Nautical-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

11,218

lifetime

Volume

$67.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-31 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 2% $-40

Other

7% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-103

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	111	$2.8K	2,934	2,934	+0	Yes	$-103	05-07 18:28
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	11	$345	362	362	+0	open	—	06-05 01:25
will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	20	$321	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	07-06 21:23
will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	4	$231	608	608	+0	open	—	07-06 14:16
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	3	$221	735	735	-0	open	—	07-31 17:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	17	$210	233	233	+0	open	—	06-02 12:38
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	5	$206	893	893	+0	open	—	07-08 02:02
will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	5	$204	663	663	+0	open	—	07-06 08:36
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	4	$194	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 07:37
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	6	$188	600	600	-0	open	—	06-26 14:03
will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	9	$179	781	781	+0	open	—	07-07 17:36
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	6	$168	230	120	+110	open	—	06-05 10:09
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	6	$151	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 01:03
will waymo launch in portland or by december 31 2026 20260626203025659	2	$142	417	417	+0	open	—	07-25 14:59
will mateo kovai score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	12	$140	300	300	+0	open	—	06-22 02:48
will neuralinks valuation hit low 42pt5 by july 31 20260629184735360	3	$140	518	518	+0	open	—	07-06 14:34
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	6	$131	118	118	+0	open	—	06-05 00:41
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	6	$128	500	500	+0	open	—	07-19 17:13
sol updown 5m 1772482800	8	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	03-02 20:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	3	$98	104	104	+0	open	—	06-04 08:37
will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	10	$92	498	498	+0	open	—	06-20 14:39
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	6	$91	93	93	+0	open	—	06-04 17:59
xrp updown 5m 1772482200	4	$89	95	0	+95	open	—	03-02 20:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	2	$88	115	115	+0	open	—	06-03 16:35
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	5	$88	92	92	+0	open	—	06-05 13:45
will ewy dip to 180 in june 2026	8	$79	78	78	+0	open	—	06-04 09:20
btc updown 5m 1772483100	5	$76	125	0	+125	open	—	03-02 20:27
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	2	$76	92	92	+0	open	—	06-01 15:27
will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	2	$76	127	127	+0	open	—	06-19 19:40
eth updown 5m 1772492700	1	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	03-02 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 17:12:57	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	707	13¢	$92	0x652f02…
07-31 17:11:41	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xc77589…
07-31 17:10:47	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	735	17¢	$125	0x570a9f…
07-25 14:59:34	will waymo launch in portland or by december 31 2026 20260626203025659	Yes	SELL	417	4¢	$17	0x6e682a…
07-25 14:58:31	will waymo launch in portland or by december 31 2026 20260626203025659	Yes	BUY	417	30¢	$125	0xeff6d8…
07-22 21:40:49	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	135	24¢	$32	0x053ac3…
07-22 21:40:09	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	135	25¢	$34	0x8530d8…
07-20 02:33:16	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0xad5edd…
07-20 02:32:52	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	No	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xe265fa…
07-19 17:13:06	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	343	6¢	$21	0x4bc539…
07-19 17:12:10	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x38c7c8…
07-19 17:11:00	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x9e4b21…
07-19 17:09:31	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe41de3…
07-19 17:08:16	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xca7677…
07-19 17:07:46	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x07bca1…
07-19 16:40:03	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x4bb6f9…
07-19 16:38:48	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0xe41710…
07-19 16:37:39	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x1613b0…
07-19 15:53:15	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	143	25¢	$36	0x6dca9c…
07-13 02:13:59	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xca36ff…
07-13 02:13:41	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x604ff7…
07-10 04:39:23	will future feature jpt cole on the real me 20260624160542261	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x3943ac…
07-10 04:36:07	will future feature jpt cole on the real me 20260624160542261	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4ec7d5…
07-10 04:31:50	will future feature jpt cole on the real me 20260624160542261	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$13	0xa4135d…
07-08 16:26:35	will kylian mbappe score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232316818	Yes	SELL	48	11¢	$5	0xcd564a…
07-08 16:25:01	will kylian mbappe score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232316818	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x552e6a…
07-08 14:54:52	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xef7257…
07-08 14:53:28	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xec6359…
07-08 09:38:11	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	Yes	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0x9cce75…
