Nautical-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

7,906

Trades

11,893

lifetime

Volume

$75.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-28 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 44% -$2,092

Other

13% 45% -$1,180

Politics

6% 8% -$472

Sports

2% 44% -$318

Tech

1% 0% -$227

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	111	$2.8K	2,934	2,934	+0	Yes	-$103	05-07 18:28
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	11	$345	362	362	+0	No	-$37	06-05 01:25
will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	20	$321	2,083	2,083	+0	No	-$179	07-06 21:23
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?	5	$242	781	781	+0	open	—	07-22 01:44
will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	4	$231	608	608	+0	No	-$85	07-06 14:16
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?	7	$229	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	06-25 12:30
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	7	$226	230	230	+0	open	—	06-05 10:09
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	3	$221	735	735	-0	Yes	-$29	07-31 17:12
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	10	$213	463	463	+0	open	—	07-28 03:49
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?	5	$211	781	781	+0	open	—	07-30 22:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	17	$210	233	233	+0	Yes	-$17	06-02 12:38
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	10	$207	735	735	+0	open	—	10-16 15:55
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	5	$206	893	893	+0	No	-$44	07-08 02:02
will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	5	$204	663	663	+0	No	-$141	07-06 08:36
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	34	$198	211	211	+0	cancelled	-$2	05-24 20:29
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	3	$196	750	750	+0	open	—	06-24 19:38
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	9	$195	456	456	+0	Yes	-$14	06-30 23:00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	10	$195	896	896	+0	No	-$20	09-29 21:47
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	4	$194	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 07:37
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?	7	$190	593	593	+0	open	—	07-15 20:20
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?	7	$189	700	700	+0	open	—	07-30 22:31
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	6	$188	600	600	-0	open	—	06-26 14:03
will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	9	$179	781	781	+0	No	-$71	07-07 17:36
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	6	$177	1,042	1,042	+0	No	-$73	07-18 11:43
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	4	$176	391	391	+0	No	-$74	07-28 07:23
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	5	$171	747	747	+0	open	—	10-21 07:59
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$170	571	571	+0	Yes	-$70	06-23 06:06
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	2	$169	410	410	+0	open	—	07-21 12:22
Will Iñaki Peña record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	2	$164	1,543	1,543	+0	open	—	10-22 12:30
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	17	$152	821	821	-0	open	—	10-03 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:37:08	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x79bc1b…
10-28 16:36:58	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xed9375…
10-28 11:55:08	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xcf2a19…
10-28 11:55:07	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	102	12¢	$12	0xc04cf9…
10-28 11:54:28	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa720d8…
10-28 11:53:07	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	87	14¢	$12	0xaaa7f0…
10-28 11:52:31	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xe76e0f…
10-28 11:52:31	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x9ed44b…
10-28 11:52:31	Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	107	15¢	$16	0x3b1c6b…
10-26 18:24:48	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x5d291e…
10-26 18:24:12	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xd00241…
10-24 13:19:06	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0xf9eb84…
10-24 13:19:05	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0xce776a…
10-24 13:18:05	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe346e7…
10-24 13:18:05	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb1006f…
10-24 13:18:05	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x30ad29…
10-22 17:00:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	16¢	$9	0x1c2676…
10-22 16:59:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xf41e16…
10-22 16:59:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x2c4fa7…
10-22 12:30:26	Will Iñaki Peña record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	1,543	2¢	$39	0xe170f9…
10-22 12:28:53	Will Iñaki Peña record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	BUY	1,543	8¢	$125	0x7ceae1…
10-21 15:47:02	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0x5be4c4…
10-21 15:46:05	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x99be48…
10-21 15:46:03	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xa7f230…
10-21 15:45:00	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x547b95…
10-21 15:44:18	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x363e0e…
10-21 15:44:06	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	84	17¢	$14	0xc461a5…
10-21 15:43:00	Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	324	17¢	$55	0x82680d…
10-21 07:59:00	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	SELL	631	7¢	$44	0xce1248…
10-21 07:58:06	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x5ae181…
