Common-Shakedown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

+$108

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

369

Trades

1,252

lifetime

Volume

$101.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$903

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

60% 56% +$198

Sports

33% 50% +$1,343

Politics

7% 48% +$379

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-599	-$563	87¢	$-521	+$42	09-21 07:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-370	-$300	72¢	$-268	+$32	07-12 16:00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+370	$70	28¢	$102	+$31	07-12 16:01
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+73	$4	13¢	$9	+$5	09-06 22:22
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	+46	$4	4¢	$2	-$2	04-30 05:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will chase infiniti be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	22	$13.7K	7,183	6,643	+540	No	+$94	01-22 13:37
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	15	$4.5K	4,560	4,560	+0	Spurs	-$23	05-12 15:29
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	4	$3.3K	3,380	3,269	+111	Washington Nationals	+$1,182	05-12 22:36
Sabres vs. Canadiens	29	$2.6K	2,354	2,354	+0	Sabres	+$0	05-12 13:07
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$8	01-25 01:08
will lee byung hun be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$4	01-22 14:08
will austria record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 486	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$2	02-09 16:00
will die my love be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1.9K	1,931	0	+1,931	No	+$4	01-22 14:07
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	13	$1.8K	2,280	2,280	+0	Cavaliers	+$23	05-11 20:21
Abidjan: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Mert Alkaya	2	$1.7K	1,019	1,019	+0	Mert Alkaya	+$10	04-20 16:57
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$1.7K	1,165	1,165	+0	Karmine Corp	-$12	05-30 13:06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$1.6K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$12	05-30 15:59
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	9	$1.3K	1,387	1,387	+0	Under	+$2	05-11 15:21
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalieva	2	$1.2K	1,395	1,395	+0	Elvina Kalieva	+$0	04-21 08:52
wta lamens montgom 2026 04 17	2	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Robin Montgomery	+$0	04-17 06:52
will mike wheeler die in stranger things season 5	5	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$3	01-01 01:13
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	15	$1.0K	550	550	-0	open	—	06-25 14:16
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	8	$1.0K	607	607	+0	Natus Vincere	+$6	04-26 06:28
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik	2	$984	1,230	1,230	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$0	04-27 09:31
will leonardo dicaprio be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$895	456	456	+0	Yes	+$7	01-08 22:12
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	11	$894	613	376	+237	No	+$22	03-11 21:45
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$893	461	461	+0	No	+$6	03-15 08:36
will avatar fire and ash be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	10	$876	625	625	+0	No	+$22	01-20 07:55
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	10	$809	547	547	+0	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$0	05-12 08:58
will daniel day lewis be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	01-22 14:09
will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	6	$770	404	404	+0	No	+$2	01-14 11:12
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$768	630	629	+0	fnatic	+$0	04-27 12:01
codmw tor riyf 2026 04 18	8	$731	586	536	+50	Toronto KOI	+$31	04-18 20:28
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$717	1,175	1,175	+0	Miami Marlins	-$35	04-29 19:08
den vib bro 2026 04 22 vib	20	$696	627	627	+0	No	+$0	04-22 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 07:21:57	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0xd9a41d…
09-21 07:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x59dfcc…
09-21 07:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x502844…
09-21 07:21:56	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0x4665cc…
09-18 09:01:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8b7645…
09-14 20:17:49	Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0xbc33ea…
09-14 19:40:36	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	SELL	27	56¢	$15	0x7480e4…
09-14 19:40:24	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x7f2bfb…
09-06 22:23:58	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x66ac2e…
09-06 22:23:27	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0x42d265…
09-06 22:23:09	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x6026d7…
09-06 22:22:54	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	No	SELL	57	86¢	$49	0x887b78…
09-06 22:22:33	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x24bd1e…
09-06 22:22:07	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0x76eeeb…
09-05 13:46:04	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	77	28¢	$22	0x80dea5…
09-05 12:32:46	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	94	81¢	$76	0x94b59f…
09-04 15:07:04	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x5d256d…
09-04 00:27:55	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	55	77¢	$42	0x36d804…
09-03 23:24:48	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	77	25¢	$19	0xb8c3c8…
09-03 23:04:36	Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3f6972…
09-03 04:04:36	Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc71196…
09-02 23:04:37	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	93	53¢	$50	0x920993…
09-02 19:13:52	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xd16c4e…
09-02 13:41:09	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	134	2¢	$3	0xee1a2c…
09-02 07:54:33	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	84¢	$30	0xcaa5ab…
09-02 07:54:00	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0x8a1c7c…
