Nautical-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

11,130

lifetime

Volume

$65.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-01 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 2% $-40

Other

5% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-103

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 592 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes		-56	$-6	8¢	$-4	+$1	05-31 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	111	$2.8K	2,934	2,934	+0	Yes	$-103	05-07 18:28
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	11	$345	362	362	+0	open	—	06-05 01:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	17	$210	233	233	+0	open	—	06-02 12:38
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	4	$194	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 07:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	6	$188	600	600	-0	open	—	06-26 14:03
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	6	$168	230	120	+110	open	—	06-05 10:09
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	6	$151	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 01:03
will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$140	300	300	+0	open	—	06-22 02:48
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	6	$131	118	118	+0	open	—	06-05 00:41
sol updown 5m 1772482800	8	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	03-02 20:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	3	$98	104	104	+0	open	—	06-04 08:37
will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	10	$92	498	498	+0	open	—	06-20 14:39
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	6	$91	93	93	+0	open	—	06-04 17:59
xrp updown 5m 1772482200	4	$89	95	0	+95	open	—	03-02 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	2	$88	115	115	+0	open	—	06-03 16:35
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	5	$88	92	92	+0	open	—	06-05 13:45
will ewy dip to 180 in june 2026	8	$79	78	78	+0	open	—	06-04 09:20
btc updown 5m 1772483100	5	$76	125	0	+125	open	—	03-02 20:27
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	2	$76	92	92	+0	open	—	06-01 15:27
will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	2	$76	127	127	+0	open	—	06-19 19:40
xrp updown 5m 1772492100	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 22:59
eth updown 5m 1772492100	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 22:59
eth updown 5m 1772492700	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 23:09
eth updown 5m 1772486700	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 21:29
sol updown 5m 1772488200	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 21:54
btc updown 5m 1772484600	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 20:54
btc updown 5m 1772489700	5	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 22:19
xrp updown 5m 1772485800	2	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 21:14
eth updown 5m 1772490300	1	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 22:28
btc updown 5m 1772488500	1	$73	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 20:25:05	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$6	0xdea1ab…
07-01 20:24:32	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	BUY	275	9¢	$25	0xca8295…
07-01 07:37:10	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	223	18¢	$40	0x065af2…
07-01 07:36:23	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	172	19¢	$33	0xbaf8e2…
07-01 07:32:08	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x6a4dd9…
07-01 07:26:01	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xfc6eaa…
06-30 00:46:40	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x359c3a…
06-30 00:45:29	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbd2fec…
06-29 17:00:58	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x5c03d5…
06-29 17:00:08	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5d73e6…
06-29 16:58:41	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xdc677b…
06-28 04:09:04	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xddf4e3…
06-28 04:08:22	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x7cdd0c…
06-28 04:08:05	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x15dc66…
06-28 04:07:11	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x56a70e…
06-28 01:03:56	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	SELL	165	21¢	$35	0x2e0e50…
06-28 01:03:02	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	SELL	84	22¢	$18	0xba9b0c…
06-28 01:02:20	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x9efe99…
06-28 01:01:02	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0xee7a2f…
06-28 01:00:53	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x874978…
06-28 00:59:56	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	Yes	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x032441…
06-26 19:16:34	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	163	5¢	$8	0x735811…
06-26 19:15:35	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xf0a632…
06-26 19:14:43	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4ffe1e…
06-26 19:14:01	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6cbb44…
06-26 19:12:44	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb15a54…
06-26 19:11:16	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	221	14¢	$31	0xbd853d…
06-26 14:03:57	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x3a3d9d…
06-26 14:02:39	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	223	10¢	$22	0x1d7a96…
06-26 14:01:49	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x60155d…
06-26 14:00:40	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	131	12¢	$16	0xbb19ff…
06-26 13:59:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	158	13¢	$21	0x4675ac…
06-26 13:58:19	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0xd8fd5a…
06-25 22:24:56	will lautaro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xa8d7a2…
06-25 22:23:01	will lautaro martnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x0134e1…
06-24 21:33:16	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0b561e…
06-24 21:32:43	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdaf47c…
06-23 13:32:05	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x0b136e…
06-23 13:30:44	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x83bea2…
06-22 02:48:17	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x42ffdc…
06-22 02:47:08	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x5f249f…
06-22 02:46:17	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xb5da56…
06-22 02:45:07	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x560ea7…
06-22 02:44:20	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x305d6b…
06-22 02:43:07	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xe9326d…
06-22 02:42:23	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x2c0cf3…
06-22 02:41:08	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	94	27¢	$25	0x22bdfd…
06-22 02:40:35	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	66	28¢	$18	0xbc5647…
06-22 02:39:07	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xbcd1e2…
06-22 02:38:53	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x5fb243…
06-22 02:38:49	will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x3d5e6b…
06-21 23:07:08	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x5eaff2…
06-21 23:06:44	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x94c117…
06-21 22:57:16	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x00a46c…
06-21 22:56:08	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x9bc891…
06-21 22:55:35	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x305847…
06-21 22:53:49	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	98	32¢	$31	0x1dbc88…
06-21 22:32:16	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	No	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x8201bd…
06-21 22:30:17	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	No	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x8af56f…
06-21 16:07:16	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	51	5¢	$3	0xe122d6…
06-21 16:05:44	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x379219…
06-20 14:39:14	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x423962…
06-20 13:42:58	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	155	1¢	$2	0x606733…
06-20 13:42:16	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x528197…
06-20 13:40:58	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x1646d9…
06-20 13:40:17	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x923970…
06-20 13:38:58	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe5f75b…
06-20 13:38:35	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$5	0xa8bdf2…
06-20 13:38:31	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x45b137…
06-20 13:38:28	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcb9640…
06-20 13:36:43	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	Yes	BUY	498	16¢	$80	0x2a9840…
06-20 11:24:55	will gavi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x30d5ed…
06-20 07:41:47	will marquinhos score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	63	21¢	$13	0x0d7497…
06-20 07:41:17	will marquinhos score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0x77386b…
06-20 07:33:16	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x10e068…
06-20 07:31:47	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0xb960f1…
06-20 07:31:05	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xb943dc…
06-20 07:29:43	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	68	13¢	$9	0x17ddc4…
06-20 06:21:49	will martin zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	70	9¢	$6	0x2bc5ed…
06-20 06:21:23	will martin zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xa96bcf…
06-19 19:57:49	will gavi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x7f28bb…
06-19 19:40:47	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	127	30¢	$38	0xeb5517…
06-19 19:39:58	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	127	30¢	$38	0xd98182…
06-18 12:48:10	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbf1e69…
06-18 12:46:59	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdd031c…
06-17 11:37:28	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	No	SELL	240	14¢	$34	0x080771…
06-17 11:36:35	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	No	BUY	240	15¢	$36	0x2b9014…
06-16 13:59:19	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	296	11¢	$33	0xb80a48…
06-16 13:57:56	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	296	11¢	$33	0xbaced5…
06-10 06:36:51	btc updown 5m 1781073300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x498f57…
06-10 06:25:06	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf41cf0…
06-10 06:21:01	btc updown 5m 1781072400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9bc05b…
06-10 04:55:42	btc updown 15m 1781066700	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4f6c1a…
06-10 03:55:37	btc updown 15m 1781063100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f831a…
06-10 03:55:36	btc updown 15m 1781063100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb4cc64…
06-10 03:54:58	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xebaf0e…
06-10 03:53:51	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x148dfe…
06-10 03:25:10	btc updown 15m 1781061300	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0c6820…
06-10 03:18:55	btc updown 5m 1781061300	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa3f3f4…
06-10 02:24:52	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3062d8…