Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$554

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

163

Trades

1,578

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$38

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 11-02 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

72% 29% -$454

Politics

18% 47% -$26

Tech

8% 14% -$75

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	+100	$27	24¢	$24	-$4	10-21 12:42
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+117	$20	12¢	$15	-$6	11-01 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+0	$1	74¢	$0	$0	10-15 12:35
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+0	$0	58¢	$0	$0	09-08 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	63	$699	1,204	1,204	+0	No	+$2	09-06 16:01
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	59	$680	618	618	+0	No	+$1	08-28 20:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 5?	68	$625	705	705	+0	No	-$14	08-27 08:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	11	$613	550	550	+0	open	—	10-31 07:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	15	$596	450	450	+0	open	—	10-29 13:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 5?	27	$549	530	386	+144	Yes	-$103	08-27 10:05
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	14	$481	400	400	+0	open	—	10-10 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	12	$477	500	500	+0	open	—	10-04 12:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	16	$466	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	14	$463	529	529	+0	open	—	10-31 21:04
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	8	$419	400	400	+0	Yes	-$12	09-05 06:26
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	11	$380	380	380	+0	open	—	10-31 23:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	7	$359	300	300	+0	open	—	09-29 02:40
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	8	$358	250	250	+0	open	—	10-23 17:29
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	10	$355	252	252	+0	open	—	09-27 10:48
another fed rate hike in 2026	8	$341	300	300	+0	open	—	10-16 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	9	$321	390	390	+0	Yes	-$4	10-12 12:03
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 4 2026 1159 pm et	2	$318	200	200	+0	No	+$30	09-04 04:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	7	$317	220	220	+0	open	—	10-27 00:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	9	$310	397	397	+0	No	+$2	09-27 23:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	14	$308	285	285	+0	open	—	10-22 05:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	6	$295	300	300	+0	open	—	10-22 01:30
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	8	$294	250	250	+0	open	—	10-29 14:17
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	11	$284	444	444	+0	Yes	+$1	09-05 13:47
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	27	$280	385	385	+0	open	—	09-11 05:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	9	$276	300	300	+0	open	—	10-21 13:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	12	$269	399	399	+0	No	-$1	10-15 09:11
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	2	$268	150	150	+0	open	—	10-29 01:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	4	$267	225	225	+0	open	—	11-02 01:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$253	150	150	+0	open	—	10-28 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 01:53:12	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	29¢	$22	0x42f72b…
11-01 11:28:31	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xd74e00…
11-01 09:05:58	Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x81531d…
11-01 09:03:10	Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	76	68¢	$52	0xcb2ca2…
11-01 08:45:09	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xe3a08f…
11-01 08:45:06	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	190	16¢	$30	0xfdd48f…
11-01 02:11:49	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd0eca3…
11-01 02:11:49	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x67bd28…
11-01 02:11:49	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0x63e48c…
11-01 02:11:48	Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x339440…
10-31 23:34:46	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	75¢	$106	0xfd4761…
10-31 23:34:46	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	75¢	$44	0xddc564…
10-31 23:34:40	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x6d6d8d…
10-31 23:34:40	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	76¢	$110	0x21b048…
10-31 21:04:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xfb78a9…
10-31 21:04:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x395049…
10-31 18:05:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x319670…
10-31 18:05:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x2412ff…
10-31 17:38:49	Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	76	69¢	$52	0x42c2a5…
10-31 14:56:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xdd9e03…
10-31 14:56:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x92105b…
10-31 07:56:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	64¢	$69	0xa5856d…
10-31 07:56:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	92	64¢	$59	0x34fb7c…
10-31 07:56:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x58329a…
10-31 07:19:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x8d7aad…
10-31 07:19:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	133	43¢	$57	0xc6f038…
10-31 07:19:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	134	44¢	$59	0x642600…
10-31 06:24:21	swieczkowski reinstated as constitutional tribunal president by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0d9906…
10-30 18:49:13	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x41cc32…
10-30 05:47:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x47132c…
10-29 20:08:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0x2ab939…
10-29 19:21:19	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	124	64¢	$80	0x6c8990…
10-29 19:21:19	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$5	0x2d3e38…
10-29 19:03:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0xc56586…
10-29 17:37:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0xf4a492…
10-29 17:36:59	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	150	74¢	$111	0xdceb0e…
10-29 17:36:02	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0xae00ac…
10-29 17:31:13	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x5b272b…
10-29 15:06:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	116	34¢	$39	0xc79a43…
10-29 14:22:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x7aa8f9…
10-29 14:17:28	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	57¢	$85	0x20dcf1…
10-29 14:02:14	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0x2dbf3e…
10-29 13:31:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	123	60¢	$74	0xc5e146…
10-29 13:31:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x9a6ecc…
10-29 13:31:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0xea5253…
10-29 13:31:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	110	61¢	$67	0x7aff13…
10-29 13:31:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x5fbee7…
10-29 11:09:56	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8c5fbd…
10-29 11:09:56	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x054f6e…
10-29 11:09:56	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x045c60…
10-29 08:02:11	Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x6b6ae9…
10-29 01:02:31	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	89¢	$133	0x654f3f…
10-29 01:02:07	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0xbfa828…
10-28 22:25:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	82	61¢	$50	0xa07519…
10-28 22:25:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x948424…
10-28 22:25:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	123	62¢	$76	0x0a256f…
10-28 22:17:58	Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x9ba62d…
10-28 22:17:56	Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	131	31¢	$41	0xac43fa…
10-28 22:17:55	Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x8c2bbc…
10-28 19:13:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x24e075…
10-28 19:13:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x7c12f4…
10-28 17:09:10	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x2ffd2b…
10-28 12:03:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$24	0x6e4660…
10-28 11:44:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0xa035f2…
10-28 11:44:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x147d76…
10-28 10:13:52	Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x1dcb75…
10-28 09:56:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc2c8cc…
10-28 09:56:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x7e90c6…
10-28 09:56:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	140	84¢	$118	0x5de430…
10-28 09:56:44	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xbcb65b…
10-28 09:11:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xdb304e…
10-28 09:10:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xa60aea…
10-28 09:10:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x438510…
10-28 07:46:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xd12c9e…
10-27 02:45:26	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	14¢	$13	0x288f49…
10-27 00:23:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x438e1d…
10-27 00:23:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x2ce686…
10-27 00:23:36	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	67¢	$73	0xc35eb4…
10-27 00:23:33	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x8e5a3e…
10-27 00:23:33	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x8cbd8e…
10-26 19:58:29	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xf97b5a…
10-26 19:39:59	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	120	82¢	$98	0xa91c36…
10-26 19:39:57	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x53acf8…
10-26 16:12:29	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x60cb7e…
10-26 16:06:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xb39f0c…
10-26 16:06:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0x13d30d…
10-26 16:01:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x0d0536…
10-26 15:28:50	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	16¢	$12	0x1838c7…
10-26 15:08:02	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	59¢	$71	0x0f0b24…
10-26 15:06:36	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xcc9b0d…
10-26 14:34:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xa1faed…
10-26 14:21:47	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xe5d678…
10-26 13:35:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0xcde183…
10-26 02:48:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x71e81c…
10-26 02:48:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xe93d1d…
10-26 01:26:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x178748…
10-26 01:26:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x5b0a28…
10-26 00:09:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe9e491…
10-25 22:58:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	83	42¢	$35	0xf5bbba…
10-25 21:58:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x4046d3…