Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$706

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

186

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-20 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 40% -$517

Politics

22% 59% -$160

Sports

7% 20% -$17

Other

3% 50% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+12	$10	44¢	$6	-$4	05-03 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	10	$265	1,258	334	+924	Yes	-$47	01-31 19:43
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$154	1,252	0	+1,252	Down	-$154	01-20 05:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$150	254	0	+254	Yes	-$150	05-07 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$135	81	81	+0	Up	+$26	05-02 23:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	2	$133	82	81	+1	Yes	+$21	03-31 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5PM ET	2	$112	58	58	+0	Up	+$5	05-02 22:35
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$109	151	151	+0	Sean Strickland	+$54	05-10 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$106	127	44	+84	Up	+$22	05-05 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$91	133	7	+125	Down	+$43	05-01 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$90	105	80	+25	Down	+$20	05-01 22:52
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	2	$81	51	50	+1	Yes	+$10	04-06 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$78	77	77	+0	Up	-$2	05-10 15:04
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	1	$76	102	0	+102	Up	+$27	04-01 02:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$74	81	81	+0	No	+$34	04-25 15:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 25?	1	$73	1,414	0	+1,414	No	-$73	04-25 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	4	$71	70	56	+14	Up	+$32	04-25 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	1	$71	92	0	+92	Up	+$21	05-01 03:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$71	51	51	+0	No	+$17	05-13 17:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$66	42	42	+0	No	+$12	04-25 15:29
bitcoin above 68k on april 2	2	$62	121	0	+121	No	-$62	04-02 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	2	$59	116	0	+116	Up	-$59	04-26 01:24
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	3	$55	65	0	+65	Yes	-$55	04-17 09:35
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	3	$51	589	0	+589	No	-$51	02-24 03:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$48	31	31	+0	No	+$9	04-24 18:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$46	89	84	+5	No	+$6	04-17 04:39
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 10?	2	$45	5,166	0	+5,166	Yes	-$45	05-10 13:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	2	$42	57	0	+57	Yes	+$15	03-30 05:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	1	$39	47	0	+47	No	+$8	04-04 15:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$38	26	26	+0	No	+$8	04-24 18:49
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	2	$38	294	1,002	-707	No	+$28	05-04 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 01:01:39	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xfd3180…
09-20 01:01:01	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x1aa028…
07-12 03:08:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x58a041…
07-12 03:07:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x43dfc8…
06-15 02:35:43	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdf2afd…
06-15 02:20:55	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 pereira win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xc6b010…
06-15 01:00:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb072e1…
06-03 16:44:34	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x30c509…
06-03 16:44:28	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xff8418…
05-18 02:47:51	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	278	5¢	$14	0x3acbe7…
05-18 02:47:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xbb8923…
05-18 02:47:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x70b049…
05-17 07:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8681aa…
05-17 07:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd73e26…
05-17 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	19¢	$12	0x6c813e…
05-16 22:13:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa033c8…
05-16 22:07:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	206	5¢	$10	0xde7309…
05-16 22:06:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xaa955f…
05-16 22:05:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x12383e…
05-13 21:49:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	349	2¢	$6	0x9c59f1…
05-13 21:49:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	371	2¢	$6	0x753947…
05-13 21:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0xbf6a95…
05-13 20:11:44	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xef5ee9…
05-13 17:49:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x8390f8…
05-13 17:46:46	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xa8f864…
05-13 15:50:36	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdfbf46…
05-13 15:50:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x68e503…
05-13 15:50:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x29148b…
05-13 15:49:56	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x00e0de…
05-13 04:52:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,244	1¢	$10	0xd33af2…
05-10 16:05:20	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x4c065d…
05-10 16:03:35	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb68694…
05-10 15:27:11	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	765	1¢	$10	0xfc5e6f…
05-10 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	77	49¢	$38	0x5c6192…
05-10 15:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xdf9ab3…
05-10 13:35:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9c69fe…
05-10 11:56:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf92f37…
05-10 10:35:47	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x033cc2…
05-10 04:49:59	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	166	24¢	$40	0x359abd…
05-10 04:25:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	151	54¢	$81	0xde2b2e…
05-09 23:44:16	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	58	41¢	$24	0xa8d61a…
05-09 23:31:10	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	225	11¢	$25	0x832690…
05-08 03:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x64e170…
05-08 02:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x7b5d52…
05-08 02:39:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x42cc45…
05-07 18:25:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	151	18¢	$27	0x04e297…
05-07 16:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x66b674…
05-07 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbca39a…
05-07 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x026e57…
05-07 12:31:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x98adf9…
05-07 12:31:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0xc1f540…
05-06 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf3e6ef…
05-06 23:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb752a6…
05-06 23:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x5adc86…
05-06 23:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xabf75a…
05-06 04:21:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcfeb96…
05-06 04:21:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7b87ea…
05-06 04:21:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbd57ab…
05-06 01:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc59b44…
05-05 16:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x0a85bc…
05-05 16:09:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb5d340…
05-05 16:09:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4358c2…
05-05 14:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf62b03…
05-05 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2efe5b…
05-05 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xce8f71…
05-05 13:41:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x00e05c…
05-05 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x7618ff…
05-05 11:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	44	51¢	$22	0xf74c9d…
05-05 11:26:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$2	0x837b3b…
05-05 11:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$23	0xa5b1f2…
05-05 04:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xecd9c3…
05-04 17:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x15bc11…
05-04 17:24:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7b13b6…
05-04 17:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x2dbff1…
05-04 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1062d2…
05-04 17:15:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0x693888…
05-04 14:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x127de9…
05-04 02:50:58	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xb72d17…
05-04 02:17:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	1,165	1¢	$12	0x90d8a5…
05-04 01:59:00	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,002	3¢	$33	0x298cd2…
05-03 02:15:18	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x06c324…
05-03 02:12:34	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x664bd0…
05-03 00:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xad45d2…
05-02 23:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xa14593…
05-02 23:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x199398…
05-02 23:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x0a5aa3…
05-02 23:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xd0aa6f…
05-02 23:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x173685…
05-02 22:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x87fbb4…
05-02 22:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x8c99d8…
05-02 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0xf6910c…
05-02 21:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	68¢	$55	0x95961b…
05-02 20:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x6929f9…
05-02 19:09:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	634	1¢	$5	0xf3b66d…
05-02 02:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e4601…
05-02 01:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa314f2…
05-01 23:53:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xdf5523…
05-01 22:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd9c7d9…
05-01 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0xaa33dd…
05-01 22:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe62fe5…