(anonymous) 0x13e4a9…d0d532 Create alert
bot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$411
Unrealized P&L
-$118
Hit rate
41.7%
Resolved (90d)
306
Trades (90d)
959
959 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.86K
$4.86K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$254
20 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 11-12 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
80% 20% -$211
Politics
10% 6% -$111
Crypto
4% 20% -$51
Tech
3% — —
Sports
3% 26% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +580 $80 14¢ $78 -$1 11-03 19:24
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +211 $20 12¢ $26 +$6 11-12 01:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? Yes +78 $16 29¢ $22 +$7 11-10 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? Yes +44 $15 39¢ $17 +$2 11-10 12:43
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +189 $25 7¢ $13 -$12 11-12 05:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +31 $10 42¢ $13 +$3 11-12 06:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +312 $25 4¢ $13 -$12 10-26 17:27
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +588 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 11-11 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +163 $13 6¢ $10 -$3 11-12 05:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +30 $10 30¢ $9 -$1 11-12 06:47
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? Yes +129 $1 7¢ $9 +$8 11-12 04:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +475 $8 2¢ $8 $0 11-12 01:15
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? No +12 $5 56¢ $7 +$2 11-12 06:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,951 $17 0¢ $4 -$12 11-06 20:02
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $5 5¢ $4 -$1 11-12 09:45
Will Alice Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 11-12 09:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +1,799 $13 0¢ $3 -$11 11-07 03:44
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $6 2¢ $3 -$3 11-12 03:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +353 $39 0¢ $1 -$38 11-03 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +333 $50 0¢ $0 -$49 11-03 13:55