Realized P&L
-$257
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
455
Trades
2,317
lifetime
Volume
$7.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$5
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-01 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
46% 43% -$572
Politics
39% 54% +$337
Crypto
15% 42% -$21
Sports
0% 17% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $0 5¢ $2 +$2 11-01 16:16
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +28 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-15 22:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +25 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-31 18:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-16 02:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-16 12:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 10-18 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-25 10:57