Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

109

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$157

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-21

last 11-03 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

82% 54% -$5

Politics

13% 83% +$9

Tech

4% 60% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 15:28
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-20 04:01
will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-13 21:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-23 07:49
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-22 07:35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-21 23:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	2	$2	7	+7	No	-$1	10-28 00:04
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-21 15:34
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-16 05:25
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-24 01:53
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 17:42
will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-27 18:12
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-22 23:47
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-16 13:27
next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-01 01:08
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 06:15
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	09-08 22:12
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-10 22:40
will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 22:58
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-17 07:41
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-08 00:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-18 03:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	09-08 10:46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 07:20
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 16:26
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-01 09:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-26 01:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-11 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:54:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x718829…
11-03 11:52:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfeb4d8…
11-03 03:47:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6f688…
11-02 19:47:27	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ee36f…
11-02 11:43:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1ac16b…
11-02 03:43:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd81641…
11-01 19:37:03	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5bc21b…
10-28 16:17:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9cecc1…
10-28 08:14:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdc3845…
10-28 00:04:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb10c48…
10-28 00:04:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe29534…
10-27 14:34:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x549be9…
10-27 06:34:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x071df2…
10-25 22:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x07a575…
10-25 14:32:20	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe0c17…
10-25 05:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1e12a2…
10-22 19:38:02	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x069d2c…
10-22 11:17:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0219f3…
10-22 02:10:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x21978c…
10-21 04:05:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x967040…
10-20 16:01:18	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $148 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0e7d4e…
10-20 08:01:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2b9d3c…
10-19 23:57:41	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x09b9e9…
10-19 15:50:27	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3773c6…
10-19 07:17:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd3a398…
10-18 23:16:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x09b76f…
10-18 13:10:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x304d42…
10-17 16:12:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc76534…
10-17 04:24:33	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe8bbd7…
10-16 12:59:28	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x47f9fe…
10-16 04:33:37	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5f593e…
10-15 20:26:11	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x333da2…
10-15 11:57:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xca243e…
10-15 03:37:05	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa07abe…
10-14 07:34:19	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0b08b5…
10-14 07:33:52	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x477e69…
10-13 23:17:18	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfce800…
10-13 22:52:01	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfd463a…
10-11 14:18:51	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3cae55…
10-11 04:31:48	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x66a769…
10-10 19:51:28	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd0acb1…
10-10 19:26:33	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9d461e…
10-10 06:41:55	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd406bd…
10-09 21:22:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x58a267…
10-09 09:46:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x335424…
10-08 12:14:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2b5df6…
10-08 03:55:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x988b59…
10-07 17:18:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x57d605…
10-07 06:20:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb1a605…
10-06 22:11:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x60a836…
10-06 14:00:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd12ea2…
10-06 05:46:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6fadb4…
10-05 21:46:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x39c95d…
10-05 13:46:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfc4b14…
10-05 00:52:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfba585…
10-02 14:49:11	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb17cf6…
10-02 06:05:02	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfedaf3…
10-01 18:26:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x10f9b1…
10-01 08:54:51	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1e51ba…
09-30 23:37:59	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc3dd20…
09-30 12:12:36	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb85fce…
09-27 02:52:36	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c8284…
09-27 02:27:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd93038…
09-26 09:23:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa19cfe…
09-25 12:43:59	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd32282…
09-25 03:19:06	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2e9234…
09-24 17:55:35	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x63c513…
09-24 09:53:36	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3ac4d1…
09-24 01:53:13	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdbcd56…
09-23 16:26:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xec6110…
09-23 07:49:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9fd64f…
09-22 23:47:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4fb5b2…
09-22 15:46:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x47ccb6…
09-22 07:35:31	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x35d47f…
09-21 23:35:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x17a29e…
09-21 15:34:14	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3aa885…
09-21 15:28:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x022eca…
09-21 07:20:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x51e2cf…
09-20 22:27:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6169fb…
09-20 04:01:40	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1bfb16…
09-19 05:45:09	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xaa45c9…
09-18 03:24:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa04269…
09-17 17:42:09	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb89b92…
09-17 07:41:13	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0df431…
09-16 22:58:16	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xae9178…
09-16 13:27:49	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa7ff87…
09-16 05:25:49	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x667899…
09-13 21:08:31	will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd3acae…
09-11 06:56:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8c6280…
09-10 22:40:42	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbc0b9c…
09-10 14:40:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd5c36c…
09-09 06:15:31	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3b83f1…
09-08 22:12:04	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaac1fa…
09-08 10:46:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x65136f…
09-08 00:45:52	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdf11a8…
09-07 09:06:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcf5c4c…
09-03 14:13:48	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0647d6…
09-01 09:37:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf2f628…
09-01 01:08:55	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc7b033…
08-29 13:52:18	will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x720772…