Taut-Activation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$778

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

3,485

Trades

11,667

lifetime

Volume

$52.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-31 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% -$714

Other

3% 38% -$64

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:10 UTC	14	$180	325	308	+17	Up	+$22	04-19 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:50 UTC	10	$156	105	100	+5	Down	+$1	04-20 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:25 UTC	65	$138	189	112	+77	Down	-$37	04-07 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:20 UTC	9	$132	85	80	+5	Up	+$5	04-20 07:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 18:30 UTC	5	$130	75	133	-58	Down	+$10	04-19 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:45 UTC	10	$129	105	105	-0	Up	+$0	04-20 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:25 UTC	10	$124	117	100	+17	Down	+$2	04-20 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:30 UTC	10	$121	108	108	-0	Down	+$0	04-20 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:55 UTC	10	$120	107	107	-0	Up	-$2	04-20 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:35 UTC	10	$120	90	86	+4	Up	+$1	04-19 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:35 UTC	10	$118	108	100	+8	Down	-$5	04-20 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 16:55 UTC	12	$109	95	91	+4	Down	+$1	04-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:45 UTC	48	$106	115	115	-0	Up	+$0	04-08 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:15 UTC	10	$104	84	80	+4	Up	+$4	04-20 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:00 UTC	13	$102	108	108	+0	Up	$0	04-20 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:05 UTC	40	$100	100	100	+0	Down	$0	04-06 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:10 UTC	40	$100	100	100	+0	Down	-$1	04-06 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:55 UTC	40	$100	100	100	+0	Down	-$2	04-06 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:35 UTC	9	$99	104	84	+20	Down	+$10	04-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:00 UTC	39	$97	95	100	-5	Down	-$6	04-06 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:30 UTC	13	$95	115	100	+15	Down	+$4	04-20 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:20 UTC	26	$94	65	60	+5	Down	+$1	04-08 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:35 UTC	38	$94	86	85	+1	Down	+$0	04-13 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 15:10 UTC	16	$94	91	32	+59	Up	+$22	04-15 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:05 UTC	8	$93	86	86	-0	Up	+$1	04-20 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 16:50 UTC	8	$92	75	72	+3	Down	+$3	04-19 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:50 UTC	8	$91	88	80	+8	Down	+$3	04-20 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:05 UTC	9	$90	106	80	+26	Down	+$15	04-20 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	6	$90	63	60	+3	Down	-$2	04-20 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	8	$89	83	84	-0	Up	-$2	04-20 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 23:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x88b681…
05-31 23:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x36a86f…
05-31 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd2b1d1…
05-31 22:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x63692d…
05-31 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc70ad…
05-31 22:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcdea98…
05-31 22:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbc8c36…
05-31 22:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x190af2…
05-08 09:17:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xe8f039…
05-08 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x7a33e9…
05-08 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x362de8…
05-08 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x616a3d…
05-08 08:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x42cd95…
05-08 07:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x4e37b6…
05-08 07:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xdd52f8…
05-08 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xed7412…
05-08 07:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xcafa20…
05-08 07:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2d05e5…
05-08 07:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf44bee…
05-08 07:18:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xaad19c…
05-07 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x1a73df…
05-07 05:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x915f7f…
05-07 05:07:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa31aa8…
05-07 05:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xd1341f…
05-07 05:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5264bb…
05-07 04:37:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xfa7cb8…
05-07 04:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x7be811…
05-07 04:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x9a73b4…
05-07 03:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xe6cdc8…
05-07 03:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0c2235…
05-07 03:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc33371…
05-07 03:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x25b744…
05-07 03:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0c4e6c…
05-07 03:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc4010e…
05-07 03:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x18ab5e…
05-07 03:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x7a41ec…
05-07 03:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf087ec…
05-07 03:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe5fdeb…
05-07 03:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xe99a3f…
05-07 03:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x083e9d…
05-06 20:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x31ccc7…
05-06 20:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xa40db5…
05-06 20:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa0662d…
05-06 20:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x74a949…
05-06 07:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x28bd89…
05-06 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x7ea0fc…
05-06 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x488d44…
05-06 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x976b91…
05-06 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x12b50e…
05-06 05:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x480d48…
05-06 05:26:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xcd3c44…
05-06 05:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd441ad…
05-06 04:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x324eb3…
05-06 04:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc2a0ba…
05-06 04:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x25089b…
05-06 03:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7617d9…
05-06 02:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xf5dbf2…
05-06 02:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4be6dd…
05-06 02:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa03abf…
05-06 02:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xb25157…
05-05 23:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x544bbb…
05-05 23:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xdc0429…
05-05 23:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe73cab…
05-05 21:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x8f3ece…
05-05 21:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9fe2b5…
05-05 21:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x50c6c5…
05-05 21:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x34d51d…
05-05 20:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x69121d…
05-05 20:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x429816…
05-05 17:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x2a88c4…
05-05 17:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x20034b…
05-05 12:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x87d3e4…
05-05 12:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xdeab47…
05-05 04:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc73726…
05-05 03:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x158282…
05-05 03:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xdaeeba…
05-05 03:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfbea5e…
05-05 03:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xde86b3…
05-05 02:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xffcedf…
05-04 23:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xd0ad97…
05-04 18:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xe035a2…
05-04 17:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xeb3ee8…
05-04 10:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xff5a08…
05-04 10:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x46b61c…
05-04 09:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0ec10f…
05-04 09:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4beadc…
05-04 09:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8327d4…
05-04 08:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x25ef29…
05-04 07:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe6579e…
05-04 07:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x407a5a…
05-04 07:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x148603…
05-04 06:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc0dfb7…
05-04 06:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf34ba3…
05-04 06:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x067def…
05-04 05:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfaf649…
05-04 05:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2d66f6…
05-04 05:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd21354…
05-04 05:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x48b556…
05-03 22:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x5df6a1…
05-03 22:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x912319…