Wary-Adobe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-27 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 75% +$13

Other

17% 25% -$2

Sports

1% 50% +$16

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$4	05-02 01:46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	Yes	+$10	05-01 01:52
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	+$1	05-05 12:14
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	No	-$1	05-04 01:59
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	05-03 01:33
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 01:48
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	08-27 15:07
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$12	16	0	+16	Cavaliers	+$4	04-30 01:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-27 15:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$10	224	224	+0	No	+$0	05-05 12:19
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$9	20	0	+20	Raptors	+$11	05-02 02:11
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$9	21	0	+21	76ers	-$9	05-01 01:29
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$6	16	0	+16	Rockets	+$10	04-30 02:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$3	225	225	+0	No	$0	05-02 01:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	257	257	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 01:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2	252	252	+0	No	$0	05-01 01:52
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	1	$1	18	0	+18	Yunchaokete Bu	-$1	04-29 13:13
Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	3	$1	241	241	+0	No	$0	05-04 01:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$0	249	0	+249	No	$0	04-29 13:18
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$0	17	0	+17	76ers	$0	05-03 01:58
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$0	16	0	+16	Cavaliers	$0	05-04 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 15:23:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf831ff…
08-27 15:07:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe73719…
05-15 15:33:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc94c9a…
05-05 12:19:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$4	0x1b41c0…
05-05 12:16:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xbcc33e…
05-05 12:16:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x6f24b7…
05-05 12:14:02	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	508	100¢	$507	0x5deda2…
05-04 02:14:10	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	508	100¢	$506	0x051036…
05-04 02:12:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$5	0x07b0f5…
05-04 02:01:24	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x6b6e47…
05-04 01:59:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	507	100¢	$504	0xd233bb…
05-04 01:54:44	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	241	0¢	$0	0xa033b1…
05-03 13:24:36	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x97e2cb…
05-03 02:21:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$505	0x5cfebb…
05-03 02:17:14	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$0	0xceadae…
05-03 01:58:04	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x8fcf1d…
05-03 01:35:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	257	0¢	$1	0x91e8da…
05-03 01:33:42	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	496	98¢	$488	0x68654b…
05-03 01:29:02	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xa115e0…
05-02 02:37:08	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$503	0x3f2310…
05-02 02:26:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0x2b467d…
05-02 02:11:58	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x452df5…
05-02 01:49:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$2	0x301435…
05-02 01:46:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	523	100¢	$522	0xc12f8b…
05-01 02:05:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	523	99¢	$519	0x0fc017…
05-01 01:52:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$1	0xe290e2…
05-01 01:52:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	513	100¢	$512	0x30ee17…
05-01 01:46:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x658302…
05-01 01:29:00	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x28a97d…
05-01 01:27:34	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x56c690…
04-30 06:58:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	513	98¢	$503	0x2f9585…
04-30 02:35:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x4243c6…
04-30 02:27:46	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x9b614a…
04-30 01:51:42	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xe09fb7…
04-30 01:48:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0x1e94db…
04-29 13:22:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0xbac0fe…
04-29 13:18:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	0¢	$0	0xf94d2d…
04-29 13:13:44	Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xedd70b…