Dismal-Appetizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$302

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

313

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-29 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

54% 63% -$331

Crypto

18% 83% +$4

Politics

15% 84% +$110

Tech

10% 71% -$127

Sports

4% 78% +$42

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	4	$451	254	254	+0	Yes	-$9	02-12 19:50
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	4	$401	204	204	+0	No	+$1	01-31 09:13
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	2	$392	221	221	+0	No	-$8	02-26 19:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$383	198	198	+0	Yes	+$3	02-26 13:47
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$379	200	200	+0	No	+$3	02-11 18:51
will bitcoin reach 106k january 12 18	2	$374	187	187	+0	No	+$0	01-17 21:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$356	205	205	+0	No	+$14	04-14 20:12
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	4	$332	171	171	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 22:01
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$323	165	165	+0	No	+$3	01-18 12:12
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$304	152	152	-0	No	$0	01-15 18:04
will wuthering heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend	6	$277	140	140	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 17:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$270	138	138	+0	No	+$1	02-25 16:44
will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	2	$258	146	146	+0	No	+$22	02-24 05:49
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	2	$254	130	130	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 20:02
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$239	130	130	+0	No	-$3	01-29 18:18
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$239	194	194	+0	Yes	+$18	02-18 16:21
aapl close above 275 on february 27 2026	3	$224	140	140	+0	No	-$39	02-26 20:59
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$210	115	115	+0	Yes	+$8	02-14 13:16
meta close above 650 on march 3 2026	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	03-03 21:08
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$206	114	114	+0	Yes	+$6	01-28 18:31
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$205	107	107	+0	No	+$5	02-12 19:50
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$203	106	106	+0	Yes	+$3	02-18 12:31
nvda close above 190 on february 26 2026	2	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$5	02-26 20:59
will people we meet on vacation be the 2 global netflix movie this week january 20 2026	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	01-20 20:31
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	01-10 13:01
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	02-01 18:40
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-16 17:45
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 15	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-14 18:55
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	01-11 16:22
solana above 90 on january 15	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	01-14 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 15:47:26	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0x0a04f8…
07-18 22:49:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xe96223…
07-18 22:21:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8a901c…
07-18 21:43:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa5fb4f…
07-18 21:40:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0x59ba0a…
07-18 21:06:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa3bd10…
07-18 21:05:42	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	88	93¢	$82	0xd987bd…
07-17 08:12:13	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	88	86¢	$76	0x13aa62…
07-17 08:11:43	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0xc1f81a…
07-17 08:10:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0x8ab498…
07-17 08:10:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	82	47¢	$39	0x5528f2…
07-16 07:58:13	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0xda271e…
07-16 07:57:22	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x50c637…
07-16 07:56:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0xaab20d…
07-16 07:54:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xd0d28b…
07-14 20:44:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xee7ae5…
07-14 05:54:32	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	115	64¢	$74	0x716936…
07-12 18:33:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x23041e…
07-11 23:49:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xabd7fb…
07-11 23:18:38	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xeea2e2…
07-11 22:20:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x29aadb…
07-11 20:14:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x313aea…
07-10 20:45:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x978b97…
07-08 15:16:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb733b4…
07-07 21:37:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x53d148…
07-07 05:50:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x0a7bbd…
07-06 20:22:59	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6f857e…
07-06 20:22:05	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xe6b909…
07-06 19:07:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9a5b3c…
07-06 16:07:58	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf07bdd…
07-05 21:52:38	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x88f507…
07-05 21:35:56	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe197d6…
07-05 09:30:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x7c0425…
07-04 23:00:34	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x2deb9f…
07-04 07:27:02	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xd4faca…
07-04 07:26:23	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7513f5…
07-02 20:45:05	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x08ff40…
07-02 20:43:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x15882a…
07-02 19:33:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x6ae0f1…
07-01 06:08:41	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x28fbd8…
06-30 20:49:49	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xfcad6e…
06-28 20:55:16	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x2f34d8…
06-28 19:31:20	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x60656c…
06-27 23:14:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x42fdb4…
06-27 23:12:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x82ceec…
06-25 19:45:29	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0x4d695e…
06-24 19:56:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x055b12…
06-24 19:54:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5e7645…
06-24 19:51:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	58	68¢	$39	0x6a837c…
06-22 14:43:14	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x000d8a…
06-21 14:23:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xd85364…
06-21 14:21:37	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x9e093b…
06-21 13:41:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3c73a9…
06-21 13:40:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0d0250…
06-18 20:38:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x4e50fe…
06-17 18:00:35	Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x350f49…
06-16 14:17:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0xe38544…
06-16 14:14:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xca1e17…
06-16 14:07:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2dd528…
06-16 14:06:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	88¢	$47	0xd4105f…
06-15 17:47:49	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	84	35¢	$29	0x57b89b…
06-13 20:46:36	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x63494e…
06-11 19:56:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	77¢	$45	0x9b557d…
06-09 20:43:57	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x631117…
06-09 20:43:04	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x62b5e9…
06-08 18:14:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x5d1777…
06-08 18:11:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xe05875…
06-08 18:09:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x4be787…
06-06 06:46:01	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	91¢	$92	0x2f9fc1…
06-05 21:46:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0x478002…
06-05 15:39:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	SELL	70	63¢	$44	0x1dba7a…
06-04 18:07:54	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x6bb1a1…
06-04 18:06:55	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0x8f71dc…
06-01 20:52:20	Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x298bf7…
05-31 16:48:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x267b0e…
05-31 16:21:27	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$52	0x049fd5…
05-29 18:47:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	68	80¢	$55	0xda9f32…
05-28 14:36:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xaed107…
05-27 19:42:42	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x609e47…
05-27 16:05:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x9d8baa…
05-27 16:04:42	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x07377d…
05-27 16:04:23	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x77f263…
05-27 16:01:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x5199de…
05-27 16:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x66fac0…
05-25 16:57:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x3be32d…
05-23 20:56:59	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x480c5e…
05-23 10:07:30	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0x80114a…
05-21 18:38:37	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$29	0xf7b7d4…
05-19 20:27:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	97	91¢	$88	0xcd6d28…
05-19 15:37:07	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x26bed1…
05-19 15:33:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xa2555e…
05-19 15:32:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xff5f0c…
05-18 19:16:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x6f537d…
05-18 19:16:01	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x2589c8…
05-13 19:09:38	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfafafb…
05-13 19:09:05	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x90dd3c…
05-12 16:11:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x219568…
05-11 19:49:07	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x298adb…
05-11 19:20:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x35a703…
05-11 19:18:33	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x010293…