Quirky-Editor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

42 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$40

$2.50K lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-18 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

72% 94% -$3

Politics

17% 75% -$126

Crypto

11% 75% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	04-09 07:16
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	01-06 09:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	2	$132	1,130	+1,130	No	-$2	04-15 08:51
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$131	131	+131	No	+$0	03-24 06:29
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$130	131	+131	No	+$0	03-19 02:53
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$130	130	+130	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	05-11 10:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$130	130	+130	Yes	+$0	04-26 07:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	03-06 03:52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	05-01 08:43
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	02-13 08:50
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	02-05 09:26
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	02-02 03:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$127	131	+131	No	-$127	05-23 06:19
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-29 11:26
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-25 07:44
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-20 11:21
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-14 07:30
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	04-20 10:36
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	1	$30	31	+31	No	+$1	04-20 10:36
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	1	$13	14	+14	No	+$0	08-26 11:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$13	14	+14	No	+$0	07-19 07:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$13	14	+14	No	+$0	09-10 07:54
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	10-18 09:14
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	1	$2	3	+3	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	-$2	10-18 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$2	1,150	+1,150	No	-$2	05-23 06:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	05-23 06:32
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-14 07:24
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-14 07:24
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-14 07:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:14:30	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4609f…
10-18 09:13:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x96f0dd…
09-10 07:54:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x4809ee…
08-26 11:41:37	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe8942a…
07-19 07:51:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x1ad980…
05-26 11:28:09	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba8fda…
05-26 11:28:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ab951…
05-23 06:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3206ad…
05-23 06:19:59	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$2	0x1c1596…
05-23 06:19:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0xe4b863…
05-11 10:46:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd7199c…
05-01 08:43:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x544404…
04-26 07:45:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd409fb…
04-20 10:36:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0daef6…
04-20 10:36:42	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9e3749…
04-15 08:51:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x72e769…
04-15 08:49:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xdaadcb…
04-09 07:16:23	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x253b84…
03-24 06:29:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5fce97…
03-19 02:53:03	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xa73fd3…
03-11 09:29:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xcfac02…
03-06 03:52:29	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfb3731…
02-13 08:50:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xc9760c…
02-05 09:26:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x2827b3…
02-02 03:04:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x7ed0ff…
01-29 11:26:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xca12de…
01-25 07:44:46	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x0ac2e1…
01-20 11:21:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x1e9929…
01-14 07:30:36	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x6e4d72…
01-14 07:30:06	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x350cb8…
01-14 07:24:52	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39032b…
01-14 07:24:44	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12ca72…
01-14 07:24:22	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa92a75…
01-14 07:23:36	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x580d9c…
01-14 07:23:32	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x400fd4…
01-14 07:23:26	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd68dfd…
01-14 07:23:14	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62e952…
01-14 07:21:24	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc134f3…
01-14 07:21:20	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5ec08…
01-14 07:20:54	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1b9f1…
01-14 07:20:44	will googl reach 420 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bff6d…
01-06 09:08:33	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x81e2dc…