Venerated-Carol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

200

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

51% 54% -$244

Politics

45% 81% +$184

Crypto

4% 58% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	2	$1.8K	882	882	+0	No	+$6	02-04 02:11
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	4	$1.4K	743	743	+0	Yes	+$5	07-23 03:35
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	4	$1.2K	649	649	+0	No	+$84	01-31 10:52
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$28	02-09 23:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	2	$1.0K	522	522	+0	Yes	+$17	07-23 02:51
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	3	$918	537	537	+0	Yes	+$155	01-19 08:36
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$900	910	0	+910	No	+$10	02-10 07:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	6	$879	1,073	1,073	+0	Yes	-$627	02-15 01:38
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	10	$869	510	510	+0	Yes	+$146	01-26 09:29
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	3	$787	1,059	0	+1,059	Yes	+$273	02-08 13:05
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	2	$741	875	0	+875	Yes	+$134	01-31 10:53
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$740	741	0	+741	No	+$1	02-12 00:08
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$721	391	391	+0	No	+$36	01-15 15:20
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$618	337	337	+0	Yes	+$18	01-22 10:11
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$604	305	305	+0	No	+$5	01-15 05:19
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$500	503	0	+503	No	+$3	02-04 05:13
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$470	360	360	+0	No	-$50	02-08 12:55
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	8	$450	629	522	+107	Spain	-$35	07-19 21:12
will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week january 20 2026	2	$400	205	205	+0	Yes	$0	01-19 13:28
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$380	200	200	+0	No	+$3	01-16 01:54
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$323	170	170	+0	No	+$3	01-21 14:28
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$321	323	0	+323	No	+$1	02-12 09:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$317	406	0	+406	No	-$317	02-21 00:50
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$192	253	0	+253	open	—	10-31 04:18
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	4	$181	127	127	+0	No	+$9	01-25 04:42
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	1	$179	288	0	+288	Yes	+$109	07-23 03:31
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	1	$160	276	0	+276	No	-$160	08-12 03:34
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$154	191	191	+0	No	-$17	02-14 02:45
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$137	192	0	+192	Yes	+$55	10-25 13:43
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	5	$120	95	95	+0	Yes	-$1	02-11 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:18:07	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	253	76¢	$192	0x8f75ac…
10-25 13:43:56	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xa57b62…
10-25 13:43:26	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	364	4¢	$13	0xb598d9…
10-25 13:42:47	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	174	71¢	$124	0x13d7ed…
10-20 10:22:26	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	5¢	$20	0xd8cdb9…
10-17 13:41:39	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	123	74¢	$91	0x86ea65…
10-09 23:07:56	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf53361…
10-09 23:04:22	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x93b7d6…
10-03 01:09:35	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	66	78¢	$51	0x1bd70c…
09-26 03:32:02	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xc7a63e…
09-24 09:44:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0cfc85…
09-22 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x350864…
09-22 15:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x571ef3…
09-19 06:30:55	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0b38fb…
08-29 08:10:25	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x1929a3…
08-12 03:34:22	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	276	58¢	$160	0x17aaf1…
08-09 03:56:28	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xca989a…
07-31 14:43:50	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x92e1e1…
07-28 11:35:07	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x12216b…
07-28 02:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xee5a2a…
07-28 02:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6910fc…
07-28 02:02:49	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0x8dff33…
07-26 22:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x40ceca…
07-25 23:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe0451e…
07-25 23:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x97243f…
07-25 23:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xaffe26…
07-25 23:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x0f9f2b…
07-23 03:35:03	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	219	97¢	$212	0x7bdb60…
07-23 03:31:52	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	BUY	288	62¢	$179	0xcdd1e4…
07-23 02:51:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	522	99¢	$518	0xb2da67…
07-22 12:19:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	77	79¢	$61	0x150a1b…
07-22 10:03:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	522	96¢	$501	0xcf8b0b…
07-22 10:02:00	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0xaf87aa…
07-22 10:01:28	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	371	96¢	$357	0xd54cf0…
07-20 07:39:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0x6b87d3…
07-19 23:21:49	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	743	96¢	$710	0x44ec2f…
07-19 21:12:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x018f08…
07-19 21:10:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1a88a2…
07-19 20:42:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	266	39¢	$103	0xf9655e…
07-19 15:50:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x322010…
07-19 15:49:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xf9d9c9…
07-19 15:49:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	242	41¢	$99	0x2b045e…
07-19 08:14:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	491	41¢	$200	0x6bcdfe…
07-18 23:33:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf0b992…
07-18 23:25:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd3ae36…
07-18 22:42:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4f3279…
07-18 22:39:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8db35b…
07-15 20:52:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x20ba8e…
07-15 20:44:07	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6ff370…
07-12 03:18:31	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x12a370…
07-11 23:42:22	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb09e7b…
07-07 15:51:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa76edb…
07-03 23:55:47	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9df91a…
07-03 23:55:25	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xc5a09f…
07-03 23:07:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x46cda1…
07-03 23:07:35	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xacfac3…
06-23 16:03:26	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x41a42a…
06-23 16:03:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x356b76…
06-23 16:02:53	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x61f80a…
06-23 16:02:49	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf1dd0f…
06-15 12:40:00	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x41b9b1…
06-15 12:39:25	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xde81c9…
06-13 02:56:07	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	Yes	BUY	77	78¢	$60	0x74e5e6…
06-12 16:14:00	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x24f943…
06-12 03:42:19	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd9e991…
06-12 03:42:01	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbe8147…
06-12 03:41:42	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	47	16¢	$7	0x1982fc…
06-12 03:39:51	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x452bff…
06-11 17:31:27	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x84e9df…
06-11 17:31:07	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xaefee7…
05-26 09:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xa7bfbb…
05-26 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0xb42859…
05-26 00:04:46	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd2d936…
05-26 00:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb43213…
05-25 10:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xe1b10a…
05-25 10:55:10	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0961be…
05-25 10:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8de88c…
05-21 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x2ea8c4…
05-21 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf12cbf…
05-21 14:41:37	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x5de4ea…
05-21 14:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3d77f4…
05-21 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xafa335…
05-21 14:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x04d639…
05-21 14:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	74¢	$26	0x9dac14…
05-21 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xb99550…
05-21 13:58:39	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x69cc7c…
03-21 03:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x3f40bb…
03-21 03:14:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1fe733…
03-21 03:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x26dbb2…
03-21 03:11:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x57da0d…
03-21 03:11:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x273b37…
03-21 03:01:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x29e24d…
03-21 02:59:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb237eb…
03-21 02:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xaed5f8…
03-21 02:56:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xce9692…
03-21 02:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x6796b0…
03-21 02:40:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcc7ee2…
03-21 02:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x379104…
03-21 02:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xed9cb9…
03-21 02:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb7dc0c…