Fearful-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

520

10,046 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$840

$30.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-28 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$676

Other

1% 27% -$11

Sports

0% 35% -$2

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:35 UTC	97	$192	126	83	+43	Up	+$11	04-16 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:15 UTC	68	$177	117	114	+3	Down	+$18	04-16 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:55 UTC	75	$169	99	89	+10	Up	+$5	04-16 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:10 UTC	81	$166	139	70	+69	Up	-$20	04-16 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:55 UTC	29	$164	109	81	+28	Up	+$3	04-16 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:05 UTC	50	$158	105	100	+4	Down	+$21	04-16 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:50 UTC	74	$156	88	77	+11	Up	+$5	04-16 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:35 UTC	62	$151	94	93	+1	Down	+$3	04-16 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:00 UTC	69	$133	78	60	+18	Down	+$3	04-16 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:45 UTC	43	$128	87	85	+3	Down	+$25	04-16 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:50 UTC	45	$123	88	85	+3	Down	+$20	04-16 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 19:00 UTC	15	$120	115	115	+0	Up	+$4	04-07 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	66	$119	102	54	+48	Down	+$15	04-17 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:25 UTC	42	$116	94	53	+41	Down	+$18	04-16 07:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:25 UTC	55	$114	68	63	+5	Up	+$11	04-16 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:55 UTC	43	$114	68	63	+5	Down	+$11	04-17 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:00 UTC	40	$113	67	64	+4	Up	+$11	04-17 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:40 UTC	45	$113	68	67	+1	Down	+$12	04-16 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:00 UTC	55	$112	84	69	+15	Down	+$19	04-16 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	50	$110	62	60	+2	Up	+$11	04-17 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:55 UTC	48	$109	75	61	+14	Down	+$11	04-16 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 03:45 UTC	58	$107	88	60	+29	Down	+$22	04-16 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	52	$107	64	63	+1	Down	+$7	04-17 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	35	$106	60	58	+2	Down	+$6	04-17 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	36	$105	67	56	+11	Up	+$4	04-17 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:10 UTC	43	$105	93	57	+37	Up	-$1	04-17 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 06:00 UTC	36	$104	63	53	+10	Down	+$2	04-16 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:55 UTC	47	$103	71	52	+19	Up	-$3	04-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC	33	$101	78	53	+24	Down	+$14	04-16 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:20 UTC	40	$101	78	51	+27	Up	+$0	04-17 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1a6668…
10-28 11:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x5ee134…
10-28 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x613349…
10-28 11:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x53914c…
10-28 11:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xe2b4a6…
10-28 11:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x77c7d8…
10-28 11:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x513e74…
10-28 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb4547d…
10-28 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xabd528…
10-28 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xa9b56b…
10-28 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x19d50b…
10-28 11:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb6c0a1…
10-28 11:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbd5706…
10-28 11:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf39bca…
10-28 11:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x801070…
10-28 11:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x68895c…
10-28 11:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x1c3186…
10-28 11:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xe95328…
10-28 11:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x93c8f9…
10-28 11:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x38c890…
10-28 11:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xadef58…
10-28 11:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf428e3…
10-28 11:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfeb1bb…
10-28 11:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa22134…
10-28 11:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x96dc67…
10-28 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc979f8…
10-28 11:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x750360…
10-28 11:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xea01b0…
10-28 11:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xec05e5…
10-28 11:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x38fdeb…
10-28 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xe99eb0…
10-28 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc2412c…
10-28 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb91e60…
10-28 11:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2b93c6…
10-28 11:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xe6b785…
10-28 11:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x5cbff9…
10-28 11:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xfb10c4…
10-28 11:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x29cf08…
10-28 11:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x79aaaf…
10-28 11:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc43e7c…
10-28 11:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9402e8…
10-28 11:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa4fef7…
10-28 11:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x92102f…
10-28 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xe9b5b2…
10-28 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa41571…
10-28 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x889106…
10-28 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x226ce4…
10-28 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xaea8a2…
10-28 11:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x35d38a…
10-28 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa7f3fb…
10-28 11:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf871c6…
10-28 11:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd21de4…
10-28 11:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd2355c…
10-28 11:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x247d0e…
10-28 11:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x344e0b…
10-28 11:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xebefc3…
10-28 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xcc0a7a…
10-28 11:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf60a7a…
10-28 11:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xaaa91a…
10-28 11:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4292a3…
10-28 11:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xa231b1…
10-28 11:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0e47d8…
10-28 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x63742b…
10-28 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7cbd1e…
10-28 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xe88b38…
10-28 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x606f9a…
10-28 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x3a4c06…
10-28 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xa37f55…
10-28 11:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xefc0db…
10-28 11:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xeff02d…
10-28 11:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x02b998…
10-28 11:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x3e4947…
10-28 11:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x833c62…
10-28 11:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2b857a…
10-28 11:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x7fb994…
10-28 11:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd2ad1a…
10-28 11:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe8a010…
10-28 11:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa896d7…
10-28 11:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x0e8c83…
10-28 11:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x734311…
10-28 11:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x72a10d…
10-28 11:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x9cc193…
10-28 10:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2e86b1…
10-28 10:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x177a5c…
10-28 10:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x55bb5f…
10-28 10:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9ba87d…
10-28 10:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xc1e567…
10-28 10:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xba3ecf…
10-28 10:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd32af8…
10-28 10:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x05b1ce…
10-28 10:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x741246…
10-28 10:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8282cf…
10-28 10:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xbdfa3f…
10-28 10:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x8444c4…
10-28 10:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdce4f2…
10-28 10:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x5779ab…
10-28 10:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x423e61…
10-28 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x55cbdf…
10-28 10:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa7d80b…
10-28 10:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x9d9ac9…