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Realized P&L (7d)
-$168
Unrealized P&L
-$129
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved (7d)
52
Trades (7d)
155
911 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.80K
$4.55K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$276
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 11-07 08:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
80% 20% -$71
Politics
10% 6% -$111
Crypto
4% 20% -$51
Tech
4% — —
Sports
3% 27% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +580 $80 12¢ $73 -$7 11-03 19:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +481 $37 12¢ $57 +$20 11-05 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +333 $50 9¢ $30 -$20 11-03 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +540 $45 4¢ $24 -$20 11-05 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +353 $39 5¢ $18 -$21 11-03 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +255 $35 7¢ $18 -$17 11-05 14:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +312 $25 4¢ $14 -$11 10-26 17:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,951 $17 0¢ $12 -$5 11-06 20:02
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +125 $20 8¢ $11 -$9 10-26 17:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +14 $5 38¢ $5 +$0 11-06 05:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 11¢ $4 -$1 10-23 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +15 $5 20¢ $3 -$2 11-06 05:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +1,799 $13 0¢ $3 -$11 11-07 03:44
Youngstown State vs. Murray State Murray State +35 $2 6¢ $2 $0 11-07 08:01
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $4 4¢ $2 -$3 11-04 20:09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +24 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 11-06 07:13
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? Yes +50 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? Yes +27 $17 0¢ $0 -$17 11-06 20:28