Recent-Caddy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$667

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 51% +$15

Other

30% 83% +$18

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$67	48	41	+7	Up	+$1	05-13 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$55	3,058	0	+3,058	open	—	05-16 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$37	51	14	+37	open	—	05-16 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$30	42	42	+0	Down	$-6	05-12 15:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$13	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-13 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$13	26	0	+26	Up	$-0	05-13 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$13	23	0	+23	Up	+$2	05-13 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$13	18	0	+18	Up	$-3	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-15 13:53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 17:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 17:57
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$9	12	9	+3	Down	$-3	05-13 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$9	28	0	+28	Down	+$6	05-13 08:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-13 09:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$9	22	0	+22	Up	+$13	05-12 11:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 13:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 13?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-13 09:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	05-13 10:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 17:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 13:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-10 10:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 14?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$7	6	4	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 10:26
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:59:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x042f97…
05-16 17:58:45	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x638366…
05-16 17:58:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x79b239…
05-16 17:58:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x3ad872…
05-16 17:57:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb93056…
05-16 17:57:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5012cf…
05-16 17:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8b26b3…
05-16 17:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8b7e2c…
05-16 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0x727fa7…
05-16 16:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x8b8653…
05-16 16:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbb2467…
05-16 16:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf852a7…
05-16 16:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x1cba2e…
05-16 16:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x636ab7…
05-16 16:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe412c6…
05-16 16:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf90c30…
05-16 16:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xbea708…
05-16 16:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x38c558…
05-16 16:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb972ff…
05-16 16:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5ba153…
05-16 16:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcfc96f…
05-16 16:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdf4ce4…
05-16 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2d847c…
05-16 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4c9f39…
05-15 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc6a932…
05-15 19:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0da322…
05-15 18:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f35b3…
05-15 18:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb209ef…
05-15 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd12d3b…
05-15 18:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5958ce…
05-15 18:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5c9573…
05-15 18:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd061fb…
05-15 18:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x82f7b0…
05-15 18:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x761e2c…
05-15 18:10:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x545789…
05-15 18:07:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x575fc5…
05-15 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x423c97…
05-15 14:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x84c650…
05-15 13:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5befcd…
05-15 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa5a59c…
05-15 13:23:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x685dc6…
05-15 13:20:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xd949d8…
05-15 13:20:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7a7233…
05-15 13:20:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc667c8…
05-15 13:20:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe69be9…
05-15 13:18:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x516b85…
05-14 13:37:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe27a11…
05-14 13:24:38	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x834ab6…
05-14 13:22:08	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54d31a…
05-14 13:21:33	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7119c9…
05-14 13:19:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x18673d…
05-14 13:17:03	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x61eea2…
05-14 13:16:37	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x873ddc…
05-14 13:14:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb18679…
05-14 13:13:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb08327…
05-14 13:12:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x886add…
05-14 13:12:04	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfbfac9…
05-14 10:22:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa25260…
05-14 10:22:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x980f37…
05-14 10:16:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x094fa4…
05-14 10:15:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7be4c7…
05-13 13:50:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaba9f1…
05-13 10:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x04cacc…
05-13 10:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x8de28e…
05-13 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6a7b0c…
05-13 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x501f27…
05-13 10:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x91b052…
05-13 10:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3a6878…
05-13 10:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xaa92aa…
05-13 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb37e6d…
05-13 10:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x628aa1…
05-13 10:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeab4cc…
05-13 10:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x559ae4…
05-13 10:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x52cc90…
05-13 10:04:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x8afc67…
05-13 09:59:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x419f72…
05-13 09:59:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd6c526…
05-13 09:59:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xabb58e…
05-13 09:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x21acf4…
05-13 09:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa33589…
05-13 09:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x67c3d2…
05-13 09:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xabf15d…
05-13 09:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x370f24…
05-13 09:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb9fb81…
05-13 09:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6af618…
05-13 09:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x610d0a…
05-13 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x59ac8a…
05-13 09:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb173fa…
05-13 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xda60aa…
05-13 09:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdce787…
05-13 09:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xeba294…
05-13 08:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xba3e37…
05-13 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaf0d8f…
05-13 08:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xebcf20…
05-13 08:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x05b854…
05-13 08:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xed6260…
05-13 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb1675c…
05-13 08:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	41	82¢	$34	0x679e6f…
05-13 08:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xddc8e9…
05-13 08:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x083991…