Rubbery-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

37 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$357

$357 lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down		+20	$10	56¢	$12	+$2	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down		+23	$10	4¢	$1	$-9	05-05 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$19	20	20	-0	Up	$-2	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$17	16	20	-4	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$15	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$12	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	+$13	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	$-10	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Down	$-10	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	+$12	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	+$13	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$9	0	20	-20	open	—	05-05 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6c1035…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x345ddb…
05-05 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x546b96…
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb0839f…
05-05 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed75dc…
05-05 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfa16c9…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb7e0e6…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x48e933…
05-05 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x416894…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x987a21…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde90c4…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8526c5…
05-05 14:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x276e64…
05-05 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x779e7c…
05-05 12:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x864e0f…
05-05 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xfa74d4…
05-05 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2ded28…
05-05 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb6d2cc…
05-05 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1f98bb…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbc3879…
05-05 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xb705a9…
05-05 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9952b2…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2848ba…
05-05 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb38dc7…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb556d0…
05-05 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x493e6d…
05-05 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x93c493…
05-05 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1315a5…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa20ecf…
05-05 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x261253…
05-05 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa0ff96…
05-05 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xc053cb…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x64015f…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf39ec4…
05-05 00:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xd765f4…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x616a74…
05-04 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcff057…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	31	$729	177	05-05 22:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	30	$9.51K	245	05-05 22:10
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	28	$1.67K	117	05-05 22:45
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	27	$1.39K	144	05-05 22:55
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	27	$923	80	05-05 22:50
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	26	$1.66K	166	05-05 22:50
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	25	$7.17K	131	05-05 22:55
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	25	$6.02K	212	05-05 22:55