Realized P&L (7d)
-$36
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
173
339 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$918
$2.20K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$112
15 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 11-07 22:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
51% 29% -$7
Politics
38% 27% +$35
Crypto
11% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $12 58¢ $17 +$5 10-30 23:56
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? Yes +370 $52 4¢ $16 -$36 11-05 22:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +24 $10 64¢ $15 +$5 11-03 18:30
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? Yes +74 $13 20¢ $15 +$2 10-30 23:50
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election? Yes +42 $10 34¢ $14 +$4 11-06 23:10
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +30 $10 24¢ $7 -$3 11-04 18:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? No +13 $5 44¢ $6 +$1 11-04 00:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 9, 2026? No +40 $3 14¢ $6 +$3 11-07 14:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 11-07 14:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? Yes +29 $6 14¢ $4 -$2 11-07 20:49
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government? Yes +61 $7 5¢ $3 -$3 11-02 11:38
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 11-03 20:39
Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $0 11-04 18:22
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? Yes +60 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 10-30 14:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +87 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:47