Ajar-Dependent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$504

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-17 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

56% 37% -$11

Crypto

21% 92% +$4

Sports

15% 57% $0

Politics

9% 17% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$30	85	85	+0	No	+$1	06-21 03:44
bra san vas 2026 02 26 san	4	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	02-26 23:42
val gm edg1 2026 02 28	8	$23	61	61	+0	Gentle Mates	-$7	02-28 18:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$19	61	61	+0	Yes	-$1	06-23 11:49
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	3	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-02 02:09
j1100 kas ura 2026 04 18 kas	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:07
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 ata1	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	02-25 21:24
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 bar	3	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 17:15
uel not fen1 2026 02 26 fen1	3	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	02-26 22:09
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 10:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$14	76	76	+0	No	+$1	06-21 03:45
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	04-28 03:42
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	06-12 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$10	8	2	+6	Down	+$0	05-15 08:59
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-11 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:35 UTC	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 19:40
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	4	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-30 10:06
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	04-19 16:58
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10, 2026?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-08 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?	2	$7	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	05-10 11:34
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	3	$7	5	5	+0	Over	-$1	06-12 03:37
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	2	$7	5	5	+0	Over	+$1	06-14 18:28
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$6	49	49	+0	No	$0	04-28 12:33
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?	2	$6	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-11 04:38
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	2	$6	5	5	+0	Under	+$2	06-17 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 19:25 UTC	2	$6	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 19:27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-21 03:45
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	2	$5	5	5	+0	Under	+$1	06-20 04:29
tur tra iba 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	2	$5	5	5	+0	Over	-$1	04-19 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 14:50:24	PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4f8317…
09-17 14:49:39	PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd11a79…
07-12 18:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd85033…
07-12 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x810bfc…
06-23 11:49:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x3c7540…
06-23 11:49:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x1fb113…
06-21 03:45:26	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8449d6…
06-21 03:45:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x81f886…
06-21 03:45:02	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd07ab8…
06-21 03:44:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xbdba26…
06-20 18:11:43	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc3670e…
06-20 17:54:50	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf3e91c…
06-20 04:29:32	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4256fc…
06-20 04:02:47	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa25e26…
06-17 18:54:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0fcdec…
06-17 18:38:47	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x025685…
06-14 18:28:07	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1d3461…
06-14 18:12:33	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x779703…
06-12 03:37:00	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x998ce0…
06-12 03:28:25	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd572d6…
06-12 03:27:45	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc8e80e…
06-12 03:17:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x303948…
06-12 02:46:43	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x225702…
06-11 20:07:15	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x18106e…
06-11 15:35:51	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb1b82…
06-11 14:29:00	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa5e70a…
06-11 09:45:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x70311c…
06-11 07:43:30	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf7ac85…
06-11 02:55:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x5d3b63…
06-10 23:38:25	England leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x99ef94…
06-10 17:00:24	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeb096e…
06-10 11:06:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x53a15b…
06-08 12:51:39	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x883d1c…
06-08 12:50:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xaa5b29…
05-28 13:41:57	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe0a061…
05-27 17:21:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x10e09b…
05-27 14:07:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x06e0e5…
05-26 21:47:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x685381…
05-26 17:13:57	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe61304…
05-26 17:13:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x79fe8e…
05-25 17:05:32	Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c5bd5…
05-25 16:47:32	Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x522e85…
05-23 08:10:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xde53fd…
05-23 07:56:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xb82527…
05-23 02:12:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xe6cabb…
05-22 16:49:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xc7ce85…
05-22 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2509ce…
05-22 04:10:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x5126e2…
05-21 19:47:24	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x75d997…
05-21 16:44:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x888a68…
05-21 16:43:19	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x251914…
05-21 16:29:39	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x811501…
05-21 16:22:51	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcef451…
05-21 13:47:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8b9fb9…
05-21 13:23:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x26363d…
05-21 10:21:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x5ee5d1…
05-21 10:17:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4564fb…
05-21 03:00:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xae3ca6…
05-20 21:27:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1e56d6…
05-20 17:02:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x1bd845…
05-20 14:17:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x273493…
05-20 07:20:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x4a97bc…
05-20 05:24:57	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe844ce…
05-19 19:25:50	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd45335…
05-19 17:32:03	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x753849…
05-17 11:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b2115…
05-17 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9113d8…
05-17 11:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0801ad…
05-17 11:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb7db94…
05-17 11:11:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa6a27b…
05-17 10:58:43	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x9ce7ec…
05-17 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7052a…
05-17 10:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c6d7e…
05-17 10:47:29	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x30c625…
05-15 10:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe66f8b…
05-15 10:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb75a4…
05-15 10:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ca4d3…
05-15 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92ead2…
05-15 09:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f55da…
05-15 09:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c1b0a…
05-15 09:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc0f95…
05-15 09:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cd399…
05-15 09:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05ebb1…
05-15 09:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ed8b3…
05-15 09:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a1cbe…
05-15 09:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8187c…
05-15 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f2f82…
05-15 08:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed221f…
05-15 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2eac07…
05-15 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22289f…
05-15 08:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd178f8…
05-15 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x163889…
05-15 08:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a2b3e…
05-15 08:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7feb…
05-15 08:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28849a…
05-15 08:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ebe3e…
05-15 08:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1c77b1…
05-15 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x781003…
05-15 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7956a1…
05-15 08:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x606525…