Fearful-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$689

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

2,100

Trades

10,296

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-29 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$677

Other

1% 27% -$11

Sports

0% 35% -$2

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:35 UTC	97	$192	126	83	+43	Up	+$11	04-16 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:15 UTC	68	$177	117	114	+3	Down	+$18	04-16 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:55 UTC	75	$169	99	89	+10	Up	+$5	04-16 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:10 UTC	81	$166	139	70	+69	Up	-$20	04-16 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	29	$164	109	81	+28	Up	+$3	04-16 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:05 UTC	50	$158	105	100	+4	Down	+$21	04-16 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:50 UTC	74	$156	88	77	+11	Up	+$5	04-16 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:35 UTC	62	$151	94	93	+1	Down	+$3	04-16 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:00 UTC	69	$133	78	60	+18	Down	+$3	04-16 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:45 UTC	43	$128	87	85	+3	Down	+$25	04-16 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:50 UTC	45	$123	88	85	+3	Down	+$20	04-16 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 19:00 UTC	15	$120	115	115	+0	Up	+$4	04-07 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	66	$119	102	54	+48	Down	+$15	04-17 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:25 UTC	42	$116	94	53	+41	Down	+$18	04-16 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:25 UTC	55	$114	68	63	+5	Up	+$11	04-16 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:55 UTC	43	$114	68	63	+5	Down	+$11	04-17 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:00 UTC	40	$113	67	64	+4	Up	+$11	04-17 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:40 UTC	45	$113	68	67	+1	Down	+$12	04-16 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:00 UTC	55	$112	84	69	+15	Down	+$19	04-16 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	50	$110	62	60	+2	Up	+$11	04-17 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:55 UTC	48	$109	75	61	+14	Down	+$11	04-16 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:45 UTC	58	$107	88	60	+29	Down	+$22	04-16 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	52	$107	64	63	+1	Down	+$7	04-17 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	35	$106	60	58	+2	Down	+$6	04-17 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	36	$105	67	56	+11	Up	+$4	04-17 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:10 UTC	43	$105	93	57	+37	Up	-$1	04-17 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:00 UTC	36	$104	63	53	+10	Down	+$2	04-16 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:55 UTC	47	$103	71	52	+19	Up	-$3	04-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC	33	$101	78	53	+24	Down	+$14	04-16 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:20 UTC	40	$101	78	51	+27	Up	+$0	04-17 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x54d6bb…
10-29 15:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8c1b77…
10-29 15:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x86e1ca…
10-29 15:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x88bb3f…
10-29 15:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x80775f…
10-29 15:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x290fae…
10-29 15:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8196f4…
10-29 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe401ae…
10-29 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb64a42…
10-29 15:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xfe61f1…
10-29 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x570d16…
10-29 15:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x384529…
10-29 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfe2a09…
10-29 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xf78d41…
10-29 15:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0cfb68…
10-29 15:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x56175b…
10-29 15:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb6bd43…
10-29 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x0dd3f4…
10-29 15:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd2d01a…
10-29 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb1f7c2…
10-29 15:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x92ec8a…
10-29 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x9c6738…
10-29 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x6964b8…
10-29 15:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa9630a…
10-29 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd4a64f…
10-29 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x483c9b…
10-29 14:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xfa744f…
10-29 14:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xcdabe4…
10-29 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7d69d5…
10-29 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x662420…
10-29 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6c9348…
10-29 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb8a9c1…
10-29 14:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa00cf9…
10-29 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x516a49…
10-29 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x648c5a…
10-29 14:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x93b9de…
10-29 14:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc9ee36…
10-29 14:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x9cebeb…
10-29 14:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x28c83e…
10-29 14:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x10da00…
10-29 14:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb093ca…
10-29 14:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x318f53…
10-29 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6094ad…
10-29 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc21b9d…
10-29 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5a24c2…
10-29 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbe19d3…
10-29 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x53f421…
10-29 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xcdff5a…
10-29 14:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xaa2991…
10-29 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x8dd6bd…
10-29 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9b29a8…
10-29 14:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd3b137…
10-29 14:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb1b3e2…
10-29 14:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb4dc86…
10-29 14:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbd6bc8…
10-29 14:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd6415…
10-29 14:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd4bf43…
10-29 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x12100c…
10-29 14:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe720b8…
10-29 14:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xdf58d2…
10-29 14:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xb153f4…
10-29 14:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x65fe05…
10-29 10:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x22471b…
10-29 10:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf2e06e…
10-29 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x967b68…
10-29 10:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe7f118…
10-29 10:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x5d3855…
10-29 10:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x2efe5d…
10-29 10:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x83415e…
10-29 10:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x91385d…
10-29 10:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x72cba9…
10-29 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe0b2e9…
10-29 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xbe9d59…
10-29 10:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x5e7ca2…
10-29 10:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x86ed12…
10-29 10:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfdec6f…
10-29 10:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xac62b5…
10-29 10:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4a0db8…
10-29 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbb6b48…
10-29 10:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x5235c0…
10-29 10:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x642689…
10-29 10:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x4f4745…
10-29 10:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x007335…
10-29 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9a7bef…
10-29 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x21a756…
10-29 10:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x96a900…
10-29 10:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1806c6…
10-29 10:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x24c7e8…
10-29 10:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x388b9f…
10-29 10:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3b21f6…
10-29 10:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xd27eaf…
10-29 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x46fb9a…
10-29 10:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd85817…
10-29 10:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x69d0d4…
10-29 10:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x91c386…
10-29 10:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x77f181…
10-29 10:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x8a77d4…
10-29 10:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x81b510…
10-29 10:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc7216e…
10-29 10:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa34595…