Sugary-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$38.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

237

18,944 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$667.4K

$31.6M lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.67K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-07 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Politics

47% 98% +$69,693

Other

41% 99% -$137,033

Sports

10% 100% +$10,473

Crypto

2% 100% +$3,443

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	72	$546.7K	550,677	5,664	+545,013	No	+$3,442	06-03 00:48
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	684	$497.6K	498,056	0	+498,056	Yes	+$498	07-04 00:06
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	102	$488.9K	490,758	0	+490,758	Yes	+$1,823	07-22 17:28
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	16	$480.0K	480,503	0	+480,503	No	+$481	07-19 22:01
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	2	$471.9K	473,095	0	+473,095	No	+$1,183	07-11 23:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	83	$466.7K	467,176	0	+467,176	No	+$467	07-06 00:16
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	86	$463.1K	463,582	0	+463,582	No	+$464	07-03 20:16
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	119	$451.2K	602,204	602,204	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$235,296	03-27 03:37
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	12	$444.6K	445,045	0	+445,045	No	+$445	06-19 14:31
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	98	$439.1K	440,000	0	+440,000	Yes	+$880	07-09 00:20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	63	$427.1K	427,500	0	+427,500	No	+$428	07-01 22:10
atp bergs fery 2026 07 03	15	$381.7K	382,585	0	+382,585	Arthur Fery	+$924	07-04 17:47
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	8	$376.0K	376,804	0	+376,804	No	+$848	08-18 23:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	9	$368.5K	368,832	0	+368,832	No	+$369	06-15 17:56
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	13	$349.6K	350,000	0	+350,000	Yes	+$350	07-25 05:05
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	4	$349.6K	350,000	0	+350,000	Yes	+$350	06-11 19:06
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	64	$331.8K	332,182	0	+332,182	No	+$332	06-30 03:43
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	64	$315.5K	315,775	0	+315,775	Yes	+$316	07-18 23:20
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	13	$296.9K	297,254	0	+297,254	Yes	+$386	06-07 19:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	20	$267.5K	268,000	0	+268,000	No	+$468	03-04 18:27
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	63	$266.4K	266,666	0	+266,666	No	+$267	06-28 15:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	28	$265.6K	288,909	0	+288,909	No	+$23,338	11-02 18:16
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	44	$265.3K	265,547	0	+265,547	Yes	+$266	07-29 07:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	100	$257.1K	168,801	118,885	+49,916	No	+$11,536	11-04 02:12
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	22	$249.8K	250,030	0	+250,030	Yes	+$250	05-18 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$248.1K	249,013	0	+249,013	Yes	+$963	06-17 18:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	4	$238.2K	238,412	0	+238,412	Yes	+$238	11-07 00:00
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	48	$232.4K	233,993	0	+233,993	Yes	+$1,641	02-04 00:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$230.4K	231,070	0	+231,070	No	+$693	10-28 17:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	27	$229.5K	230,000	0	+230,000	No	+$460	09-16 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 00:00:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	38,412	100¢	$38,374	0xe4e795…
11-06 20:06:45	Will Democrats win 21 or more House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	808	100¢	$808	0x32dbe2…
11-06 20:06:24	Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x4fd2e5…
11-06 01:29:42	Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x84f06b…
11-06 00:34:00	Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xad30db…
11-06 00:01:15	Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0x687d59…
11-06 00:00:51	Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	591	99¢	$587	0x794c98…
11-05 18:46:19	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe8e7ca…
11-05 18:46:19	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,470	99¢	$2,455	0x4ab216…
11-05 18:46:18	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3d7d68…
11-05 03:29:57	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	783	100¢	$782	0xc37751…
11-05 03:29:57	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x1ec5be…
11-05 02:52:43	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6343f…
11-05 02:52:33	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb9a863…
11-05 02:52:33	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,306	100¢	$1,302	0x7ee098…
11-04 22:25:37	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd6b372…
11-04 22:25:37	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xaa44dd…
11-04 22:25:37	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	959	100¢	$958	0xa8d326…
11-04 22:25:37	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9130cc…
11-04 22:25:37	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x1e66b0…
11-04 20:09:55	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xcc081a…
11-04 20:00:24	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x7e36ad…
11-04 19:59:00	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x9a48a8…
11-04 19:58:40	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x855294…
11-04 19:58:39	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0xd31d39…
11-04 19:58:39	Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c39ba…
11-04 19:26:55	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x7fbe4c…
11-04 19:26:30	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xef60c2…
