Starchy-Violin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$300

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-22 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 31% $-63

Politics

13% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$74	160	0	+160	Up	+$6	05-13 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$69	124	124	+0	Down	$-41	05-13 19:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$32	685	685	+0	open	—	05-22 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$21	87	9	+78	Up	$-3	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$19	16	16	+0	Down	$-1	05-04 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$19	40	10	+30	Down	+$1	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$11	125	125	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	Up	$-10	05-13 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$8	86	86	+0	open	—	05-22 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$7	18	18	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 20:37
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$6	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-13 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Up	$-5	05-04 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-11 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$2	50	50	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:21:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x8e2513…
05-22 20:21:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$4	0x80dc33…
05-22 20:20:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	2¢	$13	0x49c7b9…
05-22 19:42:18	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xfd96d2…
05-22 19:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x59f909…
05-22 19:35:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	685	3¢	$19	0x5df453…
05-13 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x07526e…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x7a5fc1…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x624004…
05-13 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x586296…
05-13 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xd7193a…
05-13 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x07ff80…
05-13 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x86a29e…
05-13 19:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd73ca3…
05-13 19:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0xa99736…
05-13 19:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x09c4bd…
05-13 19:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde299f…
05-13 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xafea77…
05-11 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x0697bf…
05-11 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x594971…
05-11 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x598f46…
05-06 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x41b5d0…
05-06 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb6f0c…
05-04 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x26588a…
05-04 22:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x825170…
05-04 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1acb1d…
05-04 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x157658…
05-04 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7e0308…
05-04 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9651af…
05-04 22:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x1c5828…
05-04 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x687b61…
05-04 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x5c76a8…
05-04 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xd95ab8…
05-04 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x486ff2…
05-04 22:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x294c5c…
05-04 22:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xa21335…
05-04 22:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf26b7d…
05-04 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x43931c…
05-04 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe5e551…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x9401ff…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7d9f99…
05-02 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2cada2…