	+405	No	+$1	06-21 20:35
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	9	$1.1K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$150	01-12 15:06
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	Yes	+$5	06-18 04:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$740	1,493	1,000	+493	No	-$460	01-17 03:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$600	1,000	0	+1,000	Spain	+$400	07-19 20:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$515	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$35	01-26 05:07
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$500	725	0	+725	Norway	+$225	06-16 22:32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$494	2,585	0	+2,585	Yes	+$2,091	07-10 09:00
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$470	500	500	+0	No	-$100	07-18 21:14
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	4	$457	636	636	+0	No	-$183	06-26 03:55
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	10	$410	2,001	0	+2,001	$2k	-$410	02-05 02:15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$299	500	0	+500	Yes	+$201	07-10 19:07
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	3	$292	598	598	+0	No	-$208	06-24 20:16
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$290	500	0	+500	Yes	-$290	01-26 06:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$250	500	500	+0	Yes	+$10	01-26 05:06
Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	5	$223	393	0	+393	Over	-$223	11-03 03:23
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	6	$220	1,836	0	+1,836	Yes	-$220	05-25 01:04
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$210	500	0	+500	No	+$290	01-04 03:04
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	2	$208	350	0	+350	Yes	+$142	06-26 22:56
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$200	364	0	+364	Yes	+$164	06-29 17:10
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	1	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	06-15 23:56
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$198	300	0	+300	Yes	+$102	06-21 04:02
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	2	$173	179	179	+0	Under	-$27	07-04 21:32
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$153	1,754	1,754	+0	No	-$47	06-29 17:43
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$130	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$130	02-01 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	4	$129	130	130	+0	Down	+$9	07-05 05:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$125	312	312	+0	No	-$25	11-04 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:59:45	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,700	2¢	$78	0xf024f8…
11-04 02:56:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	16¢	$50	0x9f2652…
11-03 04:44:21	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0x583291…
11-03 04:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x4e6e77…
11-03 03:23:40	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa6f833…
11-03 00:43:51	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0xee31fe…
11-03 00:13:21	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x38bac8…
11-03 00:12:19	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	66	57¢	$38	0xc4b3e9…
11-02 23:43:34	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xacfaf3…
07-19 20:02:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x01a470…
07-18 21:14:09	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0x8c2ec1…
07-18 20:50:01	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x5a14b6…
07-10 19:07:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$299	0xa81a83…
07-10 09:00:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	585	17¢	$100	0x360e7d…
07-09 19:59:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$394	0x2050d5…
07-07 20:05:29	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x512d21…
07-07 01:10:05	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0xce608f…
07-06 20:07:19	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0xb9e8d5…
07-06 19:22:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x74a07d…
07-05 20:05:17	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa06018…
07-05 05:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xee12a6…
07-05 05:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	83	53¢	$44	0xb13dd4…
07-05 05:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5a15d1…
07-05 05:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	46	53¢	$24	0x146846…
07-05 05:37:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x8d9bac…
07-05 05:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	132	25¢	$33	0x8795c7…
07-05 05:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	132	23¢	$30	0xe06425…
07-05 05:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	235	8¢	$18	0x88f556…
07-05 05:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	235	13¢	$30	0x5332a9…
07-05 04:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	119	25¢	$30	0x2403a5…
07-05 04:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0xb4eb60…
07-05 04:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x86d382…
07-05 02:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x19890b…
07-05 02:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0xdde0f0…
07-05 02:27:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xcbef14…
07-04 21:32:04	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	179	41¢	$73	0xb9bfde…
07-04 21:05:44	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x9ffac8…
07-04 18:17:56	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xe58dc2…
07-04 18:01:01	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	450	23¢	$104	0x96e95b…
07-02 23:29:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x722ca1…
07-01 22:37:43	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xe6d155…
07-01 22:25:41	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x0aa2f4…
06-29 17:43:58	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,754	3¢	$53	0x10ee15…
06-29 17:28:55	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x108f57…
06-29 17:10:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xf7322b…
06-28 20:31:25	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2f1be5…
06-28 06:57:59	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0xffd1b9…
06-28 06:29:32	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,762	2¢	$100	0xe78eb8…
06-28 06:29:14	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,206	5¢	$100	0xb2ff87…
06-28 06:27:44	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,754	6¢	$100	0x456b4d…
06-28 03:56:38	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xcebdcc…
06-28 03:10:17	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x31c48b…
06-27 23:58:55	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x85ff49…
06-27 23:56:19	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xd1f84b…
06-26 22:56:25	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3e0967…
06-26 21:38:40	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x7ce289…
06-26 18:32:53	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe62377…
06-26 07:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x94858d…
06-26 07:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	86	28¢	$24	0x66fb7f…
06-26 07:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xa9b107…
06-26 07:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x28498c…
06-26 06:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x985005…
06-26 06:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	61	15¢	$9	0x3e54a9…
06-26 06:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x514b95…
06-26 06:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x583643…
06-26 06:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf68b25…
06-26 06:31:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x61fb10…
06-26 06:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x034f00…
06-26 04:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1a819b…
06-26 04:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x14098b…
06-26 04:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x7c9d02…
06-26 03:58:22	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,576	92¢	$2,357	0x74f6b0…
06-26 03:56:37	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,576	89¢	$2,288	0x40cb34…
06-26 03:55:55	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	426	6¢	$26	0x7b7b8a…
06-26 03:26:46	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x743930…
06-26 03:26:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	211	53¢	$112	0xc53e54…
06-26 03:19:04	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	211	57¢	$120	0x33d499…
06-24 23:45:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	2,472	89¢	$2,200	0x24754c…
06-24 23:39:46	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	769	46¢	$354	0x4231c5…
06-24 22:50:50	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xd3803c…
06-24 20:16:14	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	598	7¢	$42	0x493b30…
06-24 19:51:26	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x26ff29…
06-24 19:42:29	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	366	41¢	$150	0x41f38e…
06-24 03:39:41	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	No	SELL	102	8¢	$8	0xdb82cc…
06-24 03:25:46	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xbc4583…
06-24 03:20:04	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x04a382…
06-24 03:17:50	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xced7bc…
06-23 20:32:07	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x75114e…
06-23 20:26:55	England to score first vs. Ghana?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1c5ded…
06-23 04:01:56	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xf812ee…
06-21 22:29:58	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7255e3…
06-21 20:35:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xdcde6e…
06-21 20:20:44	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	694	57¢	$396	0x131b63…
06-21 19:12:32	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0x046301…
06-21 04:02:31	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x924944…
06-20 05:01:34	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	133	8¢	$11	0xaf121b…
06-20 05:00:53	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xcc1ebb…
06-20 03:40:26	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	233	30¢	$70	0x65ad40…
06-19 19:45:49	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa1f346…
06-19 01:09:34	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbbcd27…