Slight-Midnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

505

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-26 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

39% — —

Other

37% 0% $-18

Sports

14% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	44	$1.3K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	07-07 01:05
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	22	$907	1,031	1,031	+0	open	—	07-14 00:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	13	$757	800	800	+0	open	—	07-21 05:45
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	8	$711	600	600	+0	open	—	07-19 04:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	6	$711	600	600	+0	open	—	07-26 08:26
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	13	$654	633	633	+0	open	—	07-03 08:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$566	972	972	+0	open	—	07-01 07:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	8	$554	456	456	+0	open	—	07-01 23:58
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$499	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 23:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	6	$499	450	450	+0	open	—	07-25 07:37
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	8	$487	800	604	+196	open	—	07-21 08:46
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	6	$459	600	600	+0	open	—	07-01 07:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	4	$428	400	400	+0	open	—	07-26 01:35
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-04 07:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	6	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-23 06:30
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	5	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 02:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	4	$396	400	400	+0	open	—	07-24 04:02
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 01:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$330	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 03:46
over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	2	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 05:47
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	2	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 06:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 02:18
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	6	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 14:05
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	14	$304	300	261	+39	open	—	04-27 06:33
israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	3	$293	200	230	-30	open	—	07-24 00:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$274	200	200	+0	open	—	07-09 03:09
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 07:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$210	350	350	+0	open	—	07-26 03:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	5	$209	200	200	+0	open	—	07-25 07:36
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	4	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 08:26:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x0383d3…
07-26 03:30:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x12d352…
07-26 03:10:01	will there be 20260723192532702	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x51c71d…
07-26 02:48:39	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x00da89…
07-26 01:35:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x1bd4b7…
07-26 01:26:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x66a205…
07-26 00:39:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc179b1…
07-26 00:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x405449…
07-25 07:37:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x0f5574…
07-25 07:36:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	167	51¢	$85	0x953414…
07-25 07:36:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x257c54…
07-25 07:36:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x6726d1…
07-25 07:19:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3cc38a…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x6128c8…
07-25 05:57:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xf44667…
07-25 05:24:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	39	24¢	$9	0x8e1e42…
07-25 05:10:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x3afe1c…
07-25 05:07:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x20da39…
07-25 05:07:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x1b6546…
07-25 05:00:31	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x508cea…
07-25 05:00:22	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xfc2fdf…
07-25 04:50:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x7d289f…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…
07-25 03:38:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3d1147…
07-25 03:37:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xee523e…
07-25 03:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x827888…
07-25 03:11:16	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x6e0597…
07-25 03:07:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xad5f70…
07-25 02:10:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x3acc93…
07-25 01:38:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x86b3b8…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x54bab6…
07-24 04:42:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x5a9559…
07-24 04:02:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xe90d14…
07-24 03:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x0cc40f…
07-24 02:15:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xe4968d…
07-24 02:15:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xe4968d…
07-24 02:00:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x27fa46…
07-24 01:03:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xba5631…
07-24 01:03:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	176	31¢	$55	0xa7c075…
07-24 00:24:21	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x1d47a3…
07-23 06:47:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x39862b…
07-23 06:30:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x09c262…
07-23 06:27:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x16727c…
07-23 06:25:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x9ca5bd…
07-23 04:35:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	162	75¢	$121	0xe47c69…
07-23 04:21:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xe94ac9…
07-23 04:13:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	26	75¢	$19	0xe804eb…
07-23 04:11:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x00007d…
07-23 03:34:55	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x5c33df…
07-23 03:30:54	copper cable hit with secpt 232 tariffs by december 31 2027 20260721191705882	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70f100…
07-23 00:08:27	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x6b78f8…
07-22 21:40:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x641aa7…
07-22 20:35:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x89a10c…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5ecfc8…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 05:36:30	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x1c69e4…
07-22 04:09:30	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4f5c12…
07-22 00:25:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x6aa160…
07-21 21:03:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x56f8ed…
07-21 08:46:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x3baa46…
07-21 06:47:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd22dfc…
07-21 05:45:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x9eb118…
07-21 05:29:37	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xe3ee8c…
07-21 05:29:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3ac574…
07-21 05:01:27	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc4f753…
07-21 04:08:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xca1654…
07-21 04:06:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xb430c4…
07-21 03:48:49	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x58004c…
07-21 03:48:42	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe1b58a…
07-21 03:48:39	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x29e4f7…
07-20 09:57:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	57¢	$115	0xb4422c…
07-20 09:57:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x28590e…
07-20 09:57:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xde644c…
07-20 09:56:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x569dca…
07-20 07:48:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x9ec695…
07-20 07:34:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbcd6f5…
07-20 07:30:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x0dcc76…
07-20 05:37:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x52eea4…
07-20 05:37:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd1c6da…
07-20 01:14:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xd24322…
07-19 14:55:54	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x27ad8f…
07-19 08:01:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	65	58¢	$38	0x715f9b…
07-19 07:13:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x370fba…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x95f494…
07-19 06:29:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x597c4b…
07-19 05:59:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	70	60¢	$42	0x89cea4…
07-19 05:59:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0x2d5f0a…
07-19 05:59:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x75c998…
07-19 05:59:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	135	60¢	$81	0x9cfa65…
07-19 04:37:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xe190d4…
07-19 04:37:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x0a29a2…
07-19 03:24:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	60	81¢	$48	0x43b43a…
07-19 03:11:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x50cd7b…
07-19 03:11:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x8ca9bb…
07-19 02:53:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	140	82¢	$115	0x8189e7…
07-19 02:53:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	70	82¢	$58	0x8ec760…
07-19 02:53:03	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	130	82¢	$106	0xdf9cab…
07-18 09:24:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x0bd5af…