Mushy-Teapot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

139

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$407

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-14 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

95% 68% +$35

Politics

3% 60% -$2

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on april 23 2026	4	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 18:24
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$10	11	6	+4	Down	-$6	05-01 19:19
spx up or down on april 23 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-23 18:25
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$8	10	6	+4	Up	-$2	04-24 13:09
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-17 12:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	4	$8	11	6	+5	Down	-$4	05-04 12:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	07-23 03:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$7	8	5	+3	No	$0	05-23 04:36
wti up or down on april 22 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	04-22 19:16
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$6	6	3	+3	Up	-$1	05-14 18:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 12:46
will the sp 500 spx open at 67006800 on april 8	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 15:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	3	$6	11	5	+5	Up	-$2	05-19 09:36
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 20:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-24 16:14
xauusd up or down on april 9 2026	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 04:02
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 18:39
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 14:50
wti up or down on april 16 2026	3	$5	4	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 17:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 15:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 15:22
spy up or down on june 22 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	06-22 14:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-15 13:45
spy opens up or down on july 23 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	07-23 04:02
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-12 19:28
spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-16 13:28
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	3	$5	6	2	+4	Down	+$1	04-29 11:20
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-22 19:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 19:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-30 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 04:15:47	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x94d3f5…
07-23 04:08:13	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xda0d59…
07-23 04:02:30	spy opens up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xff9696…
07-23 03:57:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa27963…
07-10 04:18:14	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc1fe89…
06-22 14:53:59	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x07c423…
06-11 04:56:31	spy up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb3711e…
06-10 02:55:42	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf9893…
06-10 02:44:03	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x96814d…
06-09 03:59:03	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb5875b…
06-09 03:48:00	will spy reach 750 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7385da…
06-02 19:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2be74c…
05-23 04:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcd4eb6…
05-23 04:36:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xfa1042…
05-22 19:47:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xddc685…
05-22 19:31:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe864ab…
05-22 04:43:37	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x26d9d9…
05-22 04:40:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc34fc4…
05-21 04:43:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf919ed…
05-21 04:28:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5f1488…
05-21 04:27:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x18efcc…
05-21 04:19:36	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1c70ca…
05-20 10:10:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbd9248…
05-20 04:58:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xae8911…
05-19 09:36:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4eaed6…
05-19 09:35:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8e85c4…
05-19 09:35:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x10cfbb…
05-19 09:32:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x14b009…
05-19 09:31:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4c8f6d…
05-17 14:14:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x32149e…
05-17 14:09:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x080aac…
05-17 13:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x92d4dc…
05-15 13:45:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa19a05…
05-15 04:20:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0504d8…
05-15 03:58:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc253ca…
05-15 03:54:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc75262…
05-15 03:50:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x95ec79…
05-15 03:40:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5ce52d…
05-14 18:36:28	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x30b65e…
05-14 17:34:04	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x85811e…
05-14 17:21:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeee63a…
05-14 17:18:11	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7fd53a…
05-14 15:08:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x9a0586…
05-14 06:27:18	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xce3d93…
05-14 04:08:35	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x19c4ba…
05-14 04:08:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xed2d12…
05-14 03:48:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf67665…
05-13 12:27:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf81f6d…
05-13 12:11:58	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xb9b564…
05-13 05:32:21	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x86cde6…
05-13 05:11:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1fb5c2…
05-13 05:00:23	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e3043…
05-13 04:59:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1499d5…
05-12 12:22:15	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb9ca10…
05-12 11:36:20	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x14cc05…
05-12 04:26:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6d0d4d…
05-12 04:11:43	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb6a73b…
05-12 04:10:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a1695…
05-11 20:39:47	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfbcc50…
05-11 15:22:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x60b87b…
05-11 15:21:35	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc5bb43…
05-11 04:58:42	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0570e5…
05-11 03:59:31	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0f3277…
05-11 03:57:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0e7c06…
05-11 03:51:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x606e2c…
05-08 11:34:09	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbe2d96…
05-08 08:20:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc25ab7…
05-08 05:26:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x80e4a8…
05-07 19:43:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1ea34a…
05-07 19:42:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xc8e881…
05-07 19:40:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x168ce9…
05-07 19:36:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xda4eb4…
05-07 17:42:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x452349…
05-07 16:54:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xae33a1…
05-06 18:39:26	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd1da56…
05-06 18:38:23	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5b7123…
05-06 05:19:46	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x819f72…
05-06 05:17:18	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x00e9c2…
05-06 04:54:38	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x00671f…
05-05 12:12:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x2e5e38…
05-05 12:12:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf42f6b…
05-05 10:38:58	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6e72d0…
05-05 05:07:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f4304…
05-05 04:43:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3ec840…
05-04 19:40:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a3a69…
05-04 19:13:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x63bfc5…
05-04 13:29:08	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2ae468…
05-04 12:37:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xaf1162…
05-04 12:32:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x73fa91…
05-04 05:00:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x52e0bc…
05-04 05:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x837fc5…
05-04 04:56:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc14e7…
05-04 04:48:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbdf671…
05-04 04:47:04	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d2646…
05-03 07:27:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1fa4b7…
05-01 19:19:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2e63a3…
05-01 19:19:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x2f6b3c…
05-01 13:20:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xea5536…
05-01 13:04:50	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57ab75…
05-01 12:41:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x27f087…