Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$585

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

30.5%

Resolved

173

Trades

834

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$37

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 11-02 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

68% 22% -$553

Politics

17% 17% -$8

Tech

13% 10% -$7

Crypto

3% 65% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	+50	$42	52¢	$26	-$16	09-20 07:57
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	+20	$14	45¢	$9	-$5	10-20 09:55
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+50	$15	2¢	$1	-$14	10-28 22:27
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+35	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	10-14 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	69	$3.1K	4,209	4,174	+35	open	—	10-14 11:59
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-13 12:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	27	$1.5K	1,820	1,200	+620	Yes	-$11	09-30 22:30
spx up or down on september 14 2026	22	$1.4K	1,116	881	+235	Down	+$1	09-14 01:31
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	25	$841	702	702	+0	No	-$33	09-17 09:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	18	$820	809	809	+0	No	-$4	09-15 23:32
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$701	363	363	+0	Yes	-$5	09-17 11:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	17	$674	905	598	+307	Yes	-$111	09-17 08:45
Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5	2	$615	316	316	+0	Under	+$15	09-24 13:06
Independiente Santa Fe vs. AD Cali: O/U 2.5	3	$603	304	304	+0	Under	+$3	09-23 03:10
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	2	$565	300	300	+0	No	-$1	09-13 22:20
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	17	$404	350	300	+50	No	+$17	11-02 01:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	12	$377	350	350	+0	No	-$28	09-14 06:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	4	$355	400	400	+0	open	—	09-28 05:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	7	$343	300	300	+0	open	—	09-17 03:44
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	33	$342	310	310	+0	open	—	10-23 17:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	5	$335	200	200	+0	open	—	09-17 09:36
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	10	$330	240	240	+0	open	—	09-18 16:58
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	9	$316	300	300	+0	No	+$0	09-14 09:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$308	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 17:28
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	15	$292	344	341	+3	Yes	-$1	09-18 12:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	9	$242	250	200	+50	open	—	09-20 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	4	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$0	09-17 08:03
bra2 cui nau 2026 09 21 total 4pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	09-22 03:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	5	$193	191	191	+0	Yes	$0	09-17 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	25	$188	250	250	+0	No	-$23	09-14 06:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	3	$175	200	200	+0	open	—	09-14 19:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	3	$159	100	100	+0	Yes	-$13	09-18 17:00
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	6	$158	133	133	+0	open	—	09-17 08:26
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	2	$154	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-14 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 01:25:49	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x10cfca…
11-02 01:24:21	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x98b112…
11-02 01:23:49	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0x0548bc…
10-28 22:27:19	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0xb9c5fb…
10-23 17:50:18	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x25be0a…
10-20 09:55:08	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x7337c2…
10-14 11:59:57	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xa37eb1…
10-10 14:05:24	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x571ff0…
10-10 14:05:19	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x96787c…
10-10 01:29:56	CA Unión vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x3653dd…
10-10 01:25:05	CA Unión vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9a1d15…
10-09 01:07:14	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb8ddaf…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xece733…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd6edb2…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x8dd012…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x6779b6…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x5e19ab…
10-06 20:13:14	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x04b9f1…
10-06 20:13:09	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xef4d9f…
10-05 16:16:44	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x6de39f…
10-05 14:21:20	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xe37924…
10-05 14:21:17	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xdd9cc5…
10-05 14:21:17	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	152	7¢	$11	0xdd9cc5…
10-05 13:43:17	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x29c549…
10-05 11:47:20	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x18da8d…
10-04 09:41:56	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x4693ae…
10-04 09:41:52	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0cca3f…
10-03 14:00:41	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x90f46b…
10-03 14:00:38	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xc582c8…
10-02 20:41:26	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x178769…
10-02 20:41:23	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x97c6b8…
10-02 20:41:23	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	122	7¢	$9	0x97c6b8…
10-02 03:42:32	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0xd805c4…
10-02 03:27:18	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x1f76ea…
10-01 20:29:15	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x88d397…
10-01 20:29:12	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x7ed790…
10-01 17:24:50	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x2088c1…
10-01 17:24:47	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x18f234…
10-01 17:14:23	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x0cee60…
10-01 17:14:20	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x287720…
10-01 10:07:50	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf89e1a…
10-01 06:49:50	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe07035…
10-01 06:44:20	Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Yes	BUY	108	0¢	$0	0xe5ee26…
09-30 22:30:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1efd1d…
09-30 21:36:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe29f82…
09-30 20:38:06	Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4fe2c3…
09-30 20:34:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	198	0¢	$0	0x98e5ca…
09-30 20:34:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6050aa…
09-30 17:44:59	Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x380b0c…
09-30 06:40:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xca667c…
09-30 06:40:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xca667c…
09-30 06:40:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x59c4ec…
09-29 22:06:56	Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5920ca…
09-29 21:52:08	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xc6024d…
09-29 21:52:05	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x40c090…
09-29 21:51:24	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xbc7a1d…
09-29 19:55:05	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$29	0x0fdb7c…
09-29 17:22:51	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x02aa50…
09-29 17:22:51	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x02aa50…
09-29 17:01:53	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0xec5f50…
09-29 17:01:53	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xec5f50…
09-29 12:35:54	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc95f71…
09-29 03:11:15	Guatemala vs. El Salvador: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x77ce08…
09-29 02:28:50	Guatemala vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x2719ea…
09-29 02:18:20	Guatemala vs. El Salvador: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf85663…
09-29 01:49:26	Jamaica vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	27	76¢	$21	0x74c74f…
09-29 01:20:56	Jamaica vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3a515e…
09-28 11:27:53	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Venezuela?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xdf7973…
09-28 11:08:32	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Venezuela?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xb206cb…
09-28 11:01:02	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Venezuela?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xd71738…
09-28 10:23:17	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xf48bed…
09-28 05:49:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xc93a0a…
09-28 05:44:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$109	0x052ad1…
09-27 23:45:24	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe72e07…
09-27 16:55:08	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	169	93¢	$157	0x8cfb0b…
09-27 13:56:30	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xd3ff13…
09-27 13:56:30	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xd3ff13…
09-27 10:06:38	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x358af8…
09-27 09:13:20	Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e47e3…
09-27 07:46:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x6b17ea…
09-27 07:43:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfec09c…
09-27 07:41:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xa5d47d…
09-27 07:39:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe3db77…
09-27 07:35:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$6	0xe2565d…
09-27 07:30:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x29f1f9…
09-27 07:16:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x29e4de…
09-27 07:12:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xc25606…
09-27 07:03:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfed7c4…
09-27 00:37:26	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x346c6d…
09-27 00:37:26	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x346c6d…
09-26 23:23:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9ce1ac…
09-26 23:18:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0xf1d6cc…
09-26 23:17:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x220db1…
09-26 23:13:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x68233c…
09-26 17:39:15	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x00a150…
09-26 17:39:12	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x7392b1…
09-26 08:54:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde7f6a…
09-26 08:47:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3e7138…
09-26 08:42:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a5f41…
09-26 08:31:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x335705…