Parched-Minister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.3%

Resolved

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-18 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 19% $-83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	13	$685	700	700	+0	open	—	05-03 15:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	12	$645	710	710	+0	open	—	05-01 14:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	10	$331	390	390	+0	open	—	05-04 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$302	0	500	-500	open	—	05-04 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$256	0	460	-460	open	—	05-04 08:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	11	$179	506	86	+420	No	$-60	05-06 13:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	15	$150	8,193	0	+8,193	open	—	05-02 13:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	90	$108	6,920	0	+6,920	open	—	05-02 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	5	$103	200	131	+69	open	—	05-04 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$98	0	200	-200	open	—	05-04 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$94	0	100	-100	open	—	05-04 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$94	0	112	-112	open	—	05-04 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$86	0	93	-93	open	—	05-04 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$86	0	118	-118	open	—	05-04 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$81	0	134	-134	open	—	05-04 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$65	0	76	-76	open	—	05-04 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	10	$62	1,966	1,906	+60	open	—	05-03 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$59	0	112	-112	open	—	05-04 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$59	0	100	-100	open	—	05-04 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$52	0	100	-100	open	—	05-04 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	3	$50	250	125	+125	open	—	05-02 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$50	0	50	-50	Up	$-0	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$49	43	43	+0	open	—	05-04 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$48	0	52	-52	Down	$-4	05-05 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	6	$47	140	0	+140	open	—	05-18 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$46	0	50	-50	open	—	05-04 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$46	0	50	-50	Down	$-4	05-05 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$45	0	50	-50	open	—	05-04 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$45	0	47	-47	Up	$-2	05-05 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$44	0	57	-57	Down	+$6	05-05 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 00:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xea4229…
05-18 00:07:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe823eb…
05-18 00:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x25088a…
05-17 23:59:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x76bd4e…
05-17 23:52:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xbac3a8…
05-17 23:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x77819b…
05-17 15:02:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9ec8ed…
05-17 14:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	950	0¢	$1	0x4eaa41…
05-17 13:19:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xd3527f…
05-17 13:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0xaa9cbb…
05-17 12:52:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x197b1b…
05-17 12:52:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb5570c…
05-17 12:52:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x940908…
05-17 12:51:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0e66e4…
05-17 12:51:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1c26aa…
05-17 12:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x5d7bbf…
05-17 12:50:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x98c295…
05-17 12:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xd0f2b0…
05-17 11:23:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x97056f…
05-17 11:20:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x98f1ac…
05-17 11:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x6fa253…
05-16 04:56:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	297	4¢	$12	0x9ba3e1…
05-06 13:54:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0xb94054…
05-06 13:54:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfc0ecb…
05-06 13:53:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x5be54c…
05-06 13:52:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7e78d2…
05-06 13:52:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x1127e1…
05-06 13:30:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	219	25¢	$55	0x8bbfa5…
05-06 12:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x89da40…
05-06 11:15:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	53	69¢	$36	0x4098dc…
05-06 10:55:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x1b0a56…
05-06 10:54:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x5496c9…
05-06 10:41:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x80a53d…
05-06 09:34:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0xe7a900…
05-05 21:34:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x762124…
05-05 21:31:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x2b433c…
05-05 21:08:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xa05f08…
05-05 21:07:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x7d8425…
05-05 20:17:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$3	0xdcb64a…
05-05 20:17:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xc31a5e…
05-05 19:29:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0x28ebcf…
05-05 19:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xffe6d4…
05-05 19:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0xb39c9f…
05-05 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0xbae1c8…
05-05 18:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xb56df9…
05-05 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0xf1ccb5…
05-05 18:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xbd84e0…
05-05 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44	92¢	$40	0x889294…
05-05 18:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x663a68…
05-05 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x21671c…
05-05 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x87be82…
05-05 16:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x00a163…
05-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x8adf51…
05-05 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x0eadce…
05-05 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x2c8431…
05-05 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0x9ca5b4…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x38dfd3…
05-04 11:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	76	85¢	$65	0xa613a6…
05-04 11:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xe0769c…
05-04 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x3d1163…
05-04 11:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x1f8261…
05-04 11:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	93	92¢	$86	0xda8930…
05-04 11:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	112	84¢	$94	0x36ef03…
05-04 11:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	67	36¢	$24	0x11dd24…
05-04 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	67	85¢	$57	0xa4ef1a…
05-04 10:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x411d98…
05-04 10:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xfe298e…
05-04 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xbba05b…
05-04 09:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x5ee544…
05-04 09:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x1ef1ef…
05-04 09:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x30233c…
05-04 09:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xf6c621…
05-04 09:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0x71038e…
05-04 09:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0xbf1c77…
05-04 09:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x3ea565…
05-04 09:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x791ea0…
05-04 09:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	59	58¢	$34	0xd4803b…
05-04 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	59	87¢	$51	0x83f05c…
05-04 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0x5fc92f…
05-04 08:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	56	87¢	$49	0x1acd12…
05-04 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x303c17…
05-04 08:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5034b5…
05-04 08:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xad04f4…
05-04 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0x16fbda…
05-04 08:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xfe9681…
05-04 08:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xeaf586…
05-04 08:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x449086…
05-04 08:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xd923da…
05-04 08:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	230	31¢	$72	0x59c9f6…
05-04 08:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	230	80¢	$184	0x77cd06…
05-04 08:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x7f8fa4…
05-04 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x113908…
05-04 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x0c1b83…
05-04 08:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	83¢	$22	0xf54a66…
05-04 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xcc0b88…
05-04 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x9dd1ec…
05-04 08:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x90fff3…
05-04 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xdaa512…
05-04 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	43	67¢	$29	0x32390d…
05-04 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8a41c4…