Slight-Midnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$702

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

22.0%

Resolved

206

Trades

971

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-27 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Politics

38% 6% -$253

Other

33% 7% -$367

Sports

21% 16% -$49

Tech

7% 25% -$31

Crypto

1% 67% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+12	$12	97¢	$12	+$0	09-27 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$1.4K	1,466	1,466	+0	No	-$1	07-16 07:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	44	$1.3K	1,311	1,311	+0	Yes	+$3	07-07 01:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	18	$1.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$11	07-31 04:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	24	$967	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	-$1	07-29 07:27
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	22	$907	1,031	1,031	+0	No	-$29	07-14 00:28
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	9	$902	800	800	+0	Yes	-$41	07-30 00:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	16	$845	758	758	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 06:38
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 23:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	11	$835	850	850	+0	Yes	-$4	07-31 05:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	8	$812	800	800	+0	Yes	-$12	07-28 04:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	13	$757	800	800	+0	open	—	07-21 05:45
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	8	$711	600	600	+0	No	-$1	07-19 04:37
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$700	600	600	+0	No	+$0	07-07 05:10
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	13	$654	633	633	+0	No	-$16	07-03 08:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	6	$652	600	600	+0	Yes	-$12	07-21 05:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$618	400	400	+0	open	—	07-30 01:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	11	$616	728	628	+100	No	-$8	07-23 05:52
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	7	$594	450	450	+0	Yes	-$10	07-18 03:42
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	8	$573	400	400	+0	No	-$3	07-01 07:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$566	972	972	+0	No	-$15	07-01 07:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	8	$554	456	456	+0	No	-$8	07-01 23:58
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	10	$518	800	800	+0	No	-$14	07-21 10:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$512	400	400	+0	open	—	07-18 04:33
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	6	$499	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 23:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	6	$459	600	600	+0	No	+$3	07-01 07:44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$405	400	400	+0	No	+$3	07-03 01:05
us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	07-04 07:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	6	$400	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 06:30
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	5	$396	400	400	+0	No	-$4	07-01 02:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	4	$396	400	400	+0	Yes	-$4	07-24 04:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 01:15:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf25652…
07-31 07:55:09	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x614498…
07-31 05:36:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xa9621f…
07-31 04:36:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x7240ea…
07-31 04:36:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x713216…
07-31 04:36:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x30e44f…
07-31 03:22:06	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x705ca5…
07-30 06:40:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	197	48¢	$94	0x46c7eb…
07-30 06:20:45	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x04dd08…
07-30 06:15:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x684df6…
07-30 05:50:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x18cf91…
07-30 05:29:09	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x552225…
07-30 05:19:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xef214d…
07-30 05:13:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xcb1ede…
07-30 02:24:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x1ff3de…
07-30 01:46:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	189	72¢	$136	0x3d2185…
07-30 01:42:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xb16e2d…
07-30 01:38:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xb2a1ca…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xeeae64…
07-30 00:18:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x8128c6…
07-29 07:27:50	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xc1dab0…
07-29 07:27:44	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xaaea02…
07-29 07:08:17	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x8b7fa8…
07-29 07:08:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	BUY	198	54¢	$107	0x9e5e62…
07-29 06:49:59	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	SELL	169	55¢	$93	0xe39c12…
07-29 06:49:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0xa9648e…
07-29 06:49:47	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xbf8fb2…
07-29 06:49:44	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x3b4433…
07-29 06:41:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	SELL	180	58¢	$105	0xe951e3…
07-29 06:41:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	BUY	180	58¢	$105	0x55713d…
07-29 06:38:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x056a9f…
07-29 06:35:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x2ca911…
07-29 06:35:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf0eda3…
07-29 06:35:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	144	89¢	$128	0xf0eda3…
07-29 06:32:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xc62d16…
07-29 06:24:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x42f4d1…
07-29 06:16:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xb53ab6…
07-29 06:16:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x4f8119…
07-29 06:16:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x35f550…
07-29 06:16:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x96e57f…
07-29 06:16:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x54d1d3…
07-29 06:16:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	157	89¢	$140	0x0de404…
07-29 06:15:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x3a1488…
07-29 06:15:02	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0x3b6e58…
07-29 06:15:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xdb8539…
07-29 06:15:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x98ab2b…
07-29 06:15:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$8	0x8dc60c…
07-29 06:15:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x58ef01…
07-29 06:14:59	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xbcae60…
07-29 06:14:59	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x573b43…
07-29 06:14:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x0e9e20…
07-28 06:40:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x69dfae…
07-28 06:40:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xc0484a…
07-28 06:40:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	187	24¢	$45	0x483eb0…
07-28 06:32:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x1423e3…
07-28 06:23:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x32485b…
07-28 05:48:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0f4ddb…
07-28 05:20:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x1e7270…
07-28 05:20:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfc1d49…
07-28 05:20:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x1a0749…
07-28 04:48:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x56f8c9…
07-28 04:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x7de7cd…
07-28 04:04:22	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xe1273b…
07-28 02:29:36	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8d4e7d…
07-28 00:51:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x51f6f8…
07-28 00:51:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xfab34b…
07-28 00:02:10	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x036e1d…
07-28 00:02:06	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x21ae49…
07-27 10:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xef5a75…
07-27 08:27:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xed4abb…
07-27 08:26:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa59292…
07-27 08:08:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xa4a864…
07-27 07:45:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xb250da…
07-27 07:44:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xb7d75b…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 06:58:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc688b3…
07-27 05:32:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x2223c8…
07-27 05:13:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x708bd0…
07-27 04:38:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x39e366…
07-26 08:26:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x0383d3…
07-26 03:30:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x12d352…
07-26 03:10:01	will there be 20260723192532702	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x51c71d…
07-26 02:48:39	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x00da89…
07-26 01:35:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x1bd4b7…
07-26 01:26:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x66a205…
07-26 01:10:12	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x46d440…
07-26 01:10:09	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x66bbbc…
07-26 00:39:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc179b1…
07-26 00:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x405449…
07-25 07:37:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x0f5574…
07-25 07:36:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	167	51¢	$85	0x953414…
07-25 07:36:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x257c54…
07-25 07:36:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x6726d1…
07-25 07:19:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3cc38a…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x6128c8…
07-25 05:57:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xf44667…
07-25 05:36:09	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x5ce414…