Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?
open
Total volume
$109
$586 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,476
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 22:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $29 | $58 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
| Median | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +33 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 12:22 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $16 | 10 | 05-09 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8e1…716d | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 20:39 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 12:22 |
| Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:46 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 21:01 |
| Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:54 |
| Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Limp-Violet 0x770e…1067 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:23 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 12:23 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:55 |
| Frightening-Clinic 0x8940…ba3c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 09:09 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 22:10:10 | Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x339c3f… |
| 05-09 20:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xd8e1…716d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xf8b1c3… |
| 05-09 15:54:44 | Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcf9c78… |
| 05-09 13:03:00 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x9063e5… |
| 05-09 12:46:17 | Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xd9825d… |
| 05-09 12:23:32 | Limp-Violet 0x770e…1067 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x686960… |
| 05-09 12:23:31 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x7b9363… |
| 05-09 12:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3531e6… |
| 05-09 12:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xf7867c… |
| 05-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x976a26… |
| 05-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x36119e… |
| 05-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xce652d… |
| 05-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xafe120… |
| 05-09 12:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x102e8a… |
| 05-09 12:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xa81abb… |
| 05-09 12:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x97ce81… |
| 05-09 12:22:54 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3e1d36… |
| 05-09 12:22:54 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x624ddc… |
| 05-09 12:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x31e9…e017 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5cb508… |
| 05-09 12:22:52 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x5a4320… |
| 05-09 12:22:50 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xca2fbd… |
| 05-09 09:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x385d…0621 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x9108eb… |
| 05-09 09:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x385d…0621 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x521508… |
| 05-09 09:09:51 | Frightening-Clinic 0x8940…ba3c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x6736ca… |
| 05-09 07:24:56 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0x8fde23… |
| 05-09 07:24:38 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x2a948e… |
| 05-09 07:24:37 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x859a4a… |
| 05-08 21:01:17 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc739c1… |
| 05-08 14:50:14 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xa477ab… |
| 05-08 05:55:07 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf7e06d… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x269972… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x93d385… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5b2a14… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xaccbab… |