Shy-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$46

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

274

520 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.83K

$12.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$91

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-12 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

63% 26% -$123

Politics

17% 67% -$522

Crypto

15% 31% +$66

Sports

4% 38% -$30

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+87	$81	98¢	$85	+$5	09-15 17:59
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$12	6¢	$3	-$8	11-08 07:13
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	10-25 03:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	07-02 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$3.8K	4,859	4,859	+0	No	-$47	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,511	1,511	+0	No	-$527	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	14	$457	351	350	+1	No	-$32	10-27 06:53
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	16	$392	414	414	+0	No	$0	09-29 02:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	14	$299	332	282	+50	Yes	-$55	10-27 06:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	20	$297	409	298	+111	Yes	+$68	10-30 23:49
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$275	290	290	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	7	$236	168	118	+50	No	+$13	10-25 07:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	16	$233	444	285	+159	Yes	+$62	10-29 03:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	7	$168	154	123	+31	Yes	+$13	10-17 01:20
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	19	$162	500	500	+0	No	-$9	09-28 03:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	6	$146	111	107	+4	No	-$10	10-23 13:52
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	6	$126	140	140	+0	open	—	11-01 18:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	15	$123	318	318	+0	No	-$23	10-31 16:57
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	7	$107	139	105	+34	No	-$29	10-27 07:41
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-07 00:32
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	4	$99	78	78	+0	open	—	09-25 13:43
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	2	$97	53	53	+0	No	$0	06-18 03:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?	3	$95	83	23	+60	Yes	-$8	06-23 20:01
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$90	150	100	+50	open	—	11-08 07:13
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	2	$89	51	51	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 19:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	4	$84	137	0	+137	open	—	09-15 17:59
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	2	$81	51	51	+0	No	-$2	06-22 17:09
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	2	$80	46	46	+0	No	$0	07-03 22:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?	1	$77	78	0	+78	Yes	+$1	06-04 15:13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?	1	$74	76	0	+76	Yes	+$2	06-10 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	1	$72	73	0	+73	Yes	+$1	06-10 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 6?	1	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$1	06-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	1	$68	69	0	+69	Yes	+$1	06-05 22:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	4	$67	45	29	+16	Yes	+$1	07-14 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 18:13:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb88cbf…
11-12 16:31:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xbfb1e1…
11-10 20:44:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x830fa0…
11-08 07:13:09	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x1901cb…
11-07 18:22:39	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xbfdf70…
11-04 13:32:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x0a3820…
11-04 12:02:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x14b910…
11-03 11:27:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x7a151c…
11-03 10:58:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x7f191e…
11-02 19:18:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xfa1276…
11-01 18:37:34	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xbf5341…
11-01 17:31:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x34107a…
10-31 16:57:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6ccb82…
10-30 23:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0xbbff2b…
10-30 22:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x70a7ed…
10-30 22:05:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x135d62…
10-30 22:03:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x85b2c0…
10-30 21:38:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0xe11a80…
10-30 21:25:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0xbe3d6c…
10-30 21:19:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x9e8a75…
10-30 19:55:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x754424…
10-30 18:01:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x12c3d8…
10-30 15:11:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x59c9a1…
10-30 13:08:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x706f49…
10-30 12:29:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbd8f05…
10-30 09:38:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0xfd79bb…
10-30 08:02:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x866fd6…
10-30 08:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x7c3c87…
10-30 07:41:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x054c5c…
10-30 05:32:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0xb552cc…
10-30 05:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x998321…
10-29 09:14:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x28ad4a…
10-29 03:55:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xe7da70…
10-29 02:02:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xdb21fe…
10-28 19:54:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xc52227…
10-28 19:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xe58bc7…
10-28 13:44:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x514513…
10-28 12:12:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x2b106d…
10-28 01:04:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x9fd150…
10-27 22:08:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x8e6849…
10-27 15:21:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x060607…
10-27 07:41:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x447b3f…
10-27 06:53:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x53e212…
10-27 06:42:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x878c8b…
10-27 06:16:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xc3375e…
10-26 13:43:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5b692a…
10-25 23:40:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x780188…
10-25 10:35:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x04f1ac…
10-25 07:25:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x0bf1c0…
10-25 03:22:11	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x7a596a…
10-25 03:03:50	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xdfc638…
10-24 18:48:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x996544…
10-24 18:14:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa43cc3…
10-24 13:37:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xfac229…
10-24 10:15:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x63f681…
10-24 05:32:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xf89893…
10-24 02:07:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x9fe246…
10-23 18:41:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x9bd4c7…
10-23 13:52:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xe8f5dc…
10-23 13:51:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x870250…
10-23 11:09:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xb13bfc…
10-23 09:00:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x201fa0…
10-23 07:59:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0c5085…
10-23 04:06:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xfba3d4…
10-23 03:47:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xad4be3…
10-23 03:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa414d9…
10-23 02:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x991d67…
10-22 20:16:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x286124…
10-22 14:50:51	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xd23503…
10-22 09:42:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x86e2d1…
10-22 08:29:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x31ea21…
10-22 06:29:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x34158f…
10-21 22:05:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x8c21aa…
10-21 21:10:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x954cfb…
10-21 19:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x325ce7…
10-21 19:06:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x4c2159…
10-21 15:26:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x400dfe…
10-21 14:44:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x8c9c59…
10-21 12:03:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xce7e7d…
10-21 10:33:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xb98f84…
10-21 10:00:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x5286dc…
10-21 09:30:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x6d8326…
10-21 09:16:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x6bc7f7…
10-21 08:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x08a905…
10-21 07:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x247af5…
10-20 20:48:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x35771c…
10-20 20:48:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xdfc1b5…
10-20 18:23:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xc363d3…
10-20 10:11:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x726b86…
10-20 04:28:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xe891d5…
10-20 01:35:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x8cc4c3…
10-20 01:15:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x25845c…
10-19 21:41:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x216919…
10-19 17:00:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xf11e0b…
10-19 10:03:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x925d16…
10-19 08:40:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0xe25687…
10-19 00:15:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xaa1540…
10-18 15:05:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xea8e69…
10-17 18:01:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4f6444…
10-17 01:20:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x912c4a…