Honored-Caviar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$134

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

122

Trades

3,584

lifetime

Volume

$74.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$172

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-21 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

41% 54% +$134

Sports

11% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+255	$100	68¢	$172	+$72	06-30 11:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	7	$2.8K	1,228	2,482	-1,254	open	—	02-01 15:25
efa new mnc 2026 03 07 mnc	2	$2.4K	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	03-07 22:16
btc updown 15m 1768550400	8	$2.2K	2,848	2,785	+62	open	—	01-16 08:10
nba tor gsw 2026 01 20	2	$1.5K	1,654	0	+1,654	open	—	01-21 04:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$1.2K	781	781	+0	open	—	01-15 15:25
nba mil lal 2026 01 09	10	$1.1K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	01-10 05:38
lol hle1 t1 2026 01 16 game1	2	$1.1K	2,123	0	+2,123	open	—	01-16 10:09
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	02-01 04:30
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 01 25	1	$1000	1,587	0	+1,587	open	—	01-25 14:57
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	3	$840	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	01-13 17:07
efa mnu bha 2026 01 11 bha	7	$797	1,159	347	+813	open	—	01-11 17:57
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	2	$722	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	03-03 21:07
nba nyk sac 2026 01 14	3	$700	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	01-15 04:11
btc updown 15m 1768551300	3	$700	1,415	0	+1,415	open	—	01-16 08:19
cs2 aur1 lgc 2026 03 06	4	$650	891	279	+613	open	—	03-06 17:39
nba min lal 2026 03 10	1	$607	646	0	+646	open	—	03-11 04:57
lol navi fnc 2026 01 19	2	$527	745	385	+360	open	—	01-19 16:06
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	3	$502	603	603	+0	open	—	02-16 04:40
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$455	1,141	1,141	+0	open	—	01-26 16:22
lol one 3bl 2026 01 29	15	$433	1,014	136	+878	open	—	01-29 20:10
nba lal sas 2026 01 07 spread home 7pt5	4	$410	822	0	+822	open	—	01-08 04:13
dota2 liquid bb4 2026 03 07	3	$407	378	278	+100	open	—	03-07 21:27
lol shft gx 2026 01 17	2	$405	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	01-17 17:01
sea nap ver 2026 01 07 nap	1	$400	533	0	+533	open	—	01-07 17:19
dota2 pr1 ic 2026 01 16 game2	6	$380	767	0	+767	open	—	01-16 15:46
nba mia por 2026 01 22	9	$370	726	590	+136	open	—	01-23 04:54
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30 set handicap away 2pt5	1	$360	878	0	+878	open	—	01-30 08:30
lol gz tsw 2026 01 16 game2	16	$351	13,900	0	+13,900	open	—	01-16 07:56
dota2 yg nem 2026 01 10 game2	2	$313	491	0	+491	open	—	01-10 10:14
lol ns kt 2026 01 30	4	$312	420	147	+274	open	—	01-30 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:45:13	eth updown 15m 1784679300	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xadaf2a…
07-21 06:30:13	doge updown 15m 1784642400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6d5b35…
07-21 05:00:13	doge updown 15m 1784614500	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x713da3…
07-21 04:48:13	sol updown 15m 1784628000	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x07473d…
07-21 03:03:19	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xce9a0a…
07-21 03:03:18	xrp updown 15m 1784628000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8ab043…
07-21 03:03:18	sol updown 15m 1784608200	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x71a123…
07-21 03:03:18	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x32da0b…
07-21 03:03:16	solana up or down july 21 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xf7b5e3…
07-21 03:03:16	xrp up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x26a24e…
07-21 03:03:15	btc updown 15m 1784628000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9e3950…
07-21 03:03:15	dogecoin up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8ec4f3…
07-21 03:03:15	eth updown 15m 1784615400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8b1813…
07-21 03:03:15	doge updown 15m 1784609100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x852906…
07-21 00:45:13	btc updown 15m 1784597400	Down	BUY	106	51¢	$54	0x3df5d7…
07-20 21:30:13	sol updown 15m 1784597400	Down	BUY	105	51¢	$54	0x578bf0…
07-20 19:45:13	xrp updown 15m 1784580300	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6da1f1…
07-20 16:00:13	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x10bdbe…
07-20 15:15:13	eth updown 15m 1784592900	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf03dd7…
07-20 15:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1784575800	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xa5bebc…
07-20 15:15:13	sol updown 15m 1784582100	Down	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x1178d4…
07-20 15:00:13	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdbdcf4…
07-20 15:00:13	solana up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x8541ea…
07-20 15:00:13	xrp up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7e92ff…
07-20 15:00:13	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x788634…
07-20 14:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1784559600	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd57d93…
07-20 14:15:13	doge updown 15m 1784591100	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa2793c…
07-20 14:15:13	btc updown 15m 1784593800	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x657b90…
07-20 14:15:13	sol updown 15m 1784559600	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x0ce6af…
07-20 14:01:40	doge updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xca4628…
07-20 14:01:33	doge updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x1e273c…
07-20 13:58:13	doge updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0805e4…
07-20 12:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x82243f…
07-20 12:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5d71cb…