11-04 19:26:28	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	766	100¢	$764	0xc0796c…
11-04 19:26:28	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x332710…
11-04 15:59:21	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfce0f3…
11-04 14:02:12	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8cfa37…
11-04 11:15:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x016c37…
11-04 10:38:18	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xa7324b…
11-04 10:27:25	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xa2ad77…
11-04 10:07:09	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x922017…
11-04 09:41:57	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,970	100¢	$4,965	0x8ab151…
11-04 09:41:55	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,030	100¢	$2,028	0xdc530f…
11-04 09:41:46	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,048	100¢	$2,046	0xf1ae7a…
11-04 09:13:33	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0xef560f…
11-04 09:09:28	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c7e13…
11-04 09:03:39	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x893bf8…
11-04 09:00:31	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x243d2d…
11-04 08:50:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,196	83¢	$1,817	0x8b952b…
11-04 08:47:04	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x397d4e…
11-04 08:43:51	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,172	100¢	$8,163	0x42aebf…
11-04 08:42:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8227c…
11-04 08:41:28	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xb11b96…
11-04 08:41:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9d9f9a…
11-04 08:35:54	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x26069f…
11-04 08:34:04	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeb922e…
11-04 08:30:42	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,716	100¢	$1,713	0x81f856…
11-04 08:30:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,676	100¢	$2,673	0x677528…
11-04 08:19:22	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0fb374…
11-04 08:14:37	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb5ce5…
11-04 08:14:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa95305…
11-04 07:56:18	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,208	100¢	$1,205	0xf260c1…
11-04 07:32:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	78¢	$1,566	0x69f6f6…
11-04 07:31:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	79¢	$156	0x75bcfe…
11-04 07:30:31	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07c79c…
11-04 07:29:24	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x7047dd…
11-04 07:24:00	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,502	100¢	$7,487	0x7eac9f…
11-04 07:03:01	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd73959…
11-04 07:03:01	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2d3e2…
11-04 06:03:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34,194	100¢	$34,058	0x380d23…
11-04 06:00:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	806	100¢	$802	0x1bb00f…
11-04 05:59:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,183	100¢	$1,179	0x7eacda…
11-04 05:58:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x90717a…
11-04 05:58:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,970	0x8914ef…
11-04 05:58:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16,667	100¢	$16,617	0x52d988…
11-04 05:58:34	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebcb97…
11-04 05:57:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xe8a4dc…
11-04 05:19:12	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xcd3cdb…
11-04 05:18:52	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3a0c97…
11-04 05:16:13	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	1,731	100¢	$1,729	0xe85f4e…
11-04 05:16:12	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	100¢	$444	0x5a4328…
11-04 05:16:01	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b01db…
11-04 05:15:55	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x92314b…
11-04 05:15:51	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	583	100¢	$581	0xf60fbe…
11-04 05:15:51	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,573	100¢	$1,571	0x125053…
11-04 05:15:49	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6697e…
11-04 05:15:49	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbb0d4a…
11-04 04:30:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,610	100¢	$2,602	0xd70fc6…
11-04 04:30:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,376	100¢	$2,369	0xc14d7f…
11-04 04:29:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,593	100¢	$2,586	0x44bb00…
11-04 04:20:10	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,786	99¢	$1,768	0x3db5cf…
11-04 04:12:07	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf27feb…
11-04 04:11:57	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9531a…
11-04 04:11:57	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x4fbd93…
11-04 04:05:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29,924	100¢	$29,805	0xc1aa46…
11-04 04:01:31	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7c13a9…
11-04 04:00:55	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x47d040…
11-04 04:00:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,573	99¢	$3,555	0xf6b50e…
11-04 03:51:15	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x20e937…
11-04 03:49:21	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0xfcc0ce…
11-04 03:49:03	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0x87b478…
11-04 03:45:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,746	99¢	$2,729	0x9fcd2c…
11-04 03:44:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3,232	99¢	$3,212	0x748f89…
11-04 03:44:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,024	99¢	$2,012	0xbc2f9c…
11-04 03:44:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xf7550e…