Fearful-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (7d)

124

Trades (7d)

849

10,440 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.28K

$32.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-29 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$690

Other

1% 27% -$11

Sports

0% 35% -$2

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:35 UTC	97	$192	126	83	+43	Up	+$11	04-16 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:15 UTC	68	$177	117	114	+3	Down	+$18	04-16 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:55 UTC	75	$169	99	89	+10	Up	+$5	04-16 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:10 UTC	81	$166	139	70	+69	Up	-$20	04-16 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	29	$164	109	81	+28	Up	+$3	04-16 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:05 UTC	50	$158	105	100	+4	Down	+$21	04-16 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:50 UTC	74	$156	88	77	+11	Up	+$5	04-16 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:35 UTC	62	$151	94	93	+1	Down	+$3	04-16 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:00 UTC	69	$133	78	60	+18	Down	+$3	04-16 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:45 UTC	43	$128	87	85	+3	Down	+$25	04-16 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:50 UTC	45	$123	88	85	+3	Down	+$20	04-16 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 19:00 UTC	15	$120	115	115	+0	Up	+$4	04-07 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	66	$119	102	54	+48	Down	+$15	04-17 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:25 UTC	42	$116	94	53	+41	Down	+$18	04-16 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:25 UTC	55	$114	68	63	+5	Up	+$11	04-16 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:55 UTC	43	$114	68	63	+5	Down	+$11	04-17 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:00 UTC	40	$113	67	64	+4	Up	+$11	04-17 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:40 UTC	45	$113	68	67	+1	Down	+$12	04-16 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:00 UTC	55	$112	84	69	+15	Down	+$19	04-16 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	50	$110	62	60	+2	Up	+$11	04-17 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:55 UTC	48	$109	75	61	+14	Down	+$11	04-16 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:45 UTC	58	$107	88	60	+29	Down	+$22	04-16 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	52	$107	64	63	+1	Down	+$7	04-17 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	35	$106	60	58	+2	Down	+$6	04-17 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	36	$105	67	56	+11	Up	+$4	04-17 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:10 UTC	43	$105	93	57	+37	Up	-$1	04-17 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:00 UTC	36	$104	63	53	+10	Down	+$2	04-16 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:55 UTC	47	$103	71	52	+19	Up	-$3	04-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC	33	$101	78	53	+24	Down	+$14	04-16 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:20 UTC	40	$101	78	51	+27	Up	+$0	04-17 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf84bce…
10-29 22:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3f6ebd…
10-29 22:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8c4fd1…
10-29 22:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x5f949d…
10-29 22:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x92c202…
10-29 22:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x0c56c3…
10-29 22:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x1a3d64…
10-29 22:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x8ef3cc…
10-29 22:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x4fc53b…
10-29 22:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x332b49…
10-29 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe79c1e…
10-29 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd41e07…
10-29 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xc80f50…
10-29 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x20f810…
10-29 22:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1a90e7…
10-29 22:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd6b03c…
10-29 22:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x3f78ed…
10-29 22:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x8f2aed…
10-29 22:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x56c5a7…
10-29 22:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc17439…
10-29 22:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x6b5473…
10-29 22:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa33e98…
10-29 22:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xb55a7e…
10-29 22:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x3736dd…
10-29 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9f7aef…
10-29 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x68d2fb…
10-29 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe0f13c…
10-29 22:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf4591b…
10-29 22:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3e55e9…
10-29 22:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xbf090a…
10-29 22:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0a647c…
10-29 22:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x02116c…
10-29 22:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x0d0ef9…
10-29 22:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xff1333…
10-29 22:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4441ea…
10-29 22:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x748201…
10-29 22:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd887c6…
10-29 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x194bcd…
10-29 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6a805a…
10-29 22:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa326c4…
10-29 22:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x628528…
10-29 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x0c37fc…
10-29 22:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x14fb6d…
10-29 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7da16b…
10-29 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x658781…
10-29 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb4fbd6…
10-29 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x5b58b4…
10-29 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2b7272…
10-29 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc0af7c…
10-29 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xb6320c…
10-29 22:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf1429d…
10-29 22:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdbbaca…
10-29 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe77799…
10-29 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x01e3dc…
10-29 22:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf766eb…
10-29 21:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xde764b…
10-29 21:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3e43c3…
10-29 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4bb0c2…
10-29 21:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5fc9b1…
10-29 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x59dcca…
10-29 21:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa9bac1…
10-29 21:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc9e387…
10-29 21:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xded2d5…
10-29 21:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc25e32…
10-29 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdc84a2…
10-29 21:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8a606e…
10-29 21:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x964217…
10-29 21:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9cc1f6…
10-29 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0xf4e9b3…
10-29 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x4026b3…
10-29 21:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x04b98f…
10-29 21:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xedf869…
10-29 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x68720f…
10-29 21:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xf7a829…
10-29 21:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a3840…
10-29 21:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6864f2…
10-29 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe816b9…
10-29 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x269b68…
10-29 21:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3071aa…
10-29 21:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xce56f8…
10-29 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x19b64d…
10-29 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xd8c01b…
10-29 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x540610…
10-29 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x14eead…
10-29 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x12695a…
10-29 21:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfacf4f…
10-29 21:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe2c939…
10-29 21:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xac94dd…
10-29 21:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf27274…
10-29 21:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xcc83d7…
10-29 21:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xdc912a…
10-29 21:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa7a4df…
10-29 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3c55d8…
10-29 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe744c1…
10-29 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x7655b3…
10-29 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe93711…
10-29 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x8332e0…
10-29 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc0c101…
10-29 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x9bddec…
10-29 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3004d9…