Ajar-Dependent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$337

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-14 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Crypto

29% 100% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bra san vas 2026 02 26 san	4	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	02-26 23:42
val gm edg1 2026 02 28	8	$23	61	61	+0	open	—	02-28 18:59
j1100 kas ura 2026 04 18 kas	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-18 07:07
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 ata1	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	02-25 21:24
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 bar	3	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	02-28 17:15
uel not fen1 2026 02 26 fen1	3	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	02-26 22:09
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 03:42
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-12 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$10	8	2	+6	open	—	05-15 08:59
btc updown 5m 1772307300	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 19:40
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	4	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 10:06
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 16:58
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	05-08 02:43
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-12 03:37
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-14 18:28
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$6	49	49	+0	open	—	04-28 12:33
btc updown 5m 1772306700	2	$6	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 19:27
tur tra iba 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 05:30
btc updown 5m 1772306400	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 05:24
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-11 04:06
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 03:51
epl ful liv 2026 01 04 ful	3	$4	7	2	+4	open	—	01-04 16:17
bra san vas 2026 02 26 draw	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 23:09
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 06:15
btc updown 5m 1772306100	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-15 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 18:28:07	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1d3461…
06-14 18:12:33	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x779703…
06-12 03:37:00	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x998ce0…
06-12 03:28:25	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd572d6…
06-12 03:27:45	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc8e80e…
06-12 03:17:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x303948…
06-12 02:46:43	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x225702…
06-10 11:06:01	sol updown 15m 1781091000	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x53a15b…
05-22 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2509ce…
05-19 19:25:50	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd45335…
05-17 11:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0801ad…
05-17 11:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb7db94…
05-17 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7052a…
05-17 10:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c6d7e…
05-15 10:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe66f8b…
05-15 10:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb75a4…
05-15 10:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ca4d3…
05-15 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92ead2…
05-15 09:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f55da…
05-15 09:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c1b0a…
05-15 09:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc0f95…
05-15 09:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cd399…
05-15 09:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05ebb1…
05-15 09:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ed8b3…
05-15 09:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a1cbe…
05-15 09:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8187c…
05-15 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f2f82…
05-15 08:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed221f…
05-15 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2eac07…
05-15 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22289f…
05-15 08:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd178f8…
05-15 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x163889…
05-15 08:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a2b3e…
05-15 08:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7feb…
05-15 08:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28849a…
05-15 08:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ebe3e…
05-15 08:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1c77b1…
05-15 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x781003…
05-15 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7956a1…
05-15 08:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x606525…
05-15 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9a945…
05-11 06:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7746e2…
05-11 04:06:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xfa43ad…
05-11 04:03:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbb45e8…
05-10 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37a076…
05-10 17:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a4079…
05-10 17:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1d4b4…
05-09 03:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2699dd…
05-09 03:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5eae8e…
05-08 02:43:16	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4203b9…
05-08 02:42:25	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdaa605…
05-07 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09800d…
05-07 05:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf27d0…
05-07 05:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x927d4b…
05-07 02:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf12e46…
04-30 11:11:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0b2310…
04-30 10:06:56	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x7ae585…
04-30 10:01:54	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb41630…
04-30 10:01:02	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x496a56…
04-30 10:00:30	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x182f36…
04-30 06:15:00	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe86ac4…
04-30 06:12:38	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3228f9…
04-28 12:33:58	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0xa545ea…
04-28 12:33:32	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xb0620c…
04-28 04:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x954e7b…
04-28 03:51:20	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xd756be…
04-28 03:50:38	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x167774…
04-28 03:42:54	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xbe83b7…
04-28 03:42:36	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x510c23…
04-25 17:04:24	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6dcd92…
04-25 16:56:28	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5882c…
04-22 19:35:44	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xdee4cd…
04-22 19:34:10	lal rso get 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb4601c…
04-22 16:29:00	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8ad716…
04-22 11:24:38	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x6c71f0…
04-22 11:24:14	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1ecf21…
04-22 11:19:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x1f2a09…
04-22 11:19:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x24d8b6…
04-20 18:41:08	tur gfk kay 2026 04 20 kay	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0bbd01…
04-19 18:41:30	tur tra iba 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc0a0e0…
04-19 17:46:22	tur tra iba 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x180819…
04-19 16:58:14	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x34d9ea…
04-19 16:36:40	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xce93e7…
04-18 07:07:06	j1100 kas ura 2026 04 18 kas	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x234bec…
04-18 06:53:32	j1100 kas ura 2026 04 18 kas	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x152cad…
04-18 06:53:02	j1100 kas ura 2026 04 18 ura	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8f70c9…
04-17 17:41:02	btc updown 5m 1776447300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9a3b5…
04-17 17:39:56	btc updown 5m 1776447300	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f1afc…
04-15 17:32:04	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x7ce3e2…
04-15 17:31:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4028b0…
03-01 23:14:57	btc updown 5m 1772406600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1936e…
03-01 23:13:39	btc updown 5m 1772406600	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c84d3…
03-01 23:09:43	btc updown 5m 1772406300	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf7ed4…
03-01 23:09:25	btc updown 5m 1772406300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9cfc61…
02-28 19:46:47	btc updown 5m 1772307900	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x636f3f…
02-28 19:46:25	btc updown 5m 1772307900	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb751e7…
02-28 19:42:57	btc updown 5m 1772307600	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd3bd46…
02-28 19:41:51	btc updown 5m 1772307600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0d67d3…
02-28 19:40:45	btc updown 5m 1772307300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc07141…
02-28 19:38:35	btc updown 5m 1772307300	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf888c6…