Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$64

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-25 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

47% 19% +$10

Politics

28% 22% -$13

Crypto

10% 29% $0

Sports

8% 12% $0

Tech

7% 25% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	-20	-$17	98¢	$-20	-$3	05-12 16:16
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-20	-$14	86¢	$-17	-$3	05-24 03:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-21	-$13	67¢	$-14	-$1	05-12 01:14
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	-15	-$10	87¢	$-13	-$3	06-07 03:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	11	$380	250	250	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$100	150	50	+100	Down	$0	08-24 03:48
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$99	150	50	+100	Down	$0	08-24 04:00
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	4	$99	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-22 11:08
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-31 11:15
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	3	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 04:40
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	4	$94	97	97	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:33
US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	09-25 11:27
will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 03:15
will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	3	$59	60	30	+30	Yes	+$1	07-23 14:06
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	2	$58	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 15:15
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	5	$52	200	100	+100	Yes	+$2	06-24 20:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	2	$48	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	07-23 13:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	01-17 10:31
will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	5	$39	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 04:02
will keir starmer be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533201	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-24 15:15
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 11:31
will the announcers say fresh legs during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140025	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-01 09:02
will krakens valuation hit low 10b by june 30	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-01 17:06
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-24 03:45
spy closes above 775 on september 25 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-25 05:45
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of August 24 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-24 13:35
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-27 13:45
dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-24 04:42
will spy reach 770 by september 21 2026 from september 23	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 12:24
will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 19:57
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 02:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 24?	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-24 14:42
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	08-24 05:11
Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	4	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	08-24 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 14:12:14	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x059aa6…
09-25 14:11:26	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x389e96…
09-25 14:09:11	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1caa85…
09-25 13:56:06	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xf4f643…
09-25 13:53:53	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbc54a9…
09-25 13:30:02	will abnb reach 152 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xee2125…
09-25 13:30:02	will abnb reach 152 in september 2026	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x4a08e8…
09-25 12:24:24	will spy reach 770 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xa6fe8f…
09-25 12:16:59	will spy reach 770 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa99b64…
09-25 12:04:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x26b41b…
09-25 11:57:38	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 8 million views this week 20260929	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa09545…
09-25 11:57:27	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6ae03f…
09-25 11:57:06	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 8 million views this week 20260929	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x27ae0d…
09-25 11:56:54	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 10 million views this week 20260929	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2c413f…
09-25 11:27:51	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xed7dad…
09-25 11:15:06	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2ba78c…
09-25 09:45:45	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1bfb25…
09-25 06:24:20	spy closes above 760 on september 25 2026	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbc2ec6…
09-25 06:22:18	spy closes above 760 on september 25 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x65f249…
09-25 05:48:42	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x60768d…
09-25 05:45:29	spy closes above 775 on september 25 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xf289c4…
09-25 05:32:27	spy closes above 775 on september 25 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2cb9a1…
09-25 05:21:02	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9e17c9…
09-25 04:38:36	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x8718c3…
08-31 11:15:45	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0c379d…
08-27 13:45:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x502386…
08-24 14:42:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x67be7a…
08-24 13:35:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x8a6988…
08-24 05:18:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x73b642…
08-24 05:17:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x3883a0…
08-24 05:11:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x7a3598…
08-24 05:06:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xd3b558…
08-24 04:46:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x69314a…
08-24 04:46:15	Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe3d385…
08-24 04:46:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaf3f1b…
08-24 04:21:55	Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1697a7…
08-24 04:21:51	Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa686b9…
08-24 04:21:49	Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x765b42…
08-24 04:08:46	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xed91ba…
08-24 04:02:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	92¢	$12	0xc2a3e0…
08-24 04:00:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9a1f2c…
08-24 04:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9196dd…
08-24 03:59:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9344d1…
08-24 03:58:45	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9bf766…
08-24 03:57:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xc2df9a…
08-24 03:56:55	BNB Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x37f9da…
08-24 03:55:48	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x03f669…
08-24 03:54:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x99b195…
08-24 03:50:51	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xd23a49…
08-24 03:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2c8cb9…
08-24 03:48:00	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf47822…
08-24 03:45:16	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa04b8d…
08-24 03:45:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26714f…
08-24 03:44:49	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2a3101…
08-24 03:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd9bc7c…
08-24 03:42:12	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x773f13…
08-24 03:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb97b65…
08-24 03:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac5b95…
08-24 02:56:43	Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x47f583…
08-24 02:52:54	Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x45d019…
08-24 02:48:00	Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xb3ef6b…
08-24 02:46:39	Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x1ca2ea…
07-24 04:43:04	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x451240…
07-24 04:42:57	will american express say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416060	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd53246…
07-24 04:42:33	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9841a9…
07-24 04:42:22	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8c949a…
07-24 04:40:30	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7a3810…
07-24 00:40:43	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x12b0ac…
07-24 00:35:03	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x706cd0…
07-23 23:10:13	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xb720c2…
07-23 23:10:13	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x92699a…
07-23 22:16:49	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfc126b…
07-23 21:56:31	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0e4658…
07-23 21:35:43	dlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt67	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x47f5ec…
07-23 21:10:21	will intel say ai or artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650075	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd2b46e…
07-23 21:05:13	will intel say advanced during earnings call 20260717163650078	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x5d237c…
07-23 20:43:40	wti closes above 89 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9a3eee…
07-23 20:00:12	intc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt21	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6ee177…
07-23 19:35:37	will american express say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416060	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe811b2…
07-23 14:07:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe4e735…
07-23 14:06:36	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x57a8de…
07-23 13:32:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xc9a661…
07-23 12:19:42	Will Dow say "Capacity" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x14408a…
07-23 11:50:06	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x17e1e6…
07-23 11:46:58	Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xebe870…
07-23 11:45:03	will dow say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814087	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xc5145b…
07-23 11:24:30	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x804e7f…
07-23 11:14:57	will dow say infrastructure during earnings call 20260717163814093	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0870c4…
07-23 10:56:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e4676…
07-23 07:44:31	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3a2cbb…
07-23 07:32:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1dde17…
07-23 01:14:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa22ea1…
07-23 01:14:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe2e7e9…
07-22 20:46:52	wti closes above 81 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa559c0…
07-22 20:46:28	wti closes above 80 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x450a9d…
07-22 20:44:06	xagusd up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x50153c…
07-22 20:03:24	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715172625719	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd3e12f…
07-22 19:58:40	spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x25c18e…
07-22 18:57:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x29af88…
07-22 17:55:18	spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x13e8bf…