Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?
open
Total volume
$2,493
$1,381 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$11,707
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 20:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.1¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $874
vs crowd: 20% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $420 | $143 | +$276 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $14 | $860 | $846 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $65 | $745 | $680 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $60 | — | +$60 |
| Median | 2 | $29 | $33 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $250 | $119 | +$131 |
| unranked | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oblong-Riser 0x4060…3ec3 | Down | +1,000 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 05-14 18:40 |
| Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471 | Down | +753 | $745 | $745 | 1 | 05-14 20:22 |
| Creamy-Pheasant 0x8c1b…63dd | Up | +345 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-13 22:25 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | +256 | $13 | $14 | 5 | 05-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1e3…e724 | Up | +111 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-13 22:04 |
| Feline-Accountant 0xdd45…a81d | Up | +111 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-14 13:49 |
| Normal-Defense 0xeda8…4567 | Down | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 20:02 |
| Velvety-Den-Sprout 0xef25…24c8 | Up | +71 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 12:22 |
| Surprised-Spectrum 0xa423…fd1d | Up | +47 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Down | +39 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Down | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-14 20:47 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Up | +30 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 19:32 |
| Short-Wrong 0xba05…4e58 | Up | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 16:24 |
| Phony-Hydroxyl 0x097a…55bf | Up | +25 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 01:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | Down | +20 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Up | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:37 |
| Handy-Dude 0xbaa2…b397 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 08:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:47:46 | Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Down | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x04b8cc… |
| 05-14 20:22:39 | Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471 | Down | BUY | 753 | 99¢ | $745 | 0x8d6ad8… |
| 05-14 20:02:39 | Normal-Defense 0xeda8…4567 | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xdb2b9e… |
| 05-14 19:43:47 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x481e35… |
| 05-14 19:42:12 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | BUY | 37 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x14c84f… |
| 05-14 19:41:58 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x3eb831… |
| 05-14 19:37:55 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | SELL | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2fe236… |
| 05-14 19:37:18 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Up | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xcb19b3… |
| 05-14 19:37:06 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | BUY | 169 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x3797f5… |
| 05-14 19:32:52 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Up | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x01ed6c… |
| 05-14 19:32:14 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x96ad2f… |
| 05-14 18:40:05 | Oblong-Riser 0x4060…3ec3 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 86¢ | $860 | 0x2e7fbf… |
| 05-14 17:01:42 | Distorted-Handmaiden 0x703d…7abe | Down | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xef1b2b… |
| 05-14 16:24:04 | Short-Wrong 0xba05…4e58 | Up | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xc72179… |
| 05-14 15:26:18 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4afe10… |
| 05-14 13:49:19 | Feline-Accountant 0xdd45…a81d | Up | BUY | 111 | 49¢ | $54 | 0x3fbe97… |
| 05-14 13:33:25 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Down | BUY | 39 | 49¢ | $19 | 0x18fe0d… |
| 05-14 12:47:39 | Extra-Large-Whirlpool 0x289c…af1a | Up | SELL | 14 | 59¢ | $8 | 0xb6925e… |
| 05-14 12:22:26 | Velvety-Den-Sprout 0xef25…24c8 | Up | BUY | 71 | 70¢ | $50 | 0x892663… |
| 05-14 10:09:15 | Surprised-Spectrum 0xa423…fd1d | Up | BUY | 47 | 62¢ | $29 | 0x85dd1b… |
| 05-14 09:44:31 | Neighboring-Eyebrows 0xedc8…3296 | Down | SELL | 511 | 41¢ | $210 | 0x1584c6… |
| 05-14 08:24:13 | Handy-Dude 0xbaa2…b397 | Up | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x6c5dd1… |
| 05-14 03:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x102b4c… |
| 05-14 02:00:29 | Neighboring-Eyebrows 0xedc8…3296 | Down | SELL | 129 | 48¢ | $62 | 0xfbd22d… |
| 05-14 02:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | Up | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xcadb7c… |
| 05-14 02:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xb4af38… |
| 05-14 01:53:06 | Phony-Hydroxyl 0x097a…55bf | Up | BUY | 25 | 52¢ | $13 | 0x964fe7… |
| 05-13 22:25:36 | Creamy-Pheasant 0x8c1b…63dd | Up | BUY | 345 | 58¢ | $200 | 0x2572fb… |
| 05-13 22:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xe1e3…e724 | Up | BUY | 111 | 54¢ | $60 | 0xf512c6… |