07-08 09:37:14	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x1dd477…
07-08 09:36:53	us bank failure by july 31 20260630183502534	Yes	BUY	84	14¢	$12	0xdcd4dc…
07-08 02:02:32	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	869	9¢	$78	0x869bc7…
07-08 02:01:10	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x1e5eb8…
07-07 22:01:50	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x518470…
07-07 22:01:44	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x5c53fd…
07-07 22:01:41	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x5baa3a…
07-07 17:36:02	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xee9a2a…
07-07 17:34:41	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	69	7¢	$5	0xf45be6…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$13	0xe254f7…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$13	0xd5b033…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xbc3b4e…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$13	0x935120…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x65c245…
07-07 17:34:35	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x0f1402…
07-07 17:33:37	will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	Yes	BUY	781	16¢	$125	0x271b3b…
07-06 21:23:19	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x66775c…
07-06 21:13:47	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$30	0xa56690…
07-06 21:11:11	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x7902c8…
07-06 21:09:49	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x28b5b7…
07-06 21:06:58	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x8c2b09…
07-06 21:06:25	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x9e1fc9…
07-06 21:05:41	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xff12b4…
07-06 21:05:14	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x6f32f8…
07-06 21:05:11	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x28375f…
07-06 21:04:31	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0xa9a895…
07-06 21:04:28	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0xa98c21…
07-06 21:04:25	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xfb276d…
07-06 21:04:23	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x92206a…
07-06 21:04:23	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0x311abe…
07-06 21:04:23	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x15fbc4…
07-06 21:00:29	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0xa6dbaa…
07-06 20:59:08	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x1dae8d…
07-06 20:58:32	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	158	6¢	$9	0x937e00…
07-06 20:57:13	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	93	7¢	$7	0x4f3ddb…
07-06 20:56:29	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,083	12¢	$250	0xb15fbe…
07-06 14:34:53	will neuralinks valuation hit low 42pt5 by july 31 20260629184735360	Yes	SELL	381	4¢	$15	0x78f583…
07-06 14:34:19	will neuralinks valuation hit low 42pt5 by july 31 20260629184735360	Yes	SELL	138	4¢	$6	0xb5d717…
07-06 14:33:37	will neuralinks valuation hit low 42pt5 by july 31 20260629184735360	Yes	BUY	518	23¢	$119	0x3b2271…
07-06 14:16:31	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	Yes	SELL	542	12¢	$65	0x131978…
07-06 14:16:17	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	Yes	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0xe80c37…
07-06 14:16:17	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xa751e0…
07-06 14:15:44	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	Yes	BUY	608	26¢	$158	0x8a4648…
07-06 08:36:25	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	Yes	SELL	401	5¢	$20	0x42d7c2…
07-06 08:36:13	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x2e224c…
07-06 08:32:58	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	Yes	SELL	138	4¢	$6	0x6ba5ef…
07-06 08:32:02	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x2bdde6…
07-06 08:31:29	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5 by july 31 20260629184508155	Yes	BUY	663	26¢	$172	0x7298f3…
07-06 06:49:10	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x399bb1…
07-06 06:47:41	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xbddf08…
07-05 19:02:16	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xd5e9de…
07-05 19:00:53	Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xcdeb88…
07-04 10:10:41	will gleans valuation hit low 6pt5b by july 31 20260630205002627	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x4a61bd…
07-04 10:10:14	will gleans valuation hit low 6pt5b by july 31 20260630205002627	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb5d9ed…
07-04 00:00:55	Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x156175…
07-03 23:59:37	Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x6e5565…
07-03 23:58:43	Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	Yes	BUY	130	9¢	$12	0xd62020…
07-01 20:25:05	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$6	0xdea1ab…
07-01 20:24:32	will bytedances valuation hit high 750b by july 31 20260630205251336	Yes	BUY	275	9¢	$25	0xca8295…
07-01 07:37:10	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	223	18¢	$40	0x065af2…
07-01 07:36:23	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	172	19¢	$33	0xbaf8e2…
07-01 07:32:08	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x6a4dd9…
07-01 07:26:01	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xfc6eaa…
06-30 00:46:40	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x359c3a…
06-30 00:45:29	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbd2fec…
06-29 17:00:58	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x5c03d5…
06-29 17:00:08	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5d73e6…
06-29 16:58:41	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xdc677b…
06-28 04:09:04	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xddf4e3…
06-28 04:08:22	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x7cdd0c…
06-28 04:08:05	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x15dc66…