Tempting-Tributary 0x135a3c…1c6270 Create alert
bot 28W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$104
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved (90d)
174
Trades (90d)
2,371
15,502 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.8K
$55.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$51
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 11-11 06:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Other
50% 80% +$330
Politics
29% 86% +$256
Crypto
12% 81% +$46
Sports
4% 89% +$48
Tech
4% 78% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +26 $6 27¢ $7 +$1 11-11 02:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $5 34¢ $6 +$1 11-09 21:30
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +8 $6 70¢ $6 $0 11-11 06:03
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes -15 -$13 35¢ $-5 +$8 11-06 12:31
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +21 $7 22¢ $5 -$2 11-03 19:00
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? No +14 $7 32¢ $4 -$3 11-05 12:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25 $7 16¢ $4 -$3 11-10 13:47
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No +22 $7 18¢ $4 -$3 10-28 23:40
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +10 $4 33¢ $3 -$1 11-06 09:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +17 $7 17¢ $3 -$4 11-05 05:10
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +11 $6 13¢ $1 -$4 11-04 15:43
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +29 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 10-23 19:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +7 $3 7¢ $1 -$2 11-04 02:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +23 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 11-06 08:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 31¢ $0 +$0 11-05 02:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +0 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 11-10 16:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 09-09 10:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +0 -$2 85¢ $0 +$2 10-16 09:51
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 63¢ $0 +$0 10-28 20:01
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 19¢ $0 +$1 09-25 21:53