Slight-Midnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$8.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-05 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-18

Politics

27% — —

Sports

17% — —

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	13	$654	633	633	+0	open	—	07-03 08:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	33	$646	711	711	+0	open	—	07-03 05:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$566	972	972	+0	open	—	07-01 07:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	8	$554	456	456	+0	open	—	07-01 23:58
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	9	$504	631	631	+0	open	—	07-04 06:48
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$499	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 23:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	6	$459	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 07:44
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-04 07:43
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	5	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 02:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 02:18
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	14	$304	300	261	+39	open	—	04-27 06:33
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	4	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 06:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 00:33
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	10	$185	244	244	+0	Michael	$-13	04-28 13:02
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	12	$167	199	199	+0	open	—	04-26 17:42
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$165	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 07:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	4	$161	227	227	+0	open	—	07-02 00:02
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$160	500	500	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-10 03:00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 12:15
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	5	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 02:02
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$94	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 01:31
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	1	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	07-05 01:27
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$87	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 08:26
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	8	$82	95	95	+0	open	—	06-27 07:53
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	2	$76	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 01:29
will joey chestnut eat 72 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035701	3	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	07-04 04:44
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	02-12 16:54
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$68	282	0	+282	open	—	02-15 00:14
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	11	$66	200	150	+50	open	—	04-27 05:00
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	02-12 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 02:18:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	120	76¢	$91	0xe80707…
07-05 02:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x1949b8…
07-05 02:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x0da0dc…
07-05 01:27:23	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x463e7a…
07-04 07:43:44	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xe6edeb…
07-04 07:06:01	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xdb6390…
07-04 07:06:01	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xdb6390…
07-04 06:58:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	186	49¢	$91	0xbaeeb9…
07-04 06:48:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x3ab65f…
07-04 06:28:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x2ebeeb…
07-04 05:33:56	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x588733…
07-04 04:44:07	will joey chestnut eat 72 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035701	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x03ac39…
07-04 02:36:26	will joey chestnut eat 72 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035701	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x7a78be…
07-04 02:36:13	will joey chestnut eat 72 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035701	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x1a1a11…
07-04 01:17:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xf0ae83…
07-04 01:17:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x5b63eb…
07-04 01:17:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1b2a1e…
07-04 00:33:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x144109…
07-04 00:19:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xb66ab5…
07-03 08:30:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x973db2…
07-03 06:30:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$8	0x77f57f…
07-03 05:33:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xfce746…
07-03 05:33:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x30abe7…
07-03 05:33:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x08153c…
07-03 05:33:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xa56a90…
07-03 05:33:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x08f727…
07-03 05:33:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xaf7c6c…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xf5decb…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xccf25a…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc7fec1…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x9b2242…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x834639…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x4dfdd0…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x3fa407…
07-03 05:33:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x3d5e18…
07-03 05:33:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x7351f2…
07-03 05:33:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x06e857…
07-03 05:31:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	59	73¢	$43	0x3531ae…
07-03 05:31:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x38e972…
07-03 05:11:13	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x6f8683…
07-03 05:11:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x769d68…
07-03 05:11:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	93	21¢	$20	0x769d68…
07-03 04:53:46	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	107	21¢	$22	0xde71b2…
07-03 04:53:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xbdac05…
07-03 02:58:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x63482e…
07-03 02:58:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x85a240…
07-03 02:56:47	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	Yes	SELL	51	13¢	$7	0xdee0b3…
07-03 02:56:43	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	Yes	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0x7afb21…
07-03 02:50:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	71	23¢	$16	0xfb520f…
07-03 02:50:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x4dc86a…
07-03 02:50:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x4653a0…
07-03 02:49:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	42	23¢	$10	0xddf3b0…
07-03 02:44:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x7e362e…
07-03 02:29:35	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x6b1050…
07-03 02:28:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x1b9e50…
07-03 02:19:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	111	75¢	$83	0x4188e9…
07-03 02:19:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	111	75¢	$83	0xa4e099…
07-03 01:26:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x11462f…
07-03 01:26:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xf56e3a…
07-03 01:25:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	95	24¢	$23	0xd335ec…
07-03 01:25:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xd04c6c…
07-03 01:25:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	119	24¢	$29	0xccf892…
07-03 01:25:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xc23e9d…
07-03 01:25:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x7bb8a4…
07-03 01:25:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x6dae82…
07-03 01:20:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	201	55¢	$111	0x156b40…
07-03 01:20:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x0be9e4…
07-03 00:38:53	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xc70087…
07-03 00:37:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x00f810…
07-03 00:37:44	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x69bc3d…
07-03 00:37:11	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdd5769…
07-03 00:36:59	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x83cdc1…
07-03 00:22:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x35234b…
07-03 00:21:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe705c0…
07-03 00:19:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xa62c17…
07-02 23:28:04	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0xdbd694…
07-02 07:57:38	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0xb08973…
07-02 07:23:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	163	58¢	$95	0x2bb91c…
07-02 01:29:46	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x675842…
07-02 01:29:43	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xc744e8…
07-02 00:26:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x7be083…
07-02 00:02:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	201	35¢	$70	0x9cefe1…
07-01 23:58:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xf92805…
07-01 23:58:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x85bf03…
07-01 23:57:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0x9bcc8c…
07-01 23:20:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xa85535…
07-01 23:14:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0x838d4d…
07-01 23:05:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xc6969f…
07-01 07:47:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	195	87¢	$170	0x6ef962…
07-01 07:46:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xaea70b…
07-01 07:46:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5654e8…
07-01 07:44:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	SELL	200	88¢	$177	0x4bb079…
07-01 07:40:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xa9f41e…
07-01 07:16:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x13faee…
07-01 07:16:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x7e0d04…
07-01 06:54:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x2260ef…
07-01 04:55:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x95872f…
07-01 03:02:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x77ffce…
07-01 02:42:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x1f3be4…
07-01 02:42:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x605691…