Nocturnal-Monger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$52

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

563

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$7.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-27 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Politics

38% 21% +$488

Crypto

27% 47% -$128

Other

24% 43% -$327

Sports

9% 57% -$1,070

Tech

3% 50% -$80

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-714	-$66	1¢	$-10	+$56	05-12 20:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+38	$5	4¢	$1	-$4	06-15 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$1.1K	3,164	871	+2,293	Yes	+$617	04-21 12:05
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	14	$651	516	516	+0	Yes	-$27	06-12 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	2	$612	507	485	+22	No	+$212	04-22 15:53
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	8	$228	146	146	+0	No	+$62	06-01 04:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	5	$214	451	451	+0	No	+$2	06-04 14:37
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$209	1,224	1,326	-103	No	-$33	06-22 10:20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$195	0	1,235	-1,235	Yes	-$1,039	06-15 21:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	3	$102	184	0	+184	Yes	-$102	06-22 10:20
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$100	4,393	0	+4,393	No	-$100	04-04 19:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$99	67	67	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 08:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	2	$92	65	62	+2	Yes	+$35	04-23 16:36
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	1	$89	835	0	+835	No	-$89	04-21 13:56
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$86	51	51	+0	Yes	+$15	06-01 04:51
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$78	445	419	+26	No	-$78	04-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?	1	$78	189	0	+189	No	-$78	06-06 08:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$73	43	43	+0	No	+$13	04-23 19:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	4	$67	76	73	+3	No	-$1	04-27 15:58
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	1	$66	0	714	-714	open	—	05-12 20:24
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	4	$64	22	175	-152	Yes	+$30	05-05 17:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	2	$62	43	43	+0	Yes	+$22	06-05 16:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	2	$60	125	118	+7	No	$0	04-22 17:50
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	2	$53	1,765	0	+1,765	No	-$53	04-22 17:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$50	1,426	0	+1,426	Yes	-$50	04-21 12:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$49	0	298	-298	No	+$49	05-28 10:01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$48	77	0	+77	Yes	+$29	05-27 08:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	7	$42	184	142	+42	Yes	-$8	06-15 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:35 UTC	1	$40	51	0	+51	Down	-$40	04-22 16:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	2	$40	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	05-30 15:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$39	491	458	+34	No	-$10	04-22 20:25
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$39	29	29	+0	No	-$1	04-30 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 12:02:28	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	222	0¢	$1	0x676ee5…
06-23 21:48:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x77d2ac…
06-23 18:29:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa4151e…
06-23 14:29:44	will pope leo xiv be time person of the year 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x8ddf5c…
06-23 06:45:43	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Ronaldo	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x604a58…
06-22 19:05:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x14440a…
06-22 18:52:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0e0d56…
06-22 15:47:07	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x240577…
06-22 15:46:47	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb5fb39…
06-22 15:46:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x5892b2…
06-22 15:46:04	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb331dd…
06-22 15:45:41	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf5a5b7…
06-22 10:20:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	156	56¢	$87	0x871968…
06-22 10:20:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,326	7¢	$88	0x508517…
06-22 10:19:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa02dd0…
06-22 08:09:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7e189e…
06-21 21:22:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c78ec…
06-21 21:12:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4998dd…
06-21 21:11:43	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0badec…
06-21 21:11:28	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8bc6d3…
06-21 21:11:17	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf63c5d…
06-21 21:10:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc0ba40…
06-21 18:35:07	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xda0a40…
06-21 08:49:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xa89a8a…
06-20 20:54:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x92d69f…
06-20 20:38:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1467cf…
06-20 20:31:19	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1803ae…
06-20 20:31:16	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe98525…
06-20 18:26:58	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeed315…
06-20 13:22:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4fadef…
06-19 11:52:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x63fcb4…
06-19 09:21:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0xb4ae52…
06-19 05:32:52	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x94dc73…
06-18 20:33:55	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3f06ed…
06-18 20:15:17	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa18ae8…
06-18 11:11:38	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4d43f3…
06-18 10:57:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc4d909…
06-17 19:01:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc1e62b…
06-17 15:57:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5e46b3…
06-17 14:26:19	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x954a67…
06-17 14:24:40	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x77fc0a…
06-17 12:55:17	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x86f7a9…
06-17 12:55:05	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x7987ee…
06-17 12:40:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe9c93a…
06-16 12:52:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x59ad7c…
06-16 12:52:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xaf895b…
06-15 21:40:42	Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1b3339…
06-15 21:39:30	World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo	Ronaldo	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf3bf37…
06-15 21:37:40	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc8cc66…
06-15 21:37:07	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x2299de…
06-15 21:35:39	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xf2016f…
06-15 21:34:45	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x50c36c…
06-15 21:26:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x553d16…
06-15 21:22:03	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd3a399…
06-15 21:19:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3d39c8…
06-15 21:17:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6d0187…
06-15 21:08:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	632	14¢	$90	0x6e8691…
06-15 17:17:45	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf76902…
06-15 12:40:46	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x246a88…
06-15 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4f941b…
06-14 17:01:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x28262e…
06-14 15:41:34	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe70ef0…
06-14 15:40:39	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xc40bd9…
06-14 07:27:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x850131…
06-14 05:19:12	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x15315b…
06-14 05:02:48	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x671a23…
06-13 21:13:03	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe06089…
06-13 21:11:31	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x19add1…
06-13 21:10:19	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x174802…
06-13 21:07:36	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xec3419…
06-13 20:03:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3b336b…
06-13 14:32:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1a83a9…
06-13 14:31:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	51	25¢	$13	0xe01859…
06-13 10:03:18	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x97a421…
06-13 09:58:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8d6520…
06-13 08:36:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x1c0d6f…
06-12 18:32:16	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	108	38¢	$41	0xb7c148…
06-12 16:55:34	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7f7364…
06-12 16:55:15	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbcac8a…
06-12 16:54:16	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x05a831…
06-12 16:54:15	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x0c4ccf…
06-12 13:51:51	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb8cdf4…
06-12 13:51:31	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9d2bd9…
06-12 12:06:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x25788a…
06-11 19:27:37	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x6e2706…
06-11 12:35:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x56dc2f…
06-11 12:32:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf71817…
06-10 13:56:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$3	0x0b7300…
06-10 10:05:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x92cded…
06-09 07:58:49	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0xcc807e…
06-08 06:42:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x42737c…
06-08 06:41:58	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x67eee9…
06-07 10:26:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	229	15¢	$35	0xe1192e…
06-07 10:25:33	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	52	72¢	$37	0xc5e1ef…
06-06 09:45:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$14	0x702494…
06-06 09:44:39	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x017a02…
06-06 08:12:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	189	41¢	$78	0xba2712…
06-05 16:20:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xad79df…
06-05 13:25:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	183	2¢	$4	0xa1ecad…
06-05 11:22:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x4b1be6…