07-20 11:00:13	doge updown 15m 1784553300	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xf12609…
07-20 11:00:13	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x291011…
07-20 10:01:09	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xb7e9e3…
07-20 10:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xba157b…
07-20 10:00:13	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1b25fa…
07-20 09:30:13	btc updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x3b3b7c…
07-20 09:00:13	xrp up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xed398f…
07-20 09:00:13	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0xe31466…
07-20 08:45:13	eth updown 15m 1784559600	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc0f0fb…
07-20 08:00:13	xrp up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xaaa66f…
07-20 08:00:13	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x90aa57…
07-20 08:00:13	sol updown 15m 1784556000	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x02d536…
07-20 07:34:12	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$15	0x2939f0…
07-20 07:25:12	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6f0532…
07-20 07:15:13	doge updown 15m 1784544300	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x28a08a…
07-20 06:45:13	eth updown 15m 1784536200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdcb8c3…
07-20 06:15:13	btc updown 15m 1784538900	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf2489a…
07-20 04:00:12	xrp updown 15m 1784548800	Down	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x46fc76…
07-20 03:56:12	xrp updown 15m 1784605500	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xbc9345…
07-20 03:02:16	btc updown 15m 1784527200	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4db475…
07-20 03:02:15	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3b207…
07-20 03:02:15	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xd2bae3…
07-20 03:02:15	eth updown 15m 1784529000	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa84102…
07-20 03:02:15	sol updown 15m 1784533500	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x95bb11…
07-20 03:02:15	solana up or down july 20 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8b2bb8…
07-20 03:02:15	doge updown 15m 1784530800	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0b5479…
07-20 03:02:13	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe2c4ac…
07-20 03:02:13	xrp up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6ebef0…
07-20 01:00:13	sol updown 15m 1784511000	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xec0f78…
07-20 01:00:13	eth updown 15m 1784509200	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x92bf55…
07-20 01:00:13	btc updown 15m 1784511000	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x297236…
07-20 00:45:13	xrp updown 15m 1784508300	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x8c81b2…
07-20 00:45:13	btc updown 15m 1784508300	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2e970d…
07-20 00:30:12	eth updown 15m 1784508300	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8850ea…
07-19 21:30:12	sol updown 15m 1784508300	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7da38b…
07-19 19:00:12	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x67f067…
07-19 15:15:12	xrp updown 15m 1784507400	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe7a7c5…
07-19 15:15:12	sol updown 15m 1784495700	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd6d976…
07-19 15:00:12	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd6a00…
07-19 14:15:12	doge updown 15m 1784508300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x28c3ad…
07-19 12:00:13	solana up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x7f1c22…
07-19 12:00:13	xrp up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x654267…
07-19 12:00:12	dogecoin up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x83ed2b…
07-19 12:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x296cc4…
07-19 11:00:13	doge updown 15m 1784469600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3d2e1e…
07-19 11:00:13	dogecoin up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3192c8…
07-19 10:00:30	dogecoin up or down july 19 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x23439f…
07-19 10:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8bcaa0…
07-19 09:30:13	btc updown 15m 1784507400	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x329993…
07-19 09:00:13	xrp up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xed0e66…
07-19 09:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7fe3ad…
07-19 09:00:13	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x114179…
07-19 08:45:15	xrp updown 15m 1784473200	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xfc98aa…
07-19 08:45:13	eth updown 15m 1784506500	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x736094…
07-19 08:01:48	xrp up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x573dc2…
07-19 08:00:13	sol updown 15m 1784473200	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0f4346…
07-19 07:15:15	doge updown 15m 1784457900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9544af…
07-19 07:00:13	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x32360b…
07-19 06:45:15	eth updown 15m 1784449800	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xdcfcf2…
07-19 06:15:13	btc updown 15m 1784452500	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3616a6…
07-19 05:00:13	doge updown 15m 1784444400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x045359…
07-19 04:00:13	xrp updown 15m 1784449800	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x22f5a1…
07-19 03:53:13	xrp updown 15m 1784519100	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x037950…
07-19 03:02:18	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe14350…
07-19 03:02:18	eth updown 15m 1784442600	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcd7c5b…
07-19 03:02:18	solana up or down july 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x94b2f3…