Rubbery-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

92 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$829

$829 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$130

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$30	59	38	+22	Up	$-10	05-06 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$29	43	22	+21	Down	+$10	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$25	0	44	-44	Up	+$25	05-06 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$21	21	22	-2	Down	+$21	05-06 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	43	0	+43	Down	$-20	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$20	20	22	-2	Down	$-2	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$19	23	23	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$19	22	22	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$19	20	20	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$19	23	23	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$19	22	22	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$19	20	20	-0	Up	$-2	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$19	20	20	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$17	22	22	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$17	16	20	-4	Up	$-3	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$15	28	28	+0	Down	$-5	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$15	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$13	26	0	+26	Down	+$13	05-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$12	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-06 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	+$16	05-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$15	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-06 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-05 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0x33ddba…
05-07 01:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x75101e…
05-07 01:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xdee447…
05-06 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xae493b…
05-06 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x8929ff…
05-06 19:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6715b7…
05-06 19:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0106db…
05-06 19:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0x6d5b3b…
05-06 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2bdd40…
05-06 19:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe5721f…
05-06 19:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x868adc…
05-06 19:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x64584d…
05-06 18:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xaffc14…
05-06 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xcdc72f…
05-06 18:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x460afd…
05-06 16:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$9	0x8a7bf6…
05-06 16:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdfc6c8…
05-06 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x089a13…
05-06 15:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x67d141…
05-06 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	67¢	$14	0x5e4ddc…
05-06 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xef62ac…
05-06 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xbc54c3…
05-06 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x8cca8a…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe721cf…
05-06 11:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0xc780a9…
05-06 11:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdd3c73…
05-06 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9cd130…
05-06 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xc1287c…
05-06 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x60285b…
05-06 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8191fc…
05-06 09:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x96fe7c…
05-06 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x03636a…
05-06 09:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2d6cee…
05-06 08:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x6a22d2…
05-06 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb0fd7c…
05-06 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3385c6…
05-06 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4bc5f0…
05-06 07:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x269a93…
05-06 07:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x63e296…
05-06 06:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x695895…
05-06 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x63d7c5…
05-06 06:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0xa31cad…
05-06 06:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x69e0e4…
05-06 06:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x857234…
05-06 05:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfaf7c5…
05-06 05:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf9d8f9…
05-06 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2b5623…
05-06 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x504063…
05-06 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x682177…
05-06 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x6d0c4b…
05-06 00:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x33dca1…
05-06 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7869a7…
05-06 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x17def0…
05-05 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb0f6a7…
05-05 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x6fe9d6…
05-05 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6c1035…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x345ddb…
05-05 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x546b96…
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb0839f…
05-05 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed75dc…
05-05 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfa16c9…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb7e0e6…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x48e933…
05-05 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x416894…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x987a21…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde90c4…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8526c5…
05-05 14:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x276e64…
05-05 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x779e7c…
05-05 12:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x864e0f…
05-05 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xfa74d4…
05-05 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2ded28…
05-05 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb6d2cc…
05-05 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1f98bb…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbc3879…
05-05 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xb705a9…
05-05 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9952b2…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2848ba…
05-05 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb38dc7…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb556d0…
05-05 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x493e6d…
05-05 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x93c493…
05-05 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1315a5…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa20ecf…
05-05 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x261253…
05-05 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa0ff96…
05-05 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xc053cb…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x64015f…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf39ec4…
05-05 00:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xd765f4…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x616a74…
05-04 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcff057…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	66	$2.04K	514	05-07 02:28
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	64	$12.2K	647	05-07 02:28
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	61	$5.31K	384	05-07 02:23
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	60	$4.73K	516	05-07 02:23
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	58	$2.72K	388	05-07 02:28
Poor-Concentrate 0xdcef…d05c	58	$561	159	05-07 02:28
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	57	$2.79K	260	05-07 02:28
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	56	$829	227	05-07 02:28