Phony-Hydroxyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$109

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$194

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-25 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

98% 29% -$1,249

Sports

1% 0% -$18

Politics

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	+991	$117	10¢	$99	-$18	09-17 21:22
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+5,554	$120	1¢	$75	-$45	10-23 15:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+320	$32	4¢	$13	-$19	06-26 03:02
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	+36	$10	12¢	$4	-$6	05-13 20:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	+58	$23	4¢	$3	-$20	05-16 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	4	$879	10,572	0	+10,572	Yes	-$879	09-13 00:40
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	4	$384	6,415	6,415	+0	Yes	-$131	09-17 21:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$288	4,792	0	+4,792	Yes	-$288	09-09 21:34
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	1	$120	5,554	0	+5,554	open	—	10-23 15:43
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	1	$117	991	0	+991	open	—	09-17 21:22
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	3	$61	177	177	+0	open	—	06-12 21:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$32	320	0	+320	open	—	06-26 03:02
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$23	58	0	+58	open	—	05-16 04:45
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	1	$20	79	0	+79	Yes	+$59	05-16 04:31
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18	214	0	+214	No	-$18	06-12 21:16
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$13	25	0	+25	Down	-$13	05-14 01:53
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	1	$12	138	0	+138	open	—	10-25 14:04
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?	1	$10	121	0	+121	open	—	10-24 04:36
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	1	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	06-12 21:14
Natural Disaster in 2026?	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	05-13 20:57
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	05-15 03:33
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	1	$7	322	0	+322	open	—	10-24 04:22
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$7	113	0	+113	No	-$7	05-13 20:50
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$6	17	17	+0	No	-$6	06-12 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:04:20	Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	BUY	138	9¢	$12	0x369e7e…
10-24 04:36:41	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x9b6d2f…
10-24 04:22:18	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	322	2¢	$7	0xb9e7f4…
10-23 15:43:41	France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,554	2¢	$120	0x31fbb0…
09-17 21:22:48	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	991	12¢	$117	0x271986…
09-17 21:16:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	6,415	2¢	$126	0x9aef1d…
09-13 00:42:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	2,689	3¢	$87	0x2bf7b3…
09-13 00:40:49	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	3,230	9¢	$300	0x89238b…
09-11 23:43:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	3,344	9¢	$299	0xbaabff…
09-09 21:34:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	No	BUY	4,792	6¢	$288	0x4a7236…
09-07 13:55:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	2,011	7¢	$141	0x432667…
09-07 13:05:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	2,326	4¢	$100	0x162232…
08-25 15:43:42	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	1,988	7¢	$139	0x28b946…
08-10 16:56:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1,400	5¢	$70	0x4cb9d0…
06-26 03:02:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	320	10¢	$32	0xe09ce5…
06-12 21:16:42	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	214	8¢	$18	0xc2a790…
06-12 21:14:09	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xada324…
06-12 21:09:07	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	SELL	177	16¢	$29	0x8519b6…
06-12 21:00:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xe2d411…
05-16 04:50:10	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xa590fe…
05-16 04:45:20	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	40¢	$23	0x345947…
05-16 04:31:11	CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x83a2cb…
05-15 04:06:24	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x08cc64…
05-15 03:33:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa05b52…
05-14 01:53:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x964fe7…
05-13 20:57:12	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa170ec…
05-13 20:50:44	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0x0f3ce8…
05-13 19:00:15	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x850a78…