09-02 07:53:45	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$5	0x5b4b29…
09-02 07:53:33	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x9fab4a…
09-01 16:22:24	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf59f25…
08-31 01:37:42	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x1bcfca…
08-28 14:29:07	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0xd90c9c…
08-17 16:40:28	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	298	4¢	$11	0x251fc4…
08-16 22:29:06	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x636b98…
08-13 13:51:15	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	No	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0x3d904f…
08-13 08:18:28	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe3028c…
08-11 06:58:00	Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	No	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0xc651eb…
08-10 01:57:00	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xe09941…
08-07 00:56:45	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0x564faa…
08-06 09:24:05	Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0x027a15…
07-27 08:33:45	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0xb6b014…
07-27 07:59:43	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x621117…
07-27 04:49:52	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x68a592…
07-26 19:05:15	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x204fc6…
07-26 19:05:13	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xeaa343…
07-26 19:05:13	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xc87e20…
07-26 19:05:13	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0x4e1517…
07-26 18:54:06	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x4b963d…
07-26 08:20:12	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xf69da2…
07-26 05:02:39	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xf58083…
07-26 03:53:49	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa1d3b8…
07-25 23:51:45	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0xf3e6b6…
07-25 23:50:18	Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x30e04d…
07-25 00:35:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xe4ac73…
07-25 00:31:55	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	53	73¢	$39	0xcbca63…
07-23 14:43:49	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	74	22¢	$17	0xb1c0d6…
07-23 14:18:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x373e99…
07-20 09:27:15	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa4bdab…
07-19 21:00:42	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xf12b29…
07-18 09:29:22	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	SELL	101	8¢	$8	0x77b298…
07-18 09:28:37	Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$45	0xf829d7…
07-18 09:28:10	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	275	0¢	$0	0x4fa18c…
07-18 09:27:40	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0xb7b6c7…
07-18 09:27:30	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0x1b691a…
07-18 09:27:28	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0xe20408…
07-15 05:41:05	Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xba3e6a…
07-15 00:59:29	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x01c612…
07-14 09:23:08	will gavin solomon advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x8eb2c4…
07-14 07:05:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0x59779d…
07-14 05:42:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	95¢	$232	0x83d733…
07-14 04:58:01	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x5c65bd…
07-13 08:14:02	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	275	4¢	$11	0x920bfb…
07-13 00:18:14	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x7db634…
07-13 00:18:07	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x84ce5d…
07-12 16:01:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	370	19¢	$70	0x0b69af…
07-12 16:00:49	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	81¢	$300	0x26f5e6…
07-12 07:53:35	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x46de36…
07-12 07:53:25	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	120	19¢	$23	0x456863…
07-12 07:52:37	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0x5e541d…
07-11 21:51:47	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xed4190…
07-11 21:51:46	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x0dd0a3…
07-11 21:51:43	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xc9026f…
07-11 18:31:28	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	59	86¢	$51	0x21a0f9…
07-11 07:30:44	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	22¢	$8	0x4253fd…
07-11 05:52:41	Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xf3a599…
07-08 12:57:35	Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x11c397…
07-08 12:57:22	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x451ee9…
07-08 12:57:13	will julian alvarez score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411107	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x5bdc92…
07-08 12:57:04	Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xf8a5dc…
07-08 12:56:53	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	SELL	49	5¢	$3	0xdc19f7…
07-08 12:56:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0xd3154c…
07-08 12:56:37	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	253	14¢	$35	0x1d8462…
07-08 12:55:55	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x8a2c06…
07-08 12:55:50	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	211	64¢	$135	0x279e3a…
07-08 12:55:46	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	232	46¢	$107	0xf22f36…
07-08 08:49:35	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x37c52c…
07-06 10:17:35	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	211	76¢	$160	0x69b805…
07-06 09:53:17	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x83a7dd…
07-06 09:28:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	87¢	$51	0x67e277…
07-04 08:21:08	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	253	19¢	$48	0xd67fb5…
07-04 06:22:29	Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	233	6¢	$14	0xd8cb50…