Realized P&L
+$18.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.20K
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
23
Trades
337
lifetime
Volume
$247.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$733
Open exposure
$54.5K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 16:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
36% 80% +$19,504
Crypto
36% 100% +$18,040
Other
23% 56% -$9,202
Sports
4% 0% -$10,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +31,409 $12,826 44¢ $14.0K +$1,151 11-05 15:03
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -7,500 -$6,661 96¢ $-7166 -$505 10-11 21:07
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +14,000 $10,990 40¢ $5.7K -$5,320 10-31 02:15
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +10,000 $6,550 40¢ $4.0K -$2,550 10-19 22:57
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4,399 $3,214 79¢ $3.5K +$279 10-16 10:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -40,130 -$6,471 8¢ $-3411 +$3,060 10-11 21:06
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +11,124 $2,840 28¢ $3.1K +$275 11-09 14:13
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +9,010 $2,504 29¢ $2.6K +$64 11-12 16:25
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -2,500 -$2,315 95¢ $-2376 -$61 08-15 04:31
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +7,000 $3,540 32¢ $2.3K -$1,265 10-19 23:12
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Yes +4,000 $3,190 42¢ $1.7K -$1,530 10-19 22:57
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -2,000 -$1,147 73¢ $-1460 -$313 10-11 21:04
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +4,054 $580 25¢ $1.0K +$433 11-11 03:10
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +2,000 $860 50¢ $990 +$130 10-30 22:10
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -939 -$871 96¢ $-900 -$29 08-15 04:31
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,000 -$295 31¢ $-310 -$15 10-11 21:07
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -165 -$159 97¢ $-161 -$2 08-15 04:31