Realized P&L
+$9.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.60K
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
105
Trades
5,825
lifetime
Volume
$3.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$613
Open exposure
$87.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-27 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
69% 82% +$11,405
Other
28% 85% -$2,795
Crypto
2% 88% +$968
Tech
1% 100% +$104
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30,000 $25,443 82¢ $24.8K -$693 10-24 16:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +17,685 $14,881 86¢ $15.2K +$328 10-27 21:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9,412 $8,451 94¢ $8.9K +$443 10-27 17:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +8,756 $7,300 97¢ $8.5K +$1,193 10-27 15:40
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +10,000 $7,641 82¢ $8.2K +$608 10-27 05:49
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +5,097 $4,880 96¢ $4.9K +$31 10-24 21:57
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +4,828 $4,338 96¢ $4.6K +$307 10-27 02:35
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,034 $3,818 93¢ $3.7K -$74 10-27 12:36
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +3,451 $2,592 98¢ $3.4K +$799 10-24 11:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +4,964 $3,486 66¢ $3.3K -$235 10-27 20:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,243 $1,782 36¢ $1.2K -$606 10-15 20:48
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +773 $745 94¢ $731 -$14 10-24 23:06
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +1,463 $888 4¢ $66 -$822 09-29 22:47
israeli airspace closed by october 31 2026 No +32 $27 96¢ $31 +$4 09-16 00:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 $15 56¢ $2 -$13 09-26 07:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $27 96¢ $0 -$27 09-29 02:18
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +0 -$138 99¢ $0 +$138 10-02 20:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $2,261 45¢ $0 -$2,261 10-27 21:29
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$40 88¢ $0 +$40 09-24 10:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +0 $370 28¢ $0 -$370 10-03 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $373 38¢ $0 -$373 10-26 05:46