(anonymous) 0x14adb1…05c876
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Realized P&L
-$258
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
445
Trades
2,315
lifetime
Volume
$7.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$6
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-01 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
46% 44% -$570
Politics
39% 56% +$335
Crypto
15% 42% -$21
Sports
0% 17% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +25 $4 6¢ $1 -$2 10-31 18:38
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +28 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-15 22:03
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 -$1 6¢ $1 +$2 10-30 13:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-16 12:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-16 02:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-18 08:19
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +17 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-25 17:33
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-22 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-25 10:57
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-20 00:46