10-21 07:57:02	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	SELL	86	14¢	$12	0xa30786…
10-21 07:56:38	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	BUY	700	15¢	$105	0xff549c…
10-21 07:56:38	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x49f816…
10-20 23:02:00	Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0xe2d81d…
10-20 23:01:30	Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x7a2a2e…
10-20 23:01:30	Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x0b0bc2…
10-19 11:44:54	Will Davy Roef record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	1,050	2¢	$21	0x46fc6c…
10-19 11:44:38	Will Davy Roef record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	BUY	1,050	12¢	$125	0x44b3e4…
10-19 06:07:14	Will Spain host the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x086662…
10-18 17:41:54	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0x8b30e1…
10-18 17:41:50	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x01264d…
10-18 17:41:47	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf4b0c9…
10-18 17:41:47	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xa864a2…
10-18 17:41:47	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7471aa…
10-16 15:55:06	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	92	9¢	$8	0x8377e1…
10-16 15:54:25	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	136	10¢	$14	0xe99b51…
10-16 15:53:06	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x676715…
10-16 15:52:07	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x5b3b7c…
10-16 15:51:36	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x499923…
10-16 15:51:15	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfda69a…
10-16 15:51:06	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	291	12¢	$35	0x43cb90…
10-16 15:50:10	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd744bd…
10-16 15:49:06	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa65c58…
10-16 15:48:03	Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	735	17¢	$125	0x2e0106…
10-16 04:16:25	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x52c504…
10-16 04:16:13	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0xef9857…
10-16 04:16:13	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe5caca…
10-16 00:23:25	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x029418…
10-16 00:22:49	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x796c59…
10-14 21:41:07	Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xa2ba80…
10-14 18:19:10	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	351	10¢	$35	0xf783fe…
10-14 18:18:58	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xc28f7a…
10-14 18:18:39	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	10¢	$27	0xd79880…
10-14 18:18:39	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x88b70b…
10-14 18:18:37	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9c41be…
10-14 14:51:24	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x05ce92…
10-14 14:51:01	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x7b847f…
10-14 14:49:48	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	84	9¢	$8	0xbce998…
10-14 14:48:36	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0xde9d27…
10-14 14:47:37	Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	166	13¢	$22	0xad8ad4…
10-13 17:50:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x6c32dc…
10-13 17:49:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x061ba5…
10-13 16:34:10	Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xfc2626…
10-13 16:32:45	Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x13813a…
10-13 14:20:40	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xb93538…
10-13 14:20:28	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x9dfa9b…
10-13 02:01:35	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x14120f…
10-13 02:00:33	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x586b51…
10-13 01:59:32	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x3c6e64…
10-13 01:59:03	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x80bbdd…
10-13 01:58:05	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	49	15¢	$7	0x42f896…
10-12 21:39:17	Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5a350e…
10-12 17:38:33	Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	No	SELL	65	13¢	$8	0x780491…
10-12 17:38:18	Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	No	BUY	65	13¢	$8	0x7c086d…
10-12 16:31:33	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xf0b229…
10-12 16:31:02	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x18abd5…
10-12 16:29:33	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xcddb29…
10-12 16:28:57	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x5968b3…
10-12 16:28:54	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x733ec7…
10-12 10:35:05	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x4387df…
10-12 10:02:34	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x64ec35…
10-12 10:01:49	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x69e180…
10-11 19:10:37	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x575c63…
10-11 19:09:39	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc98f77…
10-11 15:54:37	Will Texas Tech have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x87c98f…
10-11 15:54:01	Will Texas Tech have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb655d7…
10-11 08:17:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x41c27e…
10-11 08:16:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x3d7fc8…
10-10 20:32:00	Will Michigan State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x8f1098…
10-10 20:31:28	Will Michigan State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x2f0d76…