Jumpy-Boutique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-14 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

41% 100% +$5

Other

39% 0% —

Sports

20% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$311	389	389	+0	No	$-1	04-21 15:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$246	127	127	+0	open	—	05-23 23:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	06-11 03:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	6	$159	183	183	+0	open	—	06-10 02:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$137	181	181	+0	open	—	06-12 18:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$132	135	135	+0	open	—	06-05 09:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	05-23 15:18
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 08:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$96	119	50	+69	open	—	05-29 05:06
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$91	128	128	+0	open	—	03-28 12:42
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	04-18 21:14
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$87	50	50	+0	No	+$5	03-30 20:19
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$87	44	44	+0	No	$-0	04-19 01:50
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	03-31 12:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	06-04 08:15
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	04-26 16:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	5	$84	78	160	-82	open	—	06-07 12:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	06-06 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$82	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 23:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$79	117	117	+0	open	—	04-26 10:59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-21 17:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$77	78	78	+0	open	—	05-30 22:41
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-17 20:16
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	03-27 02:04
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$77	44	44	+0	open	—	04-20 00:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$76	52	52	+0	open	—	06-08 18:44
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	3	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	06-17 01:08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	04-20 16:26
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	7	$41	36	182	-146	open	—	06-14 21:22
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$36	96	96	+0	open	—	06-07 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:08:53	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x17be5e…
06-17 01:08:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x77b566…
06-17 01:08:07	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xa49ef3…
06-14 21:22:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0xd9ffa0…
06-14 18:30:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x39b700…
06-14 05:53:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	56	21¢	$12	0x39844e…
06-14 05:53:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xb8fa66…
06-14 05:53:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	67	21¢	$14	0x2ae913…
06-14 05:47:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xfd393d…
06-14 05:47:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x5468a3…
06-13 17:51:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xc406d1…
06-13 15:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xe48812…
06-13 15:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x900bba…
06-13 06:57:04	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xa99638…
06-13 06:57:04	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xa05452…
06-12 18:03:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	36¢	$31	0x420768…
06-12 14:33:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	50¢	$44	0x17d600…
06-12 14:24:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$8	0x8acbca…
06-12 10:06:52	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	6¢	$7	0x225eaf…
06-11 03:00:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xaac153…
06-11 02:59:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x8a744d…
06-10 15:44:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x6f3058…
06-10 13:21:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x12410d…
06-10 13:21:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd84d65…
06-10 09:16:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x28df26…
06-10 02:01:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0xf21dbc…
06-10 02:01:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xda3bc7…
06-10 00:39:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0x2c36fe…
06-09 10:55:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	66	45¢	$30	0xc79886…
06-09 10:55:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0x9ab497…
06-09 09:26:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xdd9b5f…
06-09 01:05:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	33¢	$31	0xacee32…
06-09 01:03:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	33¢	$31	0x8b7151…
06-08 18:44:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x6eb806…
06-08 18:44:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x00c221…
06-08 15:40:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x126b33…
06-07 12:58:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x7b7604…
06-07 12:58:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0xbee5b2…
06-07 11:09:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xcc6323…
06-07 11:09:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x4a8ab9…
06-07 06:34:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x7410b6…
06-07 04:59:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x09a024…
06-06 00:03:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3d02ec…
06-06 00:03:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x6f3712…
06-06 00:02:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x0c7b34…
06-05 20:03:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xe56bf7…
06-05 09:58:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	51¢	$46	0x6ef2da…
06-05 08:19:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	51¢	$46	0xc28820…
06-04 22:07:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	19¢	$16	0x388dae…
06-04 20:44:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xaf305a…
06-04 08:15:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0xf8d331…
06-03 15:56:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xe662e4…
06-03 08:27:20	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xde8e39…
06-03 06:32:31	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbe99b2…
06-02 23:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0x4a955f…
06-01 13:12:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	54¢	$38	0xc8a9ff…
05-31 12:05:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xdd6ef5…
05-31 12:05:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x608064…
05-31 12:05:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x13d346…
05-31 08:57:32	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	3¢	$4	0xde7a67…
05-30 22:41:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x58030b…
05-30 22:41:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	59	50¢	$30	0x2e12ab…
05-30 18:26:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0xc1844e…
05-29 15:35:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	82	45¢	$37	0xf74206…
05-29 05:06:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfb6029…
05-29 05:06:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xf05ce7…
05-29 04:10:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0xabb9be…
05-29 01:53:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xf6340f…
05-28 06:15:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0xa916a7…
05-28 04:00:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	44¢	$19	0x77aa6c…
05-23 23:20:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xcb0cd3…
05-23 21:32:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xc7ad81…
05-23 15:18:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xf87c97…
05-23 13:12:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x3e2e42…
05-23 00:13:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xbf9f5f…
05-18 20:42:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x9162e4…
05-17 18:02:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xef5a62…
05-17 14:07:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x6d0959…
05-16 13:45:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x6b9838…
05-16 12:28:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x123654…
04-26 16:32:54	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x463b01…
04-26 14:12:02	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x332fbd…
04-26 10:59:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0x94f527…
04-26 07:31:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0xb03c82…
04-21 17:21:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xfa290e…
04-21 15:58:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xaf68b4…
04-21 15:46:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0xf87521…
04-21 13:51:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x7c2109…
04-21 01:17:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xae4ae0…
04-21 00:06:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xda831e…
04-20 16:26:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0xf971c0…
04-20 13:02:34	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xd32a2b…
04-20 00:37:28	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x838102…
04-20 00:37:26	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x2a0789…
04-19 21:19:52	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x85bbdf…
04-19 01:50:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xc4f495…
04-19 01:50:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8e3d4e…
04-18 23:35:26	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x61cec0…
04-18 21:14:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x62db55…
04-18 19:17:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x98d7c0…