Subtle-Impress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

12,692

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-10 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

59% 50% +$9

Other

26% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+93	$22	24¢	$22	$-1	06-10 07:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	31	$1.8K	1,013	950	+63	open	—	01-30 01:59
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	868	$1.8K	83,386	63,835	+19,551	No	+$14	04-19 11:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	36	$939	949	938	+12	open	—	01-30 02:01
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	48	$780	637	670	-34	open	—	02-13 15:09
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	676	$674	17,444	16,164	+1,279	open	—	04-24 17:22
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	714	$595	25,256	23,061	+2,194	open	—	04-27 10:37
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	11	$556	262	346	-84	open	—	01-07 01:11
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	557	$553	16,678	15,673	+1,005	open	—	04-09 07:45
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	383	$497	11,761	9,835	+1,926	open	—	04-23 06:24
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	431	$492	22,570	22,737	-167	open	—	02-14 20:55
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	47	$442	1,645	4,451	-2,806	open	—	02-22 18:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$439	562	449	+113	open	—	01-31 10:11
will slovakia win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	159	$421	15,561	16,863	-1,302	open	—	02-20 22:03
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	882	$400	28,299	25,849	+2,450	open	—	04-24 13:09
will switzerland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	150	$371	26,432	14,601	+11,831	open	—	02-18 19:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	103	$349	7,830	7,965	-135	open	—	03-05 07:43
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	339	$341	10,203	7,425	+2,778	open	—	04-25 22:16
will sweden win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$340	185	185	+0	open	—	02-14 17:53
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	194	$249	9,876	6,060	+3,816	open	—	04-19 07:25
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	117	$218	5,987	4,795	+1,192	open	—	04-02 09:50
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	287	$207	21,748	22,187	-439	open	—	04-03 20:39
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	01-10 14:33
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	286	$203	10,337	7,564	+2,773	open	—	04-12 09:33
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	93	$191	2,509	1,876	+634	open	—	02-18 18:11
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	123	$187	3,794	3,126	+668	open	—	03-21 09:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$181	108	118	-10	open	—	03-08 21:07
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	341	$179	7,122	5,538	+1,583	open	—	04-21 11:39
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	343	$178	15,094	10,800	+4,294	open	—	04-11 21:21
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	598	$161	16,613	12,281	+4,332	open	—	03-25 05:26
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	38	$128	12,927	12,744	+183	open	—	03-06 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:19:06	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	37¢	$34	0x91ec0a…
06-10 07:17:01	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x89f2b3…
06-10 07:15:58	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	31¢	$55	0x6879e7…
06-09 17:11:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xfbcfa1…
06-09 16:25:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x7e5f22…
06-09 15:54:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xbc90c6…
06-09 14:56:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ebf1c…
06-09 14:15:37	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb4a8c5…
06-09 13:55:49	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc493bd…
06-09 13:20:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xb9dea8…
06-09 12:59:06	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x98846f…
06-09 12:36:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd7bf3e…
04-27 10:37:06	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xd06e5f…
04-27 09:00:22	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x24e0c2…
04-27 03:58:10	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x36e445…
04-27 03:53:34	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xdae893…
04-27 02:36:34	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	784	0¢	$3	0xa17317…
04-26 20:37:20	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x220c40…
04-26 20:23:10	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x2c3deb…
04-26 20:23:08	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x586bc7…
04-26 20:16:12	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xf8ec52…
04-26 20:10:12	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xf96fd0…
04-26 20:03:18	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf5537f…
04-26 20:03:16	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd240ea…
04-26 19:31:36	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x6831c2…
04-26 18:38:02	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x74d838…
04-25 22:16:42	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,050	1¢	$9	0x16a60a…
04-25 21:29:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x833c2b…
04-25 21:13:36	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x955f6b…
04-25 21:12:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	1¢	$1	0x09e65e…
04-25 07:15:56	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xa16348…
04-25 06:35:54	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0x7dd826…
04-25 06:08:44	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0x61ccc3…
04-25 06:07:48	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xdea821…
04-25 05:47:20	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x10e58e…
04-25 04:59:32	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x4164cf…
04-25 04:57:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xe3629d…
04-25 04:57:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x668ba4…
04-25 04:53:48	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6a2998…
04-25 04:53:30	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xc029c5…
04-25 04:53:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdd457e…
04-25 04:53:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9f648b…
04-25 04:53:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x7239c7…
04-25 04:43:20	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x899db9…
04-25 04:43:18	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfb171f…
04-25 04:43:18	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0ae893…
04-25 04:38:04	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xba07eb…
04-25 01:21:04	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x9c5e92…
04-25 00:53:50	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xe9a440…
04-24 23:55:36	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	237	1¢	$3	0x35420c…
04-24 22:42:18	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$1	0x46ad7b…
04-24 19:23:46	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0x2e5888…
04-24 18:21:18	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9cc028…
04-24 18:14:00	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xcb57b7…
04-24 18:03:52	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8521fc…
04-24 17:53:16	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x5be2a9…
04-24 17:22:10	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0xc0c1eb…
04-24 17:19:50	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xb9bf77…
04-24 16:58:04	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x6a3032…
04-24 16:52:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xb29417…
04-24 16:51:26	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xe897d0…
04-24 16:40:22	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x3c27fd…
04-24 16:21:30	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x702d9d…
04-24 16:20:02	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x67de44…
04-24 15:25:36	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x5d33d2…
04-24 13:09:22	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,052	0¢	$4	0x388eab…
04-24 13:08:54	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	390	1¢	$5	0xf3b3f7…
04-24 13:04:06	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x09b34a…
04-24 12:58:40	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6b9145…
04-24 12:56:28	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x359c58…
04-24 12:56:26	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0f16e4…
04-24 11:46:38	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	304	1¢	$3	0x7934ca…
04-24 11:29:34	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x8f1225…
04-24 10:39:14	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xc25f23…
04-24 10:32:20	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x38f959…
04-24 10:12:18	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xb97942…
04-24 10:00:12	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xb02a5f…
04-24 09:51:08	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xd4a739…
04-24 09:44:14	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xcd1a8b…
04-24 08:31:08	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc28278…
04-24 07:10:46	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$1	0x69add6…
04-24 04:42:00	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x23728b…
04-23 19:31:42	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	2¢	$2	0x482f37…
04-23 17:57:56	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0xa15517…
04-23 17:52:36	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xe815aa…
04-23 14:42:54	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8ff863…
04-23 13:25:42	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xdda4d2…
04-23 13:07:58	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$3	0x1017eb…
04-23 12:42:26	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdcde4e…
04-23 06:24:54	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,437	2¢	$36	0x1c340c…
04-23 01:57:04	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xfab3d4…
04-23 01:32:34	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0c8453…
04-23 01:29:38	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x22647b…
04-23 01:10:52	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc2244e…
04-23 00:55:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xaa4f1b…
04-23 00:55:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0b90f2…
04-23 00:54:10	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5390e3…
04-22 21:09:04	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x4a9d1e…
04-22 20:50:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x0259db…
04-22 20:34:04	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x08ae39…