Starchy-Violin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-22 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

75% 33% -$34

Crypto

22% 29% -$65

Politics

3% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$194	294	294	+0	No	-$6	05-22 20:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	3	$152	104	104	+0	Yes	-$22	05-15 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?	4	$100	227	0	+227	No	+$13	05-16 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$74	160	0	+160	Up	+$6	05-13 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$69	124	124	+0	Down	-$41	05-13 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 2?	7	$62	74	23	+51	No	+$0	05-02 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	9	$61	180	0	+180	Yes	+$30	05-12 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	13	$32	72	0	+72	No	+$4	05-12 21:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$32	685	685	+0	No	-$6	05-22 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?	5	$31	24	24	+0	No	+$1	04-30 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 29?	5	$25	46	7	+39	No	$0	04-29 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 2?	5	$23	40	8	+32	No	-$15	05-02 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	8	$21	91	0	+91	No	-$21	05-12 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$21	87	9	+78	Up	-$3	05-04 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 12?	2	$20	41	0	+41	No	+$1	05-12 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$19	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	05-04 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$19	40	10	+30	Down	+$1	05-04 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 30?	4	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$2	04-30 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?	4	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 2?	3	$14	25	6	+19	Yes	+$13	05-02 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$11	125	125	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 29?	4	$11	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	04-29 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	Up	-$10	05-13 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on April 29?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-29 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$8	86	86	+0	No	$0	05-22 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$7	18	18	+0	Down	-$3	05-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?	2	$6	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-13 15:26
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$6	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-22 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 2?	3	$5	70	70	+0	No	-$4	05-02 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	6	$5	46	0	+46	No	-$5	05-10 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:21:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x8e2513…
05-22 20:21:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	294	32¢	$94	0x5b0d0f…
05-22 20:21:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$4	0x80dc33…
05-22 20:20:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	2¢	$13	0x49c7b9…
05-22 19:42:18	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xfd96d2…
05-22 19:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x59f909…
05-22 19:37:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xf4e251…
05-22 19:35:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	685	3¢	$19	0x5df453…
05-16 16:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	83	3¢	$2	0xaabf02…
05-16 16:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3bff1c…
05-15 20:24:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	104	63¢	$65	0x2509db…
05-15 20:08:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0x4a8789…
05-15 20:01:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe85479…
05-15 19:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x652610…
05-15 19:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?	No	BUY	76	85¢	$64	0xa09e11…
05-13 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x07526e…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x7a5fc1…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x624004…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x586296…
05-13 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xd7193a…
05-13 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x07ff80…
05-13 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x86a29e…
05-13 19:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd73ca3…
05-13 19:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0xa99736…
05-13 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x09c4bd…
05-13 19:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde299f…
05-13 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xafea77…
05-13 15:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xedf632…
05-13 15:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x9d9c7f…
05-12 22:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x7754bd…
05-12 21:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf1cf20…
05-12 21:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xbf12fa…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xd0cd1f…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xbfb9a2…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xac5fce…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7e2bf6…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x622a58…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3d97a0…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2f78d2…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x1dd6e0…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0a393d…
05-12 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x02163d…
05-12 21:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xb966ac…
05-12 20:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5ed3a5…
05-12 20:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x200885…
05-12 20:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xf1d034…
05-12 20:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe7ff08…
05-12 20:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0xaf42a7…
05-12 20:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x989fd0…
05-12 20:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xe9ab9e…
05-12 19:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x58eaf8…
05-12 19:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf3ec3c…
05-12 19:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x924490…
05-12 19:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f0848…
05-12 19:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xd9c2b2…
05-12 19:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x057135…
05-12 19:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	36	88¢	$31	0x61e15c…
05-12 18:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9a241f…
05-12 18:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x1041ea…
05-12 18:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x45e5dc…
05-11 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x0697bf…
05-11 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x594971…
05-11 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x598f46…
05-10 01:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9d1db7…
05-10 01:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x361635…
05-09 23:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x30abc5…
05-09 00:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x45d332…
05-08 22:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x5b51e6…
05-08 22:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xcc51b3…
05-08 18:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xb014f7…
05-08 18:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x43379b…
05-06 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x41b5d0…
05-06 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb6f0c…
05-04 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x26588a…
05-04 22:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x825170…
05-04 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1acb1d…
05-04 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x157658…
05-04 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7e0308…
05-04 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9651af…
05-04 22:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x1c5828…
05-04 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x687b61…
05-04 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x5c76a8…
05-04 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xd95ab8…
05-04 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x486ff2…
05-04 22:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x294c5c…
05-04 22:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xa21335…
05-04 22:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf26b7d…
05-04 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x43931c…
05-04 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe5e551…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x9401ff…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7d9f99…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2cada2…
05-02 18:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 2?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$46	0xd01e85…
05-02 18:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 2?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x9e3a0d…
05-02 17:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 2?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x702fca…
05-02 12:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 2?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x3c58b4…
05-02 12:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 2?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xf62d8d…
05-02 12:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 2?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xeff7fe…
05-02 08:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9d128c…
05-02 07:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x0c640b…