Dazzling-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$306

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-15 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

53% 47% +$869

Crypto

26% 62% -$18

Politics

18% 14% -$872

Tech

3% 67% +$62

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		-308	-$243	99¢	$-306	-$63	06-02 13:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$3.0K	3,006	0	+3,006	No	+$6	03-29 19:12
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	3	$2.7K	0	2,838	-2,838	No	-$168	01-25 16:06
will company b be accused of insider trading	4	$2.5K	3,416	0	+3,416	No	+$954	02-26 07:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$110	06-14 22:28
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$625	967	967	+0	Yes	+$25	02-26 11:59
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$595	473	573	-100	Yes	+$128	04-20 19:11
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	23	$560	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$560	06-15 13:44
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	5	$448	399	399	+0	Yes	-$52	05-16 22:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$373	2,036	2,036	+0	Yes	-$185	04-21 18:48
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	5	$352	225	224	+1	Yes	+$61	05-22 02:36
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$243	0	308	-308	open	—	06-02 13:21
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$197	148	148	+0	No	-$3	03-02 09:40
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$184	149	149	+0	Yes	-$16	03-16 18:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$153	293	293	+0	Yes	-$97	04-17 14:25
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$137	88	88	+0	Yes	+$37	04-23 19:57
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	9	$131	0	192	-192	No	-$61	05-21 09:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$118	357	357	+0	No	-$82	01-20 08:48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	6	$97	133	0	+133	Team Falcons	+$36	05-20 12:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$83	51	51	+0	No	+$17	04-12 19:41
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	2	$78	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	04-14 08:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$66	98	98	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 20:13
ice shooter fired by march 31	2	$58	4	338	-333	No	+$56	01-10 07:11
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	2	$56	200	200	+0	Vitality	-$12	03-29 11:22
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	4	$54	88	88	+0	Yes	-$6	04-08 07:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	1	$52	101	0	+101	Yes	-$52	03-08 04:57
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	222	0	+222	No	-$50	05-16 21:39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	10	$34	420	0	+420	Team Falcons	-$34	05-20 12:58
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$29	0	60	-60	Yes	-$31	03-16 18:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	24	-24	Yes	+$23	04-23 19:58
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	+$16	01-03 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:44:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1,990	10¢	$199	0x021d40…
06-15 13:44:01	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3dd96f…
06-15 13:44:00	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd04b30…
06-15 13:44:00	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9693d7…
06-15 13:43:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x8699a2…
06-15 13:43:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x1df445…
06-15 13:43:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x137985…
06-15 13:43:45	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	624	12¢	$75	0x3bf4b3…
06-15 13:43:31	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	182	12¢	$22	0xddfe42…
06-15 13:42:31	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x3f8033…
06-15 13:42:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x104519…
06-15 13:42:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xcf1dba…
06-15 13:42:10	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x29da89…
06-15 13:42:06	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4e8147…
06-15 13:42:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xe58676…
06-15 13:42:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9acb26…
06-15 13:42:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x83065e…
06-15 13:42:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4c0566…
06-15 13:42:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x3bbfb7…
06-15 13:42:03	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xfa25fc…
06-15 13:42:03	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x403a72…
06-15 13:40:36	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xebc055…
06-15 13:32:43	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0xb7bbd3…
06-14 22:28:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,500	13¢	$715	0xe7c886…
06-14 21:48:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,500	11¢	$605	0xc8969a…
06-02 13:21:05	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	308	79¢	$243	0xaa2a38…
05-22 02:36:26	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	92¢	$111	0x28f75d…
05-21 09:48:05	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x7f1797…
05-21 09:28:32	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xa6b892…
05-21 09:18:34	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x259af7…
05-21 08:58:38	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x89cc9a…
05-21 08:58:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xcff5a5…
05-21 08:48:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x406884…
05-21 08:47:58	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x8c8211…
05-21 08:38:15	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x8e24c4…
05-21 08:35:03	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	182	68¢	$124	0x8e6c7d…
05-21 08:34:10	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	92¢	$95	0xc1dab4…
05-20 12:58:17	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	169	8¢	$14	0xf52410…
05-20 12:58:07	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x6394f5…
05-20 12:57:16	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x05576e…
05-20 12:57:11	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe6b6fd…
05-20 12:56:51	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0d2b18…
05-20 12:56:50	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x57a847…
05-20 12:53:49	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x06f126…
05-20 12:53:02	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x511de8…
05-20 12:48:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x91f04f…
05-20 12:47:37	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x6012d3…
05-20 12:47:07	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x9ba4f3…
05-20 12:46:23	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x40a533…
05-20 12:46:20	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x876c9f…
05-20 12:46:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87a765…
05-20 12:46:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a4caa…
05-20 12:46:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3df702…
05-16 22:47:18	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	42¢	$95	0xef14f2…
05-16 22:40:51	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	60¢	$103	0x00dc88…
05-16 22:38:07	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x5f4f33…
05-16 22:37:16	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0x154660…
05-16 22:35:55	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x7bdcc9…
05-16 22:33:46	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	638	0¢	$1	0x2b8695…
05-16 22:19:27	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	638	1¢	$5	0xdc3af8…
05-16 22:18:55	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x9f3708…
05-16 21:39:47	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$50	0x5647cc…
04-23 19:58:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xddd2ff…
04-23 19:57:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$87	0x2698dc…
04-23 17:28:40	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	64¢	$83	0x3e0bad…
04-22 15:35:14	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x245faf…
04-21 18:48:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,111	0¢	$3	0xe3d4db…
04-21 17:20:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xf21980…
04-20 19:11:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	573	63¢	$361	0x19c4bd…
04-17 17:15:30	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x6d1560…
04-17 14:25:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	293	10¢	$28	0x031577…
04-17 14:25:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	925	10¢	$91	0xd6078f…
04-15 20:09:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x54f6f7…
04-15 20:08:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	195	39¢	$76	0xc826f3…
04-15 19:56:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	243	57¢	$138	0x9812d4…
04-15 19:55:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x00726d…
04-15 13:23:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x581d76…
04-15 12:16:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xaa3172…
04-14 08:48:49	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa5c3dd…
04-14 08:45:25	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x133d22…
04-13 20:01:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x36e642…
04-13 06:13:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xba56b5…
04-12 19:41:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x045f33…
04-12 06:40:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xacf118…
04-12 06:40:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x657ac1…
04-11 18:28:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	201	28¢	$57	0x36e30f…
04-11 18:14:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	201	28¢	$57	0x4a7b7f…
04-08 18:32:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xcac227…
04-08 07:51:05	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	88	27¢	$24	0x94ee3c…
04-08 07:38:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x4728cf…
04-08 07:01:13	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3126f0…
04-08 06:55:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x63b5af…
04-08 06:53:21	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x53ced3…
03-31 15:02:57	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc6b304…
03-30 10:23:26	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x7a2f44…
03-30 10:03:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x28e779…
03-29 19:12:42	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0x0dc5bc…
03-29 11:22:02	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x56cad3…
03-29 10:14:04	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x693cb8…
03-26 20:13:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	98	34¢	$33	0x7772cf…