Weekly-Pension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$423

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-30 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$16

Politics

39% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$979	504	504	+0	open	—	05-09 05:55
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$874	460	460	+0	open	—	07-30 06:52
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	2	$868	460	460	+0	open	—	07-30 08:05
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	2	$865	450	450	+0	open	—	07-08 05:14
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$858	455	455	+0	open	—	07-08 06:52
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	2	$856	455	455	+0	open	—	07-23 06:36
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$847	450	450	+0	open	—	07-23 07:26
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$592	305	305	+0	open	—	06-18 05:53
Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	1	$499	505	0	+505	FC Hermannstadt	+$6	05-11 08:49
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$490	500	0	+500	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 07:48
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$434	462	0	+462	open	—	04-24 06:28
uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$301	320	0	+320	open	—	04-09 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 08:05:12	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	460	94¢	$434	0xb0ff1a…
07-30 07:24:38	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	460	94¢	$434	0xc71012…
07-30 06:52:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	95¢	$437	0x50fa51…
07-30 05:53:47	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	95¢	$437	0xcd3eb1…
07-23 07:26:10	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	450	94¢	$424	0xad398b…
07-23 06:42:25	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	450	94¢	$423	0x95ff4c…
07-23 06:36:19	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	455	94¢	$425	0x661f86…
07-23 05:57:09	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	455	95¢	$431	0x88f808…
07-08 06:52:01	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0x440306…
07-08 06:14:31	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	455	94¢	$430	0x19928e…
07-08 05:14:10	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	450	97¢	$435	0x95f47d…
07-08 03:25:01	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	450	96¢	$430	0xcd5c05…
06-18 05:53:05	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	305	97¢	$296	0x175690…
06-18 05:18:35	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	305	97¢	$296	0x385c67…
05-11 08:49:52	Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	505	99¢	$499	0x4e366c…
05-09 07:48:30	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x1b2f8d…
05-09 05:55:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	504	97¢	$490	0xd40e0e…
05-09 05:14:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	504	97¢	$489	0x8b1f0d…
04-24 06:28:22	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	462	94¢	$434	0xefd631…
04-09 06:50:25	uel por1 not 2026 04 09 spread home 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	320	94¢	$301	0xff4ecc…