Spicy-Industrialisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-06 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$3

Sports

18% 50% $-0

Other

13% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No		+6	$5	88¢	$5	+$0	06-08 07:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	26	$180	119	119	+0	open	—	03-19 11:37
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	10	$84	58	58	+0	open	—	02-20 04:29
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	02-20 06:58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	10	$71	48	48	+0	open	—	02-18 02:57
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$70	37	37	+0	No	+$0	03-15 06:33
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	03-16 07:29
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	12	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	03-16 04:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$60	53	53	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 10:58
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	6	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	02-01 14:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$58	47	47	+0	open	—	03-19 19:40
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$52	34	34	+0	open	—	03-17 03:14
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-10 02:06
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	02-27 18:58
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-10 16:16
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 21:17
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-13 05:55
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	6	$35	39	7	+32	open	—	02-01 03:16
bitcoin up or down march 5 12pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 18:08
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$34	14	20	-6	open	—	02-16 08:50
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	02-03 13:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 18:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$30	15	15	+0	No	$-0	03-19 03:07
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-19 06:14
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 22:07
GTA VI released before June 2026?	5	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-01 15:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$22	45	45	+0	open	—	06-14 21:56
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-10 01:55
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 03:50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-26 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 17:47:02	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x487458…
06-28 02:47:55	mlb oak laa 2026 06 27	Athletics	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x7c7284…
06-25 03:47:19	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24	San Francisco Giants	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x5d7793…
06-25 02:45:40	mlb atl sd 2026 06 24	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x71d856…
06-25 00:08:05	mlb cle cws 2026 06 24	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0x24b9cb…
06-24 01:09:02	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd6cf51…
06-22 11:56:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x19d795…
06-22 01:44:47	mlb nym phi 2026 06 21 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb58044…
06-20 22:16:17	mlb mil atl 2026 06 20	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x26f440…
06-20 00:04:49	mlb mil atl 2026 06 19 spread away 1pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x39fa72…
06-18 18:23:25	mlb tor bos 2026 06 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x882105…
06-17 19:36:05	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xda1096…
06-17 19:09:16	mlb det hou 2026 06 17	Houston Astros	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xa3036d…
06-17 04:31:01	mlb pit oak 2026 06 16	Athletics	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xa0051b…
06-16 23:54:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xd38ccb…
06-15 04:17:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x7e2eee…
06-14 21:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x6fed11…
06-13 20:09:21	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbff8e1…
06-13 17:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xbcee57…
06-13 11:08:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xeabcaa…
06-13 08:04:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x92a36a…
06-12 00:01:55	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11 spread home 3pt5	Atlanta Dream	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x13a6af…
06-11 18:15:00	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x93e4b3…
06-11 03:08:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 20pt5	Knicks	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x31c05b…
06-11 01:35:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1d0ef4…
06-11 01:30:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x656e48…
06-11 01:27:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 9pt5	Spurs	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x9b9436…
06-11 00:47:52	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2badb9…
06-11 00:47:34	mlb min det 2026 06 10 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x6cff22…
06-10 23:28:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x5576be…
06-10 23:27:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x33e19a…
06-10 00:32:45	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x06f2ca…
06-09 23:03:42	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x965354…
06-09 03:07:27	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08	Athletics	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb776e4…
06-09 01:23:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x8cdb1b…
06-08 07:47:34	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa165f2…
06-07 22:25:07	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 total 11pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8a075f…
06-07 20:46:07	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xcef84a…
06-07 20:15:54	mlb cin stl 2026 06 07	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x63d59a…
06-06 17:23:09	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 161pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf7f2e…
06-06 02:23:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 214pt5	Over	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x887ef7…
06-05 02:34:21	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xe786bd…
06-05 00:55:58	mlb pit hou 2026 06 04	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb8007e…
06-04 02:39:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 2pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1c294e…
06-04 00:29:57	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa41bcf…
06-03 01:50:30	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x4b35f7…
06-03 00:06:31	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x436392…
06-01 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x911347…
06-01 10:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbe2799…
06-01 02:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x772d10…
05-31 19:08:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x41b072…
05-31 19:05:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xbfd241…
05-29 20:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f3e6d…
05-29 07:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2ead99…
05-29 01:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1d0eb0…
05-28 20:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc0fe62…
05-27 16:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xccc901…
05-27 01:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1c7b5c…
05-26 08:47:33	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x069d8c…
05-25 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x571aae…
05-22 22:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc1715a…
05-22 11:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe21495…
05-21 19:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe79120…
05-20 11:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x637c29…
05-19 16:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdfc2cf…
05-19 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x56af7b…
05-18 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1b73d…
05-18 03:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x5650cc…
05-18 01:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb98b0d…
05-17 03:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa7b8f7…
05-15 18:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf9591c…
05-15 17:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54e9b0…
05-15 09:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9f1fa…
05-15 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0babb6…
05-15 06:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa63e4f…
05-15 04:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5501e2…
05-15 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb20f0…
05-15 00:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x850b8e…
05-14 18:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	17	80¢	$14	0x84e6a5…
05-14 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x6d7f96…
05-14 00:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad180b…
05-13 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x3a9edf…
04-26 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xaa3fa5…
04-26 00:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac3f07…
04-25 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9c88bf…
04-25 05:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1c02d2…
04-24 23:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02b648…
04-24 10:51:48	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb176ae…
04-24 08:51:04	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x6ca713…
04-24 05:56:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4edd69…
04-23 09:51:22	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22179f…
04-23 08:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x333be2…
04-23 05:57:12	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x6083c3…
04-23 02:52:00	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb054d0…
04-23 00:56:02	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x07b0b0…
04-22 23:50:54	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ee8d7…
04-22 21:51:52	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa811a2…
04-22 19:05:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x892d92…
04-22 18:57:20	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf3ac47…
04-22 15:55:10	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4